Invest ideasNews
25 Apr 2026, 11:45
Shiba Inu Exchange Inflows Hit 184 Billion SHIB: Is a Volatility Breakout Coming?
Shiba Inu is attracting renewed attention from analysts and traders alike. Over 184 billion SHIB tokens moved onto exchanges during a brief but sharp spike in market activity. That figure is not insignificant. It signals a shift in sentiment and possibly a turning point in price action. Data from CryptoQuant confirms the trend. Both spot exchange inflows and the 7-day moving average of those inflows have climbed. Exchange reserves have also ticked upward. More SHIB is now sitting on trading platforms, ready to be deployed. Net flow remains positive, meaning inflows are outpacing outflows. That dynamic places more immediate supply into the market and creates friction at key resistance levels. Large token movements onto exchanges typically reflect one of three intentions: liquidation, hedging, or active positioning ahead of anticipated volatility. Whichever motive applies here, the outcome is the same: the market structure is shifting. Whale Activity Points to Strategic Positioning Large transaction inflows have risen alongside the broader exchange activity. This is significant. Transactions of this scale are not executed by retail participants. Institutional players or high-net-worth holders are moving funds, and their behavior tends to drive outsized price swings in either direction. The presence of large holders in the market does not confirm a bullish or bearish outcome on its own. What matters is the follow-through. If these actors are distributing holdings, selling pressure will mount. If they are accumulating or preparing for a breakout trade, upward momentum could build quickly. At this stage, on-chain data does not definitively resolve that question. The directional bias remains unclear. What is clear is that passive market conditions are ending. High-volume participants rarely move this much capital without a purpose. Retail traders and short-term investors would be wise to monitor large transaction metrics closely over the coming days. Price Structure Shows Early Signs of Recovery Despite the bearish overhang from declining long-term moving averages, SHIB's price chart is showing tentative signs of improvement. The token has formed a modest ascending channel following a prolonged downtrend. That is a constructive development, even if it remains fragile. The 100-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) are both trending downward. These indicators act as dynamic resistance. Any rally that lacks strong volume conviction will struggle to push through those levels. A clean breakout above them would represent a meaningful technical shift and could attract further buying interest. At the time of writing, Shiba Inu is trading at around 0.000006206, down 0.2% in the last 24 hours.
25 Apr 2026, 11:39
Brazil outlaws event betting platforms, targets Kalshi and Polymarket
The Brazilian government officially banned 27 prediction platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket. The National Monetary Council (NMC) issued Resolution No. 5,298, prohibiting derivative contracts based on non-economic events like sports, political elections, and cultural outcomes. Telecommunications regulator Anatel was instructed to shut down the domains of the affected platforms in late April 2026, rendering them inaccessible to users within Brazil. The Brazilian government describes these platforms as gambling schemes disguised as financial instruments. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s administration also attributes the rising household debt, in part, to unregulated online gambling. Finance Minister Dario Durigan emphasizes that the ban aims to protect citizen savings and curb rising household debt. The 27 platforms were initially targeted for offering “illegal wagering,” before the CMN clarified that trading in derivatives remains legal only if tied to approved economic benchmarks (such as exchange rates or interest rates) and conducted by authorized firms. Polymarket has been blocked for offering unlicensed binary event contracts. At the same time, Kalshi was included in the sweep due to new restrictions on non-financial event contracts, despite having recently partnered with Brazilian brokerage XP International in March 2026. Durigan says prediction markets contravene betting regulations According to Finance Minister Durigan, prediction markets based on elections, sports, and cultural events contravene regulations and lack federal oversight. The Brazilian Central Bank also emphasizes that these platforms bypass authorized financial frameworks, potentially threatening the stability and transparency of the national financial system. Economic Reforms Secretary Regis Dudena also agrees that these platforms bypass Congress-approved regulations, operating in a “gray area” that lacks consumer protection. However, industry experts and critics highlight significant drawbacks regarding the Brazilian government’s focus on protection. They warn that such a broad ban stifles a thriving digital finance sector that could offer unique hedging tools and crucial data for forecasting. Banning regulated platforms like Kalshi (which has partnered with a local brokerage) may also drive users toward even less transparent offshore platforms. Meanwhile, the move to ban prediction markets positions Brazil alongside Colombia and Argentina in classifying them as unregulated gambling rather than financial trading. Presidential Chief of Staff Miriam Belchior emphasizes that the ban aims to protect families from exposure to harmful practices. However, Cryptopolitan notes that losing these prediction markets could affect market intelligence during critical events such as elections. Prediction markets are often valued for their ability to aggregate information more accurately than traditional polls. NMC defines underlying assets for derivative trading The NMC’s resolution establishes a clear boundary between financial trading and what the government characterizes as “gambling disguised as finance.” Derivative contracts are now limited to pre-defined economic and financial benchmarks, including price indices (e.g., inflation rates), interest rates, and exchange rates. The definition provides the legal basis for the current crackdown on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. On the other hand, trading in permitted derivatives remains legal only if conducted by firms authorized by the Central Bank of Brazil (BCB) and in compliance with strict secondary regulations. The Brazilian Ministry of Finance and the CMN frame this as a vital step to ensure that the financial system is not used to facilitate “potentially destructive” gambling habits that worsen household debt. However, it is important to note that the regulatory approaches of Brazil and the U.S. toward prediction markets diverged significantly in 2026. They are moving in opposite directions regarding the legality of non-economic event contracts. Brazil’s CMN has adopted a restrictive, categorical approach that effectively bans event-based prediction markets. At the same time, the U.S. CFTC has pivoted toward a more permissive though highly regulated framework in 2026 under Chairman Michael Selig. Specifically, the CFTC classifies event contracts as “swaps” under the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) because their value depends on an event happening. On February 4, 2026, the CFTC withdrew a prior 2024 proposal that would have categorically banned contracts on elections and sports as “gaming.” The Commission now considers sports and certain political contracts permissible for trading on authorized platforms like Kalshi. Meanwhile, a new Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPRM) was issued on March 12, 2026, to establish standards for these markets rather than banning them. The only requirement is that these prediction platforms adhere to strict principles regarding market manipulation and trade protection. There’s a middle ground between leaving money in the bank and rolling the dice in crypto. Start with this free video on decentralized finance .
25 Apr 2026, 11:31
Current State of XRP On Exchanges Stuns XRP Army
Something is happening to XRP’s exchange supply. Data shared by crypto expert Chad Steingraber shows total XRP holdings across 41 tracked exchanges now sit at $16.1 billion, down 16% since February 24, 2025. That translates to a net outflow of over $3 billion in XRP leaving exchanges. This implies that holders are moving assets for self-custody . Current state of XRP on exchanges… $16.11Billion https://t.co/PZfUDso1c9 pic.twitter.com/LKJhRxH0xG — Chad Steingraber (@ChadSteingraber) April 23, 2026 The Largest Exchanges Lead the Trend Upbit, South Korea’s largest exchange, holds the largest share of any exchange at 40.26% of total tracked supply, with a current balance of $6.48 billion. It is up 8.34% since February 24, and XRP has seen notable activity in the region, even surpassing Bitcoin in trading volume . Binance, ranked second with a 15.82% market share, tells a different story entirely. Its balance has risen $1.76 billion since February, a 223.64% increase. That growth stands out sharply against the decline seen everywhere else. Bithumb, ranked third, has shed 42.75% of its XRP balance since last year, losing over $1.36 billion. Uphold is down 18.11%. Kraken has dropped 87.32%, losing over $506 million. These are not minor fluctuations. Major exchanges are seeing consistent, significant outflows . The Shocking Declines Several exchanges show near-total depletion of their XRP reserves. Korbit is down 99.72%. KuCoin has lost 99.82% of its balance since February. OKX holds just $163 in total XRP, down 100%. BTC Markets has declined 98.13%. Bitget is down 98.89%. These figures show exchanges that once held meaningful XRP reserves now holding almost nothing. Bybit has dropped 71.05%, losing over $232 million. Crypto.com is down 42.58%. Coinone has shed 47.74%. The pattern is consistent across mid-tier and smaller exchanges. We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 The Supply Shock Case When XRP moves off exchanges at this rate, the remaining sell-side supply contracts. With total exchange balances down $3.07 billion since 2025, less XRP sits in positions ready to be sold. A supply shock becomes a real possibility when demand rises against a shrinking pool of available tokens. Basic supply dynamics support the case for upward price pressure. The Binance increase is the one counterpoint worth watching. A 223.64% rise in holdings at the world’s largest exchange adds sell-side liquidity. Whether that offsets the outflows elsewhere remains to be seen. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on X , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post Current State of XRP On Exchanges Stuns XRP Army appeared first on Times Tabloid .
25 Apr 2026, 11:30
Bitcoin ‘Sharks’ Silently Accumulate Amid Market Uncertainty — Details
Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, has declined by 0.9% after a trading week with little to no price action. Although the market’s next direction remains largely uncertain, a recent analysis has provided insight into underlying investor activity that would dictate long-term price direction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Funding Rates Stay Negative Despite Price Gains — What This Means Bitcoin Institutional Flows Reveal Strong Accumulation In a recent post on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake, on-chain analyst GugaOnChain highlights a significant capital rotation underway in the Bitcoin market. The metric relevant to this analysis is the Bitcoin: Global Network Accumulation vs. Distribution by All Cohorts (30D), which tracks whether different wallet-size groups are buying or selling Bitcoin over the past 30 days, thereby revealing which cohorts are driving market supply and demand. The analyst points out that mega-whales (holding more than 10,000 BTC) have recently distributed -25.51K BTC. However, the released supply was quickly absorbed by smart money “sharks” (investors with 100-1,000 BTC), who reportedly acquired 37.92K BTC during the same period. The analyst explains that, together with the +9.57K BTC absorbed by the 1K-10K BTC cohort, there is an effect of institutional price shielding currently on display. Related Reading: Peter Brandt Sees Bitcoin Hitting $300,000-$500,000 By Late 2029 Selling Pressure Remains Contained As Market Structure Strengthens Further supporting this narrative, the Exchange Whale Ratio — a metric that assesses the proportion of large transactions flowing into exchanges — currently stands at 61.89%. Yet, Binance data shows zero Bitcoin inflows over 24 hours from the 100- to 10,000-BTC cohorts, suggesting that large holders are not preparing to sell. Meanwhile, Open Interest, a key indicator of participation and positioning across derivatives markets, has surged by about 10.43%, reaching approximately $25.98 billion. On the other hand, Bitcoin reserves held on exchanges have declined by nearly 1% over the past month. According to the analyst, this translates to a retraction of approximately 2.66 million BTC. This means investors are moving assets out of exchanges, a behavior typically seen ahead of long-term holding. When this decline is combined with neutral miner positioning (MPI at -0.50) and a positive Coinbase Premium Gap around 23.84 (which reflects steady US buying interest), it becomes apparent that sustained accumulation is ongoing, however subtle. If this persists, the accumulated supply could overcome the existing sell pressure to sponsor the next Bitcoin rally. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is $77,353. According to CoinMarketCap data, the world’s leading cryptocurrency is down 1.33% over the last 24 hours. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview
25 Apr 2026, 11:30
Hashrate Index: Brazil and Venezuela Show Potential to Grow Latam’s Bitcoin Mining Share
A new report on the state of bitcoin mining in Latam found that the region is lagging in bitcoin mining adoption, even as it holds vast energy resources. While Paraguay holds the fourth place in global hashrate, Hashrate Index picked Brazil and Venezuela as the nations to follow. Key Takeaways: A 2026 Hashrate Index report
25 Apr 2026, 11:30
VanEck Mid-April 2026 Bitcoin ChainCheck
Summary BTC realized volatility dropped from 56% to 41% as US-Iran tensions eased, while the 7-day average funding rate turned negative to -1.8%, its lowest reading since 2023. Since 2020, 30-day BTC returns during negative funding periods averaged +11.5% versus +4.5% overall, with a 77% hit rate. Sub -5% funding has produced +19.4% returns on 30-day horizons. Hash rate has declined to the 16th percentile over 30 days, marking the densest concentration of episodes since China’s 2021 mining ban. In 6 of 7 past drawdowns, BTC was higher 90 days later with a median gain of +37.7%. Two historically bullish signals are flashing on bitcoin: negative funding rates and a clustered hash rate drawdown, as volatility cools. Weekly Bitcoin ETP Flows ((USD)) Source: Glassnode as of 4/15/2026. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities named herein. Following 5 consecutive weeks of outflows from 1/24 through 2/21 totaling roughly -$4B, spot bitcoin ETP (BTC-USD) flows reversed in late February and have been net positive in 6 of the last 7 weeks through 4/11. Funding Rates Turn Negative: A Contrarian Buy Signal Bitcoin price action was energetic over the past 30 days, with several 20% drawdowns and rallies amid the US-Iran conflict. As a ceasefire materialized, BTC realized volatility tumbled from a period high of ~56% to settle around ~41%. Low sentiment on bitcoin pressured the 30-day moving average ((MA)) annualized funding rate ((FR)) to 2.1%, down from 2.7% 30 days earlier. The funding rate now stands at the 10th percentile since November 2020. On a shorter timeframe, the 7-day MA bitcoin funding rate turned negative, hitting its lowest levels since 2023 at (-1.8%). Examining instances since 2020 where 7-day bitcoin funding rates turned negative, there is a substantial uplift in average returns as well as a higher probability of positive returns across 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, and 180-day horizons. The mean return uplift for negative FR periods was +630 basis points (bps), and the data show this uplift scales inversely with the depth of negative funding. For context, the mean 30-day BTC return since 2020 is +4.5%, while the mean 30-day return for negative FR periods was +11.5% with a 77% hit rate. When bitcoin funding dropped below -5% annualized, BTC showed a +19.4% return (+1,400 bps uplift) on 30-day periods and a +70% return (+2,900 bps uplift) on 180-day horizons. Negative FR days produced 19 of the top 50 180-day return periods since 2020, despite occurring only 13.6% of the time. Five of the top 10 single-day BTC returns occurred after purchasing during negative funding periods, as did 10 of the top 20. Options Positioning: Hedging at Peak Bearishness Put premiums reached all-time highs over the last 30 days, reflecting a peak in hedging and bearish positioning. On a relative basis, put premiums paid as a share of BTC spot volume surged +120% year-over-year to reach 10 bps and were up +21% versus the prior 30-day period. On an absolute basis, the 7-day MA for put premiums paid is up +19% month-over-month but has come down -71% since its peak on 3/30. While peak absolute bearishness may have passed, investors remain meaningfully bearish on BTC in relative terms. Put Premiums to Spot Volume More Than 6x Higher Than April 2024 Source: Glassnode as of 4/17/2026. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities named herein. Onchain Activity and Long-Term Holder Behavior Bitcoin network onchain activity was generally lower over the past 30 days. Daily transactions surged +22% month-over-month to 545k, reaching the 96th percentile all-time. Despite that jump in volume, daily active addresses slipped -3% month-over-month (51st percentile), while new addresses were down -2% month-over-month. Transfer volume recorded $48.5B/day (81st percentile), down -5% month-over-month as positioning flux dropped alongside volatility declines. The share of active supply in the last 180 days dipped -160 bps to 28.4% (34th percentile), suggesting an increasing tendency toward holder dormancy. Average daily fees dropped -5% month-over-month to ~$169k (49thpercentile) and are down -66% year-over-year, while mean transaction fees fell -22% month-over-month to $0.31 (48thpercentile), well below the $1.27 level from a year ago. Spent Volume Ticked Up for All Long-Term Holders in April m/m Source: Glassnode as of 4/17/2026. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities named herein. Note: Many assume “spent volumes” are a good proxy for BTC sales. However, not all long-dormant coin movements represent selling. Some transfers are sent to quantum-resistant addresses, others are contributions to digital asset treasuries (DATs), and some reflect routine wallet maintenance. The most recent 30-day period shows a broad rebound in spent volume across all holding cohorts. The younger end of the long-term holders (1y-2y, 2y-3y, 3y-5y) sent more bitcoin, up +47%, +52%, and +26% month-over-month, respectively, but their activity was -22%, -24%, and -71% below their 12-month averages. Over the past 4 weeks, the 3y-5y group sent the second-smallest amount of bitcoin since December 2023. As spikes in transfer volumes in the 3y-5y group tend to coincide with 4-year cycle traders, it is logical to see these figures pare back as prices wind down and the cycle resets. Longer-term supply holders increased transfer activity over the last 30 days. The 5y-7y, 7y-10y, and 10y+ segments sent 72k, 45k, and 18k BTC in the trailing 30-day period, amounting to +67%, +87%, and +285% above each group’s respective 12-month average. The longest-term holders, the 7y-10y and the 10y+, respectively, reached the 85th and 90th percentiles of transfer activity over the past four years. Difficulty Rate Volatility Hits Highest Level Since 2021 China Mining Ban Source: Glassnode as of 4/20/2026. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities named herein. Mining Dynamics: Hash Rate Drawdown Signals Bullish Setup Over the past few months, hash rate and Bitcoin network mining difficulty dropped asymmetrically, with difficulty falling further than hash rate. While this may signal network churn, it is typically associated with above-average forward returns for bitcoin. The 30-day change in hash rate MA has declined to the 16th percentile over 30 days and 9th percentile over 90 days, while the change in difficulty MA is even weaker at the 5th and 6th percentiles, respectively. More striking is the clustering: 3 sustained hash rate decline episodes have occurred in just the past 5 months (December 2025, January-February 2026, March-April 2026). This is the densest concentration of drops since China’s mining ban in 2021. In absolute terms, both metrics remain well below their recent peaks. The hash rate 30-day MA currently sits at 985.5 EH/s, down -7.5% from its all-time high of 1,065.7 EH/s set in late November 2025. Difficulty has declined -10.5% below its November 2025 peaks. Difficulty falling more than hash rate generally reflects the algorithm’s lagging adjustment mechanism and miner volatility. As marginal miners exited through 3 successive episodes, difficulty stepped down in discrete two-week resets and has not yet re-equilibrated to the recovering hash rate. Encouragingly, the most recent episodes are shorter and shallower. The January-February 2026 episode lasted 31 days with a peak change in hash rate of -10.9%, while the March-April 2026 episode lasted just 16 days with a peak decline of -6.7%, ending on April 15, 2026. Across the 7 completed sustained decline episodes on record (excluding the 3 most recent, which lack sufficient forward data), the difficulty adjustment mechanism has acted as a stabilizer, giving surviving miners margin relief that encourages long-term hash rate growth. In 6 of those 7 hash rate drawdown episodes, BTC price was higher 90 days after the episode ended, with a median gain of +37.7% (+2,000 bps uplift). Over 180 days, the median return was +63.1% (+2,190 bps uplift), ranging from -3.5% in June 2022 (the only loss in the dataset) to +199.3% in October 2020. Stepping back, we have identified two strong bullish indicators based on historical data. Both mining rate drawdowns and negative funding rates have been associated with strong forward BTC returns. As such, we have become increasingly bullish on bitcoin. Frequently Asked Questions What is the Bitcoin funding rate, and why does it matter? The Bitcoin funding rate is the periodic payment exchanged between long and short traders in perpetual futures contracts, reflecting whether bullish or bearish positioning dominates. Negative funding rates indicate short traders are paying longs, historically a contrarian signal. Since 2020, 30-day BTC returns during negative funding periods have averaged +11.5% versus +4.5% overall. What does a drop in Bitcoin hash rate mean for the network and price? A drop in hash rate typically indicates that marginal miners are turning off rigs as profitability compresses. While it may signal short-term network stress, historical data show that sustained hash rate drawdowns have been associated with above-average forward BTC returns. In 6 of 7 completed drawdown episodes since 2017, BTC was higher 90 days later, with a median gain of +37.7%. Why do long-term Bitcoin holders’ spending patterns matter? Spent volume by long-term holder cohorts can signal cyclical selling pressure or accumulation. Younger long-term holders (1y-5y) often correlate with 4-year cycle activity, while the longest-term cohorts (7y-10y, 10y+) rarely transact. When older cohorts increase spending, it can indicate profit-taking from some of the most seasoned bitcoin investors, though not all long-dormant movements represent selling. Disclosures Definitions Bitcoin ((BTC)) is a decentralized digital currency without a central bank or single administrator. It can be sent from user to user on the peer-to-peer Bitcoin network without intermediaries. Funding rate is the periodic payment exchanged between long and short positions in perpetual futures contracts, used to keep the contract price aligned with the underlying spot price. Hash rate is the total computational power being used to mine and process transactions on the Bitcoin network, typically measured in exahashes per second (EH/s). Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) are publicly traded companies that hold significant portions of their balance sheet in digital assets such as Bitcoin, often using debt or equity issuance to fund purchases. Index performance is not representative of fund performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Risk Considerations This is not an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation to buy or sell any of the securities, financial instruments or digital assets mentioned herein. The information presented does not involve the rendering of personalized investment, financial, legal, tax advice, or any call to action. Certain statements contained herein may constitute projections, forecasts and other forward-looking statements, which do not reflect actual results, are for illustrative purposes only, are valid as of the date of this communication, and are subject to change without notice. Actual future performance of any assets or industries mentioned are unknown. Information provided by third party sources are believed to be reliable and have not been independently verified for accuracy or completeness and cannot be guaranteed. Investments in digital assets and Web3 companies are highly speculative and involve a high degree of risk. These risks include, but are not limited to: the technology is new and many of its uses may be untested; intense competition; slow adoption rates and the potential for product obsolescence; volatility and limited liquidity, including but not limited to, inability to liquidate a position; loss or destruction of key(s) to access accounts or the blockchain; reliance on digital wallets; reliance on unregulated markets and exchanges; reliance on the internet; cybersecurity risks; and the lack of regulation and the potential for new laws and regulation that may be difficult to predict. Moreover, the extent to which Web3 companies or digital assets utilize blockchain technology may vary, and it is possible that even widespread adoption of blockchain technology may not result in a material increase in the value of such companies or digital assets. Digital asset prices are highly volatile, and the value of digital assets, and Web3 companies, can rise or fall dramatically and quickly. If their value goes down, there’s no guarantee that it will rise again. As a result, there is a significant risk of loss of your entire principal investment. Digital assets are not covered by FDIC or SIPC insurance. Digital assets are digital representations of value that function as mediums of exchange, units of account, or stores of value, but they do not have legal tender status. Digital assets are sometimes exchanged for U.S. dollars or other currencies around the world, but they are generally not backed or supported by any government or central bank. Web3 companies include but are not limited to, companies that involve the development, innovation, and/or utilization of blockchain, digital assets, or crypto technologies. All investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of the money you invest. As with any investment strategy, there is no guarantee that investment objectives will be met and investors may lose money. Diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss in a declining market. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. © Van Eck Associates Corporation. Original Post
