Invest ideasNews
16 Apr 2026, 18:00
Why Did The Bitcoin Price Rally Past $75,000 Despite The US-Iran War?
Bitwise Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Hougan has explained why the Bitcoin price has shown strength amid the US-Iran war, with the leading crypto rallying above $75,000. BTC is notably up over 12% since the war started, outperforming the stock market and gold. Why The Bitcoin Price Has Rallied Above $75,000 Despite U.S.-Iran War In his weekly Bitwise memo, Hougan stated that the Bitcoin price strength during the US-Iran war stems from the conflict itself. He explained that BTC has outperformed gold and the stock market because investors are betting on either of the crypto’s two major use cases or narratives. The first narrative is that Bitcoin will become “digital gold” and so will be able to compete with physical gold in the $38 trillion “store of value” market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Must Hold This Level Or Price Could Crash To $65,000 Again He noted that this is BTC’s current use case, and this narrative may be why the Bitcoin price has rallied amid the US-Iran war as investors see it as a safe haven rather than a risk asset. The Bitwise CIO described this bet on BTC as digital gold as very attractive and predicted that the leading crypto could reach $1 million if it captures 17% of the store-of-value market. Meanwhile, Hougan stated that the second bet on BTC is the belief that it might act like a traditional currency, suggesting that this is another reason that it is outperforming during this ongoing conflict. He noted that this second bet is like an “out-of-the-money call option” where it pays off if BTC is used more widely for international settlement. The Bitwise CIO stated that for most of Bitcoin’s life, it seemed unlikely that it would become a global currency, as until a few years ago, the world relied exclusively on dollar-based financial rails. However, that is now changing. He alluded to Iran receiving BTC for toll payments at the Strait of Hormuz, which has boosted the crypto’s status as a currency and contributed to the Bitcoin price rally. World Monetary Order Is Flipping In BTC’s Favor The Bitwise CIO noted that the US-Iran war has made the world monetary order more volatile, but has also increased the probability that Bitcoin will become a global currency. As such, the war has made BTC a more valuable out-of-the-money call option, which is why the Bitcoin price has shown strength during this period. Related Reading: Analyst Who Successfully Shorted The Bitcoin Price Top Announces A Change In His Plan Hougan added that with Iran’s move to accept BTC payments, the world has taken a step closer to integrating an apolitical currency into the global financial ecosystem. Therefore, whenever conflicts like the US-Iran war occur, the incentive to invest in apolitical assets like BTC increases, which serves as a catalyst for a higher Bitcoin price. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $75,100, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
16 Apr 2026, 18:00
Analyst warns crypto rebound is only a ‘partial reset’ of late-cycle market
Bitcoin dominance is strong, and altcoin season is not picking up—then why is the leading currency still screaming bearish sentiments?
16 Apr 2026, 18:00
USD/CHF Surges as Dollar Rebounds, Mixed Data and Inflation Risks Loom Large
BitcoinWorld USD/CHF Surges as Dollar Rebounds, Mixed Data and Inflation Risks Loom Large The USD/CHF currency pair edged notably higher in early European trading on Thursday, March 13, 2025, as the US dollar staged a broad-based rebound. This movement follows a cocktail of mixed economic signals from the United States and renewed focus on persistent inflation risks that continue to shape global monetary policy expectations. Consequently, traders are closely monitoring the dynamics between the world’s primary reserve currency and the traditional safe-haven Swiss franc. USD/CHF Technical and Fundamental Drivers Market analysts point to several concurrent factors driving the pair’s ascent. Firstly, the US Dollar Index (DXY) found solid footing above the 104.50 level, recovering from recent losses. This rebound provided direct upward pressure on USD/CHF. Secondly, the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) ongoing interventions to manage franc strength have created a ceiling for the CHF. The SNB has consistently emphasized its willingness to sell francs to combat deflationary pressures and support export competitiveness. Furthermore, the interest rate differential remains a key pillar. The Federal Reserve’s “higher for longer” rhetoric contrasts with the SNB’s more cautious stance. This divergence supports the US dollar’s yield advantage. Recent comments from Fed officials have reinforced this narrative, suggesting patience before any policy easing. The table below summarizes recent key data points influencing the pair: Indicator US Data Swiss Data Market Impact CPI Inflation (YoY) 3.1% 1.2% Supports USD yield appeal Retail Sales (MoM) +0.6% +0.3% Mixed; US consumer resilience noted Manufacturing PMI 49.5 45.8 Highlighted global softness Geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East have also intermittently boosted demand for safe havens. However, the Swiss franc’s reaction has been muted relative to gold or the Japanese yen. This suggests market participants are weighing Switzerland’s unique position carefully. The country’s large financial sector remains exposed to global market volatility, potentially