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13 May 2026, 17:00

British Pound Weakens Against Euro as Political Risks Mount: ING

BitcoinWorld British Pound Weakens Against Euro as Political Risks Mount: ING The British pound has lost ground against the euro in recent trading sessions, with analysts at ING pointing to escalating political risks as the primary driver of the move. The currency pair, which tracks the value of one euro in pounds, has edged higher as market participants reassess the outlook for UK assets amid renewed uncertainty. Political Pressures Weigh on Sterling ING strategists noted that the pound’s underperformance is closely tied to domestic political developments, including ongoing debates over fiscal policy and trade arrangements. While the UK economy has shown some resilience, political gridlock and uncertainty around future government direction are creating headwinds for sterling. The euro, meanwhile, has found support from a more stable political environment in the eurozone and expectations of continued hawkish signals from the European Central Bank. Market Reaction and Technical Levels Traders have responded by increasing short positions on the pound, pushing EUR/GBP above recent resistance levels. ING’s analysis suggests that if political risks intensify, the pair could test higher levels in the coming weeks. Key support for the pound now sits around the 0.86 level against the euro, with a break below that potentially opening the door to further losses. The market is also watching for any comments from Bank of England officials, which could provide some relief if they signal a more aggressive stance on inflation. Why This Matters for Investors For businesses and investors with exposure to UK and European markets, the pound’s weakness against the euro has direct implications. Importers paying in euros face higher costs, while UK exporters to the eurozone may benefit from a more competitive exchange rate. The political uncertainty also adds a layer of risk premium to UK assets, potentially affecting portfolio allocations. ING’s report underscores the importance of monitoring political developments closely, as they are likely to remain a key driver of sterling’s direction in the near term. Conclusion The British pound’s decline against the euro reflects a market increasingly focused on political risk rather than economic fundamentals. While the UK economy continues to grow, political headwinds are proving difficult to ignore. Investors should remain cautious and watch for any shifts in the political landscape that could alter the currency’s trajectory. FAQs Q1: What is the main reason for the pound’s weakness against the euro? According to ING, the primary factor is political risk within the UK, including uncertainty over fiscal policy and trade arrangements, which is weighing on investor confidence in sterling. Q2: How much has the pound fallen against the euro? While exact figures vary, the pound has weakened noticeably in recent sessions, with EUR/GBP moving above key resistance levels. ING’s analysis suggests further downside could be possible if political risks persist. Q3: What should investors do in this environment? Investors should monitor UK political developments closely and consider hedging currency exposure if they have significant euro-denominated liabilities. The Bank of England’s policy stance will also be a key factor to watch. This post British Pound Weakens Against Euro as Political Risks Mount: ING first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

