hodler

7 Mar 2026, 18:05

XRP Loses Aggregate Holder Cost Basis. Here’s Why This Is Risky

XRP holders are entering a tense phase in the market. On-chain metrics reveal that investors are now selling at a loss, a signal that could trigger panic and accelerate price declines. Behavioral data, rather than just charts, is highlighting a period of stress that traders cannot ignore. Cointelegraph recently reported on Glassnode data showing that XRP’s Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) dropped from 1.16 to 0.96. SOPR tracks the ratio of realized value to creation value for spent outputs. When the metric falls below 1, it means holders are selling at a loss—a classic sign of capitulation. Historical patterns suggest that readings like this often align with consolidation phases and market bottoms, making the current setup risky for XRP investors. NEW: XRP loses aggregate holder cost basis triggering panic selling as SOPR drops from 1.16 to 0.96, mirroring September 2021-May 2022 consolidation phase, per @glassnode . pic.twitter.com/nqViyM0zgk — Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) March 6, 2026 SOPR and Its Market Signal SOPR is more than a number; it reflects real investor behavior. A reading above 1 indicates coins are moving profitably, signaling confidence. When it drops below 1, it shows that losses are being realized, which can spark short-term panic. XRP’s current SOPR mirrors the September 2021 to May 2022 consolidation, a period marked by heavy selling, sideways trading, and prolonged market uncertainty. Traders familiar with that cycle will recognize the warning signs. Rising Risk and Panic Potential The decline in XRP’s aggregate holder cost basis heightens short-term risk. Many holders are underwater, and emotional selling could accelerate if prices continue downward. We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 Volatility is likely to spike, and quick reactions to market news, macro factors, or institutional activity could intensify downward pressure. Even long-term holders are tested during these phases, as market psychology drives rapid decision-making. Historical Context and Recovery Outlook Periods when SOPR dips below 1 have also historically set the stage for recovery . During the 2021–2022 consolidation, XRP eventually regained momentum once selling pressure subsided and new demand entered the market. Understanding this cyclical behavior allows traders to anticipate potential stabilization, even amid ongoing volatility. Key Takeaway The recent SOPR drop for XRP, highlighted by Cointelegraph, signals a high-risk period for holders. It reflects both panic selling and broader market stress, echoing past consolidation phases. For traders and long-term investors alike, paying attention to behavioral metrics, on-chain signals, and market depth is essential. While risk is elevated now, history suggests that such capitulation often precedes renewed accumulation and price recovery. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on Twitter , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post XRP Loses Aggregate Holder Cost Basis. Here’s Why This Is Risky appeared first on Times Tabloid .

7 Mar 2026, 18:01

Inside the Quest at Colossus to Replace Visa and Mastercard With KYC-Less Crypto Cards

With a “box of goodies” and a team of four, the firm is trying to replace payment incumbents with an Ethereum layer-2

7 Mar 2026, 18:00

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Must Break This Key Level to Confirm a Real Rally

Bitcoin remains trapped in a broader corrective structure, but the price action is starting to stabilize after defending the $60,000 demand region. The daily chart still leans cautiously as BTC trades below the major moving averages and beneath the descending resistance trendline. That leaves the cryptocurrency at an important crossroads, where a push higher could extend the recovery toward overhead supply, while failure would keep the broader downtrend intact. Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart On the daily timeframe, Bitcoin is still trading inside a well-defined bearish structure, with the price capped below both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages. The 100-day MA is now trending lower near the mid $80,000 region, while the 200-day MA sits even higher around the mid $90,000s, showing that the broader trend remains under pressure. In addition, BTC is still moving beneath the descending trendline that has guided the correction for months, which means the buyers have not yet delivered a convincing structural reversal. That said, the reaction from the blue support zone around $60,000 was technically important. Buyers stepped in aggressively after the sharp flush below $60,000, and BTC has since rebounded toward the $68,000 area. The first major resistance remains around $76,000 to $80,000, where previous horizontal support turned into supply. As long as Bitcoin stays below that region, rebounds are likely to be viewed as corrective. BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin is consolidating inside a rising channel, suggesting that the recent move off the lows is more of a recovery phase than a full bullish reversal. The asset is currently hovering around $68,000 after rejecting from the upper boundary of the channel near the $72,000 to $75,000 resistance area. This rejection confirms that sellers are still active on rallies, especially when BTC approaches confluence resistance, where the channel top overlaps with horizontal supply. Momentum has also cooled noticeably. The RSI pushed into overbought territory during the recent rally, but has since rolled over and dropped back toward neutral, showing fading upside strength in the short term. For buyers, holding above the mid-channel area and continuing to defend the $64,000 to $65,000 region would keep the structure constructive for another attempt higher. On the downside, a breakdown below the lower boundary of the channel could send Bitcoin back toward the $60,000 support zone and potentially even lower. On-Chain Analysis From an on-chain perspective, Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit and Loss, or NUPL, has fallen sharply and is now sitting around 0.20. That is a major reset compared to the euphoric readings seen during the rally toward the cycle highs. In simple terms, the market has flushed out a large portion of paper profits, which usually reflects a substantial reduction in speculative excess. While this does not guarantee an immediate trend reversal, it often creates a healthier backdrop than the overheated conditions seen near major tops. Historically, a NUPL reading around this zone points to a market that is no longer in euphoria and is instead moving closer to the kind of sentiment reset that can support medium term base building. That fits well with the current price structure, where Bitcoin is trying to stabilize after a heavy correction rather than accelerate into a fresh expansion leg. So, on-chain data suggests downside risk may be more limited than it was near the highs, but for a stronger bullish case, that improving on-chain backdrop still needs confirmation from price through a reclaim of higher resistance levels on both the daily and 4-hour charts. The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Must Break This Key Level to Confirm a Real Rally appeared first on CryptoPotato .