offsetting pure safe-haven flows. Analyzing the Mixed US Economic Signals The US economic landscape presents a complex picture for currency traders. On one hand, robust labor market data and resilient consumer spending argue against imminent Fed rate cuts. On the other hand, signs of softening in the manufacturing sector and moderating wage growth introduce uncertainty. This mixed bag has led to heightened volatility in short-term rate expectations, directly impacting the dollar’s trajectory. Inflation data remains the paramount concern. While headline inflation has retreated from its peak, core measures prove sticky, particularly in services. The Fed’s preferred gauge, the Core PCE Price Index, continues to run above the 2% target. Consequently, market pricing for the timing of the first Fed cut has been pushed further into 2025. This recalibration provides fundamental support for the greenback against most major counterparts, including the Swiss franc. Expert Perspective on Central Bank Divergence “The core narrative remains one of policy divergence,” notes Claudia Weber, a senior currency strategist at a major European bank. “The Federal Reserve is navigating a ‘last mile’ inflation problem with a still-strong economy. Conversely, the SNB faces the opposite challenge: preventing low inflation from morphing into deflation in an export-dependent economy. This fundamental asymmetry is a primary driver for USD/CHF over the medium term.” Weber’s analysis highlights that while both central banks are data-dependent, their reaction functions differ significantly, creating a persistent directional bias for the currency pair. Historical context is also instructive. The USD/CHF pair has often acted as a barometer for global risk sentiment and relative monetary policy. Periods of synchronized global tightening or easing see range-bound trading. However, phases of policy divergence, like the current one, typically produce stronger trending behavior. The current move higher aligns with this historical pattern, suggesting the trend may have further room to run barring a sharp shift in the data or central bank communication. Swiss Franc’s Safe-Haven Status in a New Era The Swiss franc’s role as a safe-haven currency is undergoing subtle changes. Traditionally, geopolitical or financial market stress triggered immediate franc appreciation. Recent episodes show a more nuanced response. The SNB’s explicit willingness to intervene has introduced a credible “cap” on franc strength. Additionally, Switzerland’s own economic vulnerabilities, including its high exposure to global banking and pharmaceuticals, mean domestic shocks can offset global safe-haven inflows. Key factors influencing the franc’s appeal include: SNB’s Foreign Currency Reserves: The bank holds massive reserves, primarily in euros and dollars, which it can use to sell francs. Real Interest Rates: Switzerland’s deeply negative real rates reduce the franc’s attractiveness for yield-seeking investors. Global Liquidity Conditions: Tighter global liquidity often supports the dollar more than the franc. Eurozone Stability: As Switzerland’s largest trading partner, stability in the Eurozone reduces safe-haven demand for the CHF. This evolving dynamic means the franc no longer appreciates automatically during risk-off periods. Instead, its movement is now a function of a complex calculus involving SNB policy, Eurozone health, and global dollar liquidity. This complexity adds layers to the USD/CHF analysis beyond simple risk-on/risk-off paradigms. Conclusion The recent climb in USD/CHF underscores the US dollar’s renewed strength amid a fog of mixed economic data. Persistent inflation risks in the United States are delaying expectations for policy easing, supporting the dollar’s yield advantage. Meanwhile, the Swiss franc remains constrained by an activist central bank focused on preventing excessive appreciation. The path forward for the USD/CHF pair will hinge on the evolving inflation trajectory in the US, the SNB’s intervention threshold, and the broader global risk environment. Traders should monitor upcoming US CPI releases and SNB quarterly bulletins for the next significant catalysts. FAQs Q1: What does USD/CHF going higher mean? It means the US dollar is strengthening relative to the Swiss franc. One US dollar buys more Swiss francs than before. Q2: Why is the US dollar rebounding now? The rebound is driven by market reassessment of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path, with persistent inflation data suggesting rates will stay higher for longer, increasing the dollar’s yield appeal. Q3: How does Swiss National Bank policy affect USD/CHF? The SNB actively sells Swiss francs to prevent excessive appreciation, which hurts Swiss exports. This intervention creates selling pressure on the CHF, often supporting a higher USD/CHF exchange rate. Q4: Is the Swiss franc still a safe-haven currency? Yes, but its safe-haven status is now more conditional. The SNB’s intervention policy and Switzerland’s economic ties to the global economy mean its appreciation during crises is less automatic than in the past. Q5: What are the main risks to the current USD/CHF uptrend? Key risks include a faster-than-expected drop in US inflation prompting aggressive Fed cuts, a major escalation in geopolitical tension triggering pure safe-haven franc buying, or a surprise hawkish shift from the SNB. This post USD/CHF Surges as Dollar Rebounds, Mixed Data and Inflation Risks Loom Large first appeared on BitcoinWorld .
16 Apr 2026, 18:00
Bitcoin analysts see ‘further upside,’ and identify next price levels to watch
Traders say Bitcoin has room to rally higher, but the upside could be capped at BTC’s active supply cost basis near $78,000.
16 Apr 2026, 17:55
Charles Schwab to Roll Out Bitcoin and Ethereum Trading in “Next Few Weeks”
Charles Schwab has announced a phased launch of spot cryptocurrency trading for retail clients, with direct access to Bitcoin and Ethereum expected in the next few weeks. The new offering, called Schwab Crypto, marks the brokerage’s formal entry into spot crypto trading and expands its digital asset lineup beyond exchange-traded products, futures, options, and crypto-related funds already available on its platform. The company said Schwab Crypto will allow clients to trade Bitcoin and Ethereum alongside traditional investments across Schwab.com, Schwab Mobile, and thinkorswim. The rollout comes as more traditional financial firms move further into digital assets and as crypto-native platforms expand into stock trading and broader financial services. Schwab said the product is designed for retail investors who want direct access to major cryptocurrencies while keeping those holdings within the same broader investing ecosystem they already use. The firm plans to charge 75 basis points, or 0.75%, on the dollar value of each crypto trade. Based on the fee details provided in the company materials, that would place Schwab below Fidelity Crypto’s 1% fee and within the range of other retail platforms including Robinhood and Coinbase. Schwab Crypto Adds Direct BTC and ETH Access At launch, Schwab Crypto will support only Bitcoin and Ethereum, which the company said together account for about three-quarters of the cryptocurrency market by capitalization. Schwab also said it intends to add more cryptocurrencies over time, along with transfer functions for deposits and withdrawals so clients can move digital assets onto the platform in the future. The company said clients will need a separate crypto account through Charles Schwab Premier Bank, which will be linked directly to their brokerage accounts. Schwab Premier Bank will serve as custodian for client digital assets and handle safekeeping and record-keeping. Paxos, an OCC-regulated blockchain infrastructure provider, has been selected to provide sub-custody and trade execution services. Jonathan Craig, Schwab’s head of retail investing, said the product is meant to let clients access crypto alongside their other investments while using the research, service, and education already associated with the Schwab brand. Joe Vietri, head of digital assets at Charles Schwab, said the company aims to build an all-in-one investing and banking experience for clients interested in adding crypto exposure to their portfolios. Traditional Brokers Expand Crypto Services Schwab’s launch adds to a broader shift among large financial firms that had previously limited their direct crypto offerings. Morgan Stanley recently launched a spot Bitcoin ETF, while Goldman Sachs filed to introduce a Bitcoin income ETF, according to the material provided. Fidelity, one of Schwab’s largest rivals, entered the crypto market earlier and introduced a crypto trading app in 2023 after years of digital asset activity across retirement and charitable products. At the same time, crypto-native firms are moving in the opposite direction. Coinbase began rolling out commission-free stock trading in January, and Kraken followed with stock trading this week. Schwab’s new product therefore places the firm in more direct competition with both traditional brokerage rivals and digital asset platforms that are trying to build multi-asset financial businesses. Schwab said client interest has remained a central driver behind the launch. In company comments cited in the supplied material, executives said many clients already keep the vast majority of their wealth at Schwab but hold a small portion at digital-native firms for crypto exposure. The new offering is intended to bring those assets back into one account environment. Education and Support Form Part of the Rollout Beyond trading, Schwab said the new product will include digital asset education, market commentary, and coaching resources through the Schwab Center for Financial Research and Schwab Coaching. The company also said clients will have access to round-the-clock support by phone or chat as part of the service. Schwab cited a 2025 survey of 460 current and prospective crypto investors that found low and transparent pricing, brand reputation, and asset security were among the main factors people considered when choosing a crypto trading platform. The company is using those themes as part of the rollout as it tries to attract investors looking for direct crypto access through an established brokerage. Schwab shares fell about 5% on Thursday after the company reported a first-quarter revenue miss earlier in the day.
16 Apr 2026, 17:52
Bitcoin price nears $75,000, eyes new $80,000 high
🟠 Bitcoin approaches $75,000 with eyes on $80,000. Two historic price records are shaping the current trading zone. Continue Reading: Bitcoin price nears $75,000, eyes new $80,000 high The post Bitcoin price nears $75,000, eyes new $80,000 high appeared first on COINTURK NEWS .