13 May 2026, 16:45

Bitcoin May Be 26% Undervalued Relative to Gold, Model Suggests

BitcoinWorld Bitcoin May Be 26% Undervalued Relative to Gold, Model Suggests A new valuation model from asset manager WisdomTree suggests that Bitcoin is currently trading at a significant discount compared to gold. The firm’s BiG (Bitcoin in Gold) model estimates that Bitcoin’s fair value relative to gold is roughly 21.1, while the current ratio stands at 15.6 — indicating a potential undervaluation of approximately 26%. Understanding the BiG Model The WisdomTree BiG model is designed to assess Bitcoin’s relative value by comparing it to gold, a traditional store of value. According to the analysis, reported by CoinDesk, the model’s fair value estimate of 21.1 suggests that Bitcoin has room to appreciate against the precious metal. The current ratio of 15.6 implies that Bitcoin is trading below what the model considers a balanced valuation. The model’s methodology factors in macroeconomic conditions, particularly the behavior of real yields and global liquidity. WisdomTree’s analysis indicates that Bitcoin tends to outperform gold during periods of declining real yields or expanding liquidity — two conditions that have been present in recent months. Macroeconomic Context and Implications The potential undervaluation comes at a time when central banks globally are signaling a shift toward looser monetary policy. Lower interest rates and quantitative easing measures typically reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin and gold, making them more attractive to investors. If the BiG model’s fair value estimate is accurate, it could imply that Bitcoin is poised for a stronger rally than gold if current macroeconomic trends continue. However, it is important to note that valuation models are not predictive tools and carry inherent uncertainty. Market sentiment, regulatory developments, and technological factors can all influence the actual price trajectory. What This Means for Investors For investors, the BiG model provides a framework for thinking about Bitcoin’s relative value, but it should not be interpreted as a guarantee of future returns. The 26% discount suggests that, under current macro conditions, Bitcoin may offer more upside potential than gold — but it also carries higher volatility and risk. The comparison between Bitcoin and gold remains a central debate in the investment community. While gold has a millennia-long track record as a store of value, Bitcoin is often described as ‘digital gold’ due to its fixed supply and decentralized nature. The BiG model attempts to bridge these two assets by applying a traditional valuation lens to a digital asset. Conclusion WisdomTree’s BiG model presents a data-driven perspective on Bitcoin’s valuation relative to gold, suggesting a potential 26% undervaluation. While the model offers useful context for investors, it is not a crystal ball. The actual relationship between Bitcoin and gold will continue to be shaped by macroeconomic forces, investor sentiment, and evolving market dynamics. As always, investors should consider their own risk tolerance and conduct thorough research before making decisions. FAQs Q1: What is the WisdomTree BiG model? The BiG (Bitcoin in Gold) model is a valuation framework developed by asset manager WisdomTree that compares Bitcoin’s price to gold to assess whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to the traditional safe-haven asset. Q2: What does a 26% undervaluation mean for Bitcoin’s price? It suggests that, based on the model’s fair value estimate of 21.1 for the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio, Bitcoin could have room to appreciate relative to gold. However, valuation models are not guarantees of future price movements. Q3: Why might Bitcoin outperform gold in the current environment? The BiG model indicates that Bitcoin tends to perform better than gold during periods of declining real yields or expanding liquidity, both of which have been observed recently due to central bank policy shifts. This post Bitcoin May Be 26% Undervalued Relative to Gold, Model Suggests first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

13 May 2026, 16:20

Brazil's central bank hits Banco Topázio with crypto ban, $3.3M fine over violations

The Brazilian Central Bank has emphasized that crypto compliance is not just a formality. According to the regulator’s supervisor, the action taken on Banco Topazio serves as a model for future enforcement cases, and not as a one-off punishment. The ruling came after Copas identified several irregularities in the bank’s operations from October 2020 to September 2021. Within those years, the bank executed over-the-counter cryptocurrency transactions without putting proper checks in place to ensure the identities and qualifications of third-party beneficiaries. The flagged transactions made up 63% of the bank’s outbound foreign exchange transfers that period and 47% of its primary market activity. Due to this, the committee concluded that the scale of the issue has damaged the institution’s credibility in the country’s foreign exchange market. Regulators call Banco Topazio’s violations grave According to Article 4, clause IV of Law 13.506, Copas deemed that the actions committed by Banco Topazio were grave, and the following punishment serves as a model for future enforcement cases that might arise, and not a special punishment for the bank. The committee mentioned that violations are divided into three main areas: little to no checks on the financial capacity of clients, weak customer registration procedures, and inadequate controls to prevent money laundering and terrorism funding. Following the punishment, three executives were also punished. Ademir Julio Schenatto was fined R$732,000 and banned from holding any position at regulated financial institutions for five years. Allison Forgiarini Ferreira was fined R$471,000, while Haroldo Pimentel Stumpf was fined R$358,000. Brazil’s central bank fires warning shot to broader industry While the fines take the spotlight, the underlying message from Ailton Aquino who serves as the Central Bank director and the president of the Copas committe is simple: the commercial restriction imposed on Topazio “could and should also be used, as necessary, as a precautionary measure, without initially requiring the opening of an administrative sanctioning process, whenever we assess that the grounds for applying Law 13.506 are present.” Aquino also confirmed that the government intends to use the sanctions against other companies in the sector that fail to implement proper client registration or supervision systems, signaling a much tougher approach to managing and controlling the crypto and financial industry. The wider regulatory crackdown in Brazil On April 30, Brazil’s central bank released Resolution BCB No. 561, which placed a ban on all electronic foreign exchange providers from using stablecoins and other crypto tokens like Bitcoin to carry out overseas transactions. The institution placed an order for all EFX payment routes to follow traditional foreign exchange systems or non-residential real accounts. This new development is aimed at removing digital assets from the country’s regulated framework rather than outrightly banning crypto transfers in the country. With this, the central bank is able to keep international transfers within the foreign exchange channels it can monitor. These new laws introduce stricter terms and regulations to the ecosystem, as eFX providers must now safeguard client funds in separate accounts, submit monthly reports through the central bank’s foreign exchange system, and store transaction records with the institution for the next ten years. The smartest crypto minds already read our newsletter. Want in? Join them .