7 Mar 2026, 18:00

Should PEPE traders brace for volatility as short squeeze potential builds?

PEPE traders and investors should expect the volatility to continue.

7 Mar 2026, 17:33

$100 XRP Price Dream? — Analysts Reveal Setup for ‘Face Melting’ Rally On The Horizon

Ripple's XRP has entered what analyst EGRAG Crypto calls its “face melting phase,” a period he argues will test conviction before any meaningful upside expansion.

7 Mar 2026, 17:30

Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $349M In A Day As Whales Dump, Small Buyers Step In: Analysts

Spot Bitcoin ETFs listed in the US recorded their steepest single-day outflow in nearly three weeks on Friday, with $349 million pulled from all 11 products combined, according to data from Farside. Related Reading: Stablecoin Market Breaks Records — USDC Controls 70% Of $1.8 Trillion Volume The withdrawals came as Bitcoin slid back toward $68,000 after briefly touching $74,000 earlier in the week — a run-up that, based on on-chain data, appears to have been the trigger for a significant wave of selling by large holders. Big Holders Bought Low, Then Sold Fast Crypto analytics platform Santiment tracked the behavior of wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 Bitcoin — a group commonly referred to as whales — and found they had been building positions aggressively between Feb. 23 and March 3, when prices were stuck in the $62,900 to $69,600 range. Once Bitcoin crossed $74,000 on Wednesday, those same wallets began offloading. By Friday, roughly 66% of what they had accumulated over that 10-day window had been sold back into the market. Smaller investors moved in the opposite direction. Wallets holding less than 0.01 Bitcoin — the retail end of the market — have been adding to their positions as prices fell. According to Santiment, that kind of divergence between large and small holders has historically pointed to more downside ahead. “When retail buys while whales sell, it typically signals that the correction is not yet over,” the platform said in a Friday report. Fear Gauge Drops To Its Lowest Reading In Weeks Bitcoin’s slide pushed the Crypto Fear & Greed Index down six points to a score of 12 on Saturday, placing it deep in “Extreme Fear” territory. The index measures market sentiment across a range of factors including volatility, trading volume, and social media activity. Some analysts said that Bitcoin could still face another drop if buyers fail to defend the current price zone. A loss of support around the $67,000–$68,000 range may trigger a move back toward recent lows to gather liquidity before any potential rebound. An Economist’s Case For A $60K Floor Not everyone sees a breakdown coming. Economist Timothy Peterson pointed to the Bitcoin Price to Metcalfe Value chart — a model that measures Bitcoin’s price against the estimated value of its network based on user activity — and said the $60,000 level has held as a bottom in every prior cycle. “About 99.5% chance it stays above $60k,” Peterson wrote on X. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Brief Rally Isn’t The End Of The Bear Market, Analysts Say Bitcoin had already tested that level once this cycle, falling to $60,000 on Feb. 6 during a broader pullback from an all-time high of $126,000 set in October. Since then, it has managed a partial recovery, though Friday’s ETF outflows and the continued whale selling suggest the market has not yet found stable footing. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView