Invest ideasNews
25 Feb 2026, 12:00
2 Bitcoin Price Levels Could Decide What Happens Next, Coinbase Says
Coinbase says Bitcoin’s near-term path may hinge on two price zones: roughly $82,000 on the upside and $60,000 on the downside. In a new X post outlining its BTC “practical playbook,” the exchange argues that combining structural support/resistance bands with options gamma exposure sharpens the trading map for whether BTC is more likely to mean-revert, break out, or accelerate lower. The core framework starts with Coinbase’s previously shared heatmap of “real supply and demand levels,” built by aggregating market structure pivot points and volume into price bands. In that setup, the densest support cluster sits near $60,000, while the first dense resistance band sits around $82,000. Coinbase describes those areas as zones where market interest has already been established and where “significant pools of resting liquidity typically gather.” Why Bitcoin Gamma Changes The Read This week’s addition is gamma exposure (GEX), which Coinbase frames as a way to map how options dealers’ hedging flows may either absorb volatility or amplify it. The firm calls the options market a “hidden liquidity provider” and says GEX helps investors decide whether conditions favor range trades or breakout trades. Related Reading: Bitcoin Nears Death Cross That Preceded Final Bear Market Legs Coinbase explains the mechanism in practical terms: when dealers are long gamma, their hedging tends to lean against price moves; when they are short gamma, hedging can reinforce the move. “In positive gamma regions, the dominant hedging behavior often looks like a shock absorber because if BTC rises, dealers sell spot (or sell futures) to stay hedged. If BTC falls, they buy to rebalance. That ‘sell strength / buy weakness’ pattern reduces realized volatility and increases the odds of consolidation and ‘pinning’ around nearby strike clusters.” It then contrasts that with the negative-gamma regime. “In negative gamma regions, the dominant hedging behavior can flip into a trend amplifier. Rising BTC prices force hedgers to buy more while falling prices force hedgers to sell more. That ‘buy strength / sell weakness’ loop can turn ordinary breaks into fast repricing and liquidation-style cascades.” After layering GEX onto its pivot map, Coinbase’s conclusion is straightforward but consequential. “$82k remains the first gate to unlock further upside, while $60k appears to be the shelf that must hold to prevent accelerated downside,” the post says. It ties that to a “pronounced negative gamma band” in the $60,000–$70,000 region and “meaningful positive gamma pockets” around $85,000 and $90,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin COT Data: Smart Money Goes Net Long With ‘Urgency’ That combination shapes the regime expectations. Coinbase says downside into $60,000 can accelerate because negative gamma may amplify selling pressure, while upside toward $90,000 may be more prone to grinding and pinning as positive gamma hedging dampens momentum. How Coinbase Frames The Setups The playbook’s scenario analysis reflects that asymmetry. Around $82,000, Coinbase treats first-touch rejection as a credible risk in a dense supply zone, especially without a clear macro catalyst. If BTC fails there, it says mean reversion becomes the higher-probability expression and warns breakout chasers can get trapped. By contrast, a clean break above $82,000 is not defined by a brief spike but by “acceptance” — reclaiming the level, holding it, and using it as support. Coinbase argues that would suggest supply has been absorbed and raise continuation odds into higher liquidity bands, while still acknowledging the positive gamma pocket above could increase chop risk. The $60,000 zone is framed even more carefully. Coinbase says it prefers long exposure only after a reclaim signal if BTC flushes into that area, rather than trying to catch the initial move lower, because negative gamma can make the path “violent and prone to overshooting.” If $60,000 fails and BTC cannot reclaim it, Coinbase says the break could mark another “regime change” where downside extends faster than discretionary dip buyers expect. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $65,026. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
25 Feb 2026, 11:46
Coinbase Analysis: Bitcoin Could Slide to This Key Level Before Bounce
Bitcoin’s brief rebound above $66,000 following U.S. President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address has done little to shift the underlying market structure, with fresh analysis from Coinbase Institutional pointing to a critical support zone near $60,000 that, if broken, could trigger accelerated selling. The combination of options market dynamics and on-chain data suggests the path of least resistance remains lower, with any sustained recovery likely requiring a reclaim of $82,000, a level that currently stands as the first major hurdle to renewed upside momentum. Options Market Points to Accelerated Downside Risk Coinbase Institutional’s latest Bitcoin playbook introduced gamma exposure (GEX) as a lens for understanding how options dealers influence price action. According to the firm, when dealers hold positive gamma, their hedging tends to stabilize prices, selling into strength and buying into weakness. Negative gamma has the opposite effect, forcing dealers to buy as prices rise and sell as they fall, amplifying trends. The current configuration shows a pronounced negative gamma band concentrated in the $60,000 to $70,000 region, with positive gamma pockets forming higher up near $85,000 and $90,000. This structure, per Coinbase, carries a specific implication: downside momentum into the $60,000 area could accelerate rapidly, while any advance toward $90,000 would likely grind and consolidate rather than break out cleanly. Dense support sits near $60,000 based on historical market structure and volume profiles, while $82,000 represents the first significant resistance band. According to Coinbase’s market watchers, if Bitcoin fails to hold above $82,000 on approach, the lack of stabilizing gamma in that region suggests resistance may hold. By contrast, a break below $60,000 would occur in a negative gamma environment, meaning selling could feed on itself as dealers hedge in the direction of the move. On-Chain Data Confirms Defensive Regime Coinbase’s options-derived outlook matches up with deteriorating on-chain fundamentals. Yesterday, analyst Axel Adler Jr. noted that Realized Cap has declined for a second consecutive month, falling roughly $33 billion from its peak of $1.127 trillion in November 2025 to around $1.094 trillion. Furthermore, the 30-day Realized Cap Net Position Change is still negative, signaling ongoing capital outflows. Separate data from Glassnode showed the 90-day moving average of the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio falling below 1, meaning more BTC is being sold at a loss than at a profit. According to the analytics platform, such regimes have historically persisted for months before liquidity conditions improved. Meanwhile, sentiment tracker Santiment said on Wednesday that bullish commentary across X, Reddit, and Telegram has reached a four-week high following Trump’s State of the Union speech. However, the firm cautioned that elevated retail optimism and talk of a “bear cycle” ending have, in the past, coincided with stalled rallies. The post Coinbase Analysis: Bitcoin Could Slide to This Key Level Before Bounce appeared first on CryptoPotato .
25 Feb 2026, 11:38
U.S. Senator opens probe on Binance over alleged $1.7 billion flow to Iranian entities
Richard Blumenthal sent Binance co-chief Richard Teng a letter asking him for records about the exchange’s dealings with Iran-linked entities and the alleged dismissal of its investigators.
25 Feb 2026, 11:32
Phemex Unveils AI Bot, Marking A Product Milestone of Its AI-Native Revolution
BitcoinWorld Phemex Unveils AI Bot, Marking A Product Milestone of Its AI-Native Revolution APIA, Samoa, Feb. 25, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — Phemex , a user-first crypto exchange, unveiled the AI Bot , a tactical milestone of the Phemex AI-Native Revolution, following its landmark transition into an AI-native organization. This launch evolves artificial intelligence from a strategic vision into a high-performance “Intelligent Trading Partner,” shifting the industry paradigm from emotional manual execution to a disciplined “Human + AI Collaboration” model for its 10 million users worldwide. Earlier this year, Phemex introduced its AI-Native Initiative, committing to integrate artificial intelligence across internal operations and external product architecture. The launch of AI Bot serves as a live demonstration of that strategy in practice, moving beyond conceptual transformation into user-facing applications. Utilizing advanced machine learning to analyze millions of data points in real-time, the Phemex AI Bot automates complex quantitative strategies across Futures Grid, Spot Grid, and Martingale systems. Engineered with a “Risk-Aware Intelligence” , the engine prioritizes capital preservation by dynamically adjusting leverage and parameters based on historical volatility. This ensures that intelligence remains a tool for resilience, allowing traders to gain significant leverage from AI rather than losing their competitive edge to it. To catalyze this era of intelligent trading, Phemex has initiated the AI Bot Carnival , a $1,000,000+ trading feast. The initiative features a 100% Loss Protection Program for newcomers to ensure a zero-barrier entry into quantitative trading, alongside tiered volume rewards up to 5,000 USDT and multi-bot incentives designed to encourage systematic, diversified portfolio management. “Phemex AI Bot is solid proof that our AI-Native strategy is not theoretical — it is operational,” said Federico Variola , CEO of Phemex. “We are not experimenting with AI at the margins. We are actively building an exchange where intelligent systems are embedded into how products function. This launch is an early but concrete step, and we will continue executing this long-term strategy.” With AI Bot now live, Phemex advances its roadmap toward a fully AI-native exchange model where intelligence is integrated at the infrastructure level and progressively embedded into the trading experience. About Phemex Founded in 2019, Phemex is a user-first crypto exchange trusted by over 10 million traders worldwide. The platform offers spot and derivatives trading, copy trading, and wealth management products designed to prioritize user experience, transparency, and innovation. With a forward-thinking approach and a commitment to user empowerment, Phemex delivers reliable tools, inclusive access, and evolving opportunities for traders at every level to grow and succeed. For more information, please visit: https://phemex.com/ This post Phemex Unveils AI Bot, Marking A Product Milestone of Its AI-Native Revolution first appeared on BitcoinWorld .
25 Feb 2026, 11:26
Circle Internet Group, Inc. GAAP EPS of $0.43 beats by $0.27, revenue of $770M beats by $25.05M
More on Circle Internet Group, Inc. Circle Q4 Earnings Preview: Sell This Stock Before February 25 Now Is The Hour To Buy Circle Internet Group Circle: Dirt Cheap Stablecoin Innovator Circle Internet Group, Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Preview Coinbase revenue from stablecoins could likely jump sevenfold - report
25 Feb 2026, 11:16
Blumenthal's Investigation into Binance: ALT Price Impact
US Senator Blumenthal is investigating Binance for transactions with sanctioned Iran and Russia. $1.7 billion claim, documents requested by March 6. Binance defended its compliance. ALT price at $0...