13 May 2026, 16:15

Bitcoin falls below $80K as hot US inflation data rattles crypto markets

Bitcoin price has fallen below $80,000 after fresh US inflation data and rising rate hike expectations triggered renewed selling pressure across crypto markets on May 13. According to Coingecko, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading near the $79,000 after losing the key psychological support level that traders had defended throughout the week. The decline followed a volatile session in which BTC briefly attempted to stabilise above $81,000 before sellers regained control after the latest US Producer Price Index report. Elsewhere across traditional markets, Treasury yields and the US dollar moved higher after the inflation release, adding more pressure on speculative assets. Bitcoin, which has increasingly traded in line with liquidity conditions and macro sentiment, reacted quickly as risk appetite weakened. Why is Bitcoin price going down? Persistent inflation fears have become the main driver behind the latest Bitcoin pullback. Fresh US Producer Price Index data released today showed headline producer inflation surging 6% year over year, far above economist forecasts of around 4.9%, intensifying concerns that price pressures across the economy remain difficult to contain. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy costs, climbed 5.2%, its highest level in more than three years, while Final Demand less Foods, Energy, and Trade Services rose 4.4%. Earlier in the week, April’s Consumer Price Index report had already shown inflation rising 3.8% year over year, slightly above market expectations of 3.7%. The combination of elevated CPI and an even hotter PPI print has strengthened the higher-for-longer interest rate narrative, weighing on crypto and equities. Because rising producer costs often pass through to consumers over time, traders increasingly expect inflation to remain elevated in the coming months. Higher interest rates typically reduce demand for non-yielding assets such as Bitcoin because investors can earn stronger returns from government bonds and cash-based instruments. At the same time, technical resistance near the $82,000 region has repeatedly capped Bitcoin’s upside momentum. Bitcoin has failed to secure a clean breakout above the zone several times, and this level also aligns closely with the 200-day moving average. Traders are likely treating the recent rallies toward this level as profit-taking opportunities, leading to repeated pullbacks into the high-$79,000 to low-$80,000 range. Adding to market stress, oil prices also climbed sharply during the session, reviving concerns that energy-driven inflation could keep monetary conditions restrictive for longer. Analysts tracking macro flows said rising fuel costs often increase inflation worries across financial markets, especially when central banks are already cautious about cutting rates. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continued pushing investors toward traditional safe-haven assets. Although Bitcoin is frequently compared with gold during periods of uncertainty, recent trading behavior has shown BTC moving more closely with equities during risk-off conditions. While Gold and the US dollar both attracted inflows, crypto markets weakened. Liquidation activity added another layer of downside pressure after Bitcoin lost support levels during the US trading session. CoinGlass liquidation heatmap data showed large leveraged positions concentrated between roughly $80,000 and $85,500, creating conditions for rapid price swings once volatility accelerated. Over the past 24 hours, over $244 million worth of long positions were liquidated, with over $82 million coming from Bitcoin. Crypto liquidation heatmap. Source: Coinglass. Will Bitcoin price go up? According to crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades, the Bitcoin price needs to clear the $82,000 resistance zone to be able to move higher. BTC/USDT price chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades on X. “But until then, we are trading at resistance. Stocks were shaky yesterday but recovered nicely already. Market mostly awaiting some clarity in regards to the conflict in the Middle East,” the analyst added. Meanwhile, fellow trader and analyst Ted Pillows drew attention to exchange order books where a large concentration of sell orders was placed between the $81,000 to $85,0000 level. This setup suggests traders are aggressively defending the upper resistance region while buyers continue attempting to protect Bitcoin from a deeper breakdown below $80,000. Large sell walls often make upward moves harder because traders looking to push prices higher must absorb significant supply before momentum can continue. However, according to crypto analyst Rekt Capital, Bitcoin’s latest weekly close below the upper boundary of a key CME gap region suggests the asset could remain trapped in consolidation for the time being. Rekt Capital’s chart showed Bitcoin hovering near the lower end of the highlighted gap area around the low-$80,000 region after repeated rejection attempts near resistance. Bitcoin CME Futures weekly chart. Source: Rekt Capital. The analysis suggests BTC may continue ranging inside that zone unless buyers regain enough strength to push the price back above the upper boundary near $82,300. The post Bitcoin falls below $80K as hot US inflation data rattles crypto markets appeared first on Invezz

13 May 2026, 16:10

Euro Slides as Hot US Inflation Data Revives Fed Rate Hike Bets

BitcoinWorld Euro Slides as Hot US Inflation Data Revives Fed Rate Hike Bets The euro weakened against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday after hotter-than-expected inflation data from the United States fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may need to resume its interest rate hiking cycle. The currency pair fell sharply as traders recalibrated their expectations for monetary policy on both sides of the Atlantic. US Inflation Data Surprises to the Upside The latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed a month-over-month increase that exceeded economists’ forecasts, with core inflation remaining stubbornly elevated. The data, released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, indicated that price pressures are not cooling as quickly as the market had anticipated, prompting a swift repricing of Fed rate expectations. Investors had largely expected the Fed to hold rates steady or begin cutting later this year. However, the new figures suggest that inflation may be stickier than previously thought, reviving the possibility of further tightening. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate hike at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting rose significantly immediately following the release. Market Reaction and EUR/USD Movement The euro fell to a session low against the dollar, breaking below key technical support levels. The EUR/USD pair, a bellwether for global risk sentiment, dropped as much as 0.7% before stabilizing slightly. The move was driven by a strengthening dollar as higher U.S. yields made dollar-denominated assets more attractive. Currency analysts noted that the divergence between the Fed’s potential hawkish stance and the European Central Bank’s more cautious outlook contributed to the euro’s weakness. While the ECB has also been battling inflation, the eurozone economy faces headwinds that may limit the pace of further rate increases. Impact on Traders and Investors For forex traders, the data release underscores the importance of monitoring inflation trends closely. The renewed dollar strength creates headwinds for euro-denominated assets and may influence corporate earnings for companies with significant transatlantic exposure. Importers and exporters dealing in EUR/USD will need to hedge against further volatility. Bond markets also reacted sharply, with U.S. Treasury yields climbing to multi-week highs. This has implications for global borrowing costs and could dampen risk appetite in equity markets, particularly in rate-sensitive sectors like technology and real estate. Conclusion The euro’s decline against the dollar reflects a fundamental shift in market expectations for U.S. monetary policy. As long as inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, the risk of further rate hikes will keep the dollar supported and the euro under pressure. Traders should brace for continued volatility as upcoming economic data will be scrutinized for clues on the Fed’s next move. FAQs Q1: Why did the euro weaken after the US inflation data? The stronger-than-expected US inflation data increased the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates again. Higher US interest rates make the dollar more attractive to investors, causing the euro to weaken relative to the dollar. Q2: What is the EUR/USD exchange rate and why does it matter? The EUR/USD exchange rate represents how many US dollars one euro can buy. It is the most traded currency pair in the world and is a key indicator of global economic health and investor sentiment. Q3: Could the Federal Reserve actually raise rates again? While the Fed has signaled a potential pause, the hot inflation data increases the possibility of another rate hike. The decision will depend on upcoming economic data, including jobs reports and further inflation readings. Markets are now pricing in a higher probability of a hike at the next FOMC meeting. This post Euro Slides as Hot US Inflation Data Revives Fed Rate Hike Bets first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

13 May 2026, 16:00

Arthur Hayes Urges Bitcoin Dip Buying Near $80K, Eyes $250K Target on Potential Fed QE

BitcoinWorld Arthur Hayes Urges Bitcoin Dip Buying Near $80K, Eyes $250K Target on Potential Fed QE BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has advised investors to buy Bitcoin during the current price dip, specifically around the $80,000 level, according to a recent report. Hayes views the recent downturn not as a structural breakdown but as a shakeout of weaker retail hands, driven by broader macroeconomic pressures rather than a shift in Bitcoin’s long-term fundamentals. Macro Pressures and the Case for Buying the Dip Hayes attributes the recent price weakness to shocks in U.S. economic data, including hotter-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) readings. These reports have fueled concerns about persistent inflation and a more cautious Federal Reserve, temporarily dampening risk-on sentiment across crypto and equities. However, Hayes argues that the same inflationary pressures are pushing U.S. Treasury yields higher, which could force the Trump administration to accelerate trade negotiations with China to stabilize the economy. “The shakeout is cleansing the market of speculative retail traders who panic at the first sign of macro turbulence,” Hayes noted. “For those with a longer time horizon, this is precisely the environment to accumulate.” He acknowledged that Bitcoin could briefly correct to $70,000 before resuming its upward trajectory, but emphasized that such a move would represent a buying opportunity rather than a reason to exit. The $250,000 Target: A Bet on Quantitative Easing Hayes’s most striking prediction is a potential rally to $250,000, contingent on the Federal Reserve pivoting back to quantitative easing (QE). He argues that the current high-yield environment is unsustainable for the U.S. government’s debt burden and that political pressure will eventually force the Fed to resume bond purchases and inject liquidity into the financial system. “The debt spiral is real. At some point, the Treasury and the Fed will have no choice but to print money again,” Hayes stated. “When that happens, Bitcoin will be the primary beneficiary, as it is the hardest asset in a sea of debasement.” This scenario aligns with Hayes’s long-standing thesis that Bitcoin serves as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation, a narrative that has gained traction among institutional investors during previous QE cycles. Why This Matters for Crypto Investors Hayes’s analysis carries weight within the crypto community due to his track record as a market maker and early Bitcoin advocate. His comments arrive at a time when many retail investors are uncertain about the next directional move, given conflicting signals from inflation data, Fed policy, and geopolitical developments. For readers, the key takeaway is the distinction between short-term volatility and long-term structural trends. While a drop to $70,000 is possible, Hayes’s outlook suggests that patient investors who buy during fear could be rewarded if macroeconomic conditions shift in Bitcoin’s favor. It is important to note that Hayes’s prediction is not a guarantee. The timeline for any Fed policy shift remains uncertain, and further inflation surprises could delay or prevent QE. Investors should consider their own risk tolerance and conduct independent research before acting on any single analyst’s forecast. Conclusion Arthur Hayes’s call to buy Bitcoin near $80,000 reflects a conviction that the current correction is temporary and macro-driven rather than a change in Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition. His $250,000 target hinges on a future Fed pivot to quantitative easing, a scenario that remains speculative but plausible given rising government debt levels. For now, the market watches for further economic data and central bank signals that could confirm or contradict Hayes’s thesis. FAQs Q1: Why does Arthur Hayes recommend buying Bitcoin at $80,000? He believes the current price drop is a shakeout of retail investors caused by temporary macro pressures, not a fundamental shift. He sees the dip as a buying opportunity for long-term holders. Q2: What is the basis for the $250,000 Bitcoin price target? Hayes predicts that if the Federal Reserve resumes quantitative easing (QE) to manage rising Treasury yields and government debt, the resulting liquidity injection could drive Bitcoin to $250,000. Q3: Could Bitcoin fall below $80,000 before recovering? Yes. Hayes acknowledged the possibility of a short-term correction to $70,000, but views any further decline as an even better buying opportunity rather than a reason to sell. This post Arthur Hayes Urges Bitcoin Dip Buying Near $80K, Eyes $250K Target on Potential Fed QE first appeared on BitcoinWorld .