Invest ideasNews
23 Jan 2026, 22:00
Years Later, Bitcoin Open Interest In BTC Still Fails To Break Past Previous Peaks
Bitcoin’s price is fluctuating below the $90,000 mark as volatility increases across the entire cryptocurrency market. During the bearish price action, attention is now being shifted to the cautious signal from the Bitcoin Open Interest in BTC terms, which has remained below past all-time high in years. Open Interest Tells A Different Story When Measured In BTC Amid the ongoing volatile action of the crypto market, the derivatives market for Bitcoin is providing a more subdued message. This message is unfolding on the Bitcoin Open Interest (OI) in BTC terms as outlined in a recent research by Joao Wedson, a market expert and founder of the Alphractal analytics platform. In the report shared on the X platform, the market expert highlighted that the open interest measured in BTC terms has failed to reach new all-time highs since 2022. The BTC-based perspective shows a more restricted usage of leverage over cycles, whereas dollar-denominated measures frequently climb in tandem with price. On Thursday, the metric experienced a bounce, but Wedson stated that the upward move was mainly in USD-dominated open interest. This pattern suggests that traders are becoming more cautious in the market by allocating capital more carefully as opposed to putting it all into risky positions . According to the expert, the trend simply suggests that speculation is present in the market and it’s currently expanding. However, the chart shows that the broader market is still far from any form of extreme or irrational euphoria. Not Enough Profit To Trigger A Bullish Recovery BTC’s inability to produce another major rally is linked to the level of investors in profit. Darkfost stated that there are still not enough investors in profit to hope for a sustainable bullish recovery. Thus, it is crucial to understand that latent profits are not harmful to a market; it is quite the opposite. When investors are most in profit, the situation is much more comfortable, which motivates them to hold. However, this only holds up to a certain point. Also, when the supply in profit surpasses 95% or even 100%, latest profits begin to impact the market and may trigger essential corrective phases. The ongoing correction remained moderate with a drawdown to around 31%, but it was able to sharply reduce the percentage of supply in profit, suggesting very late entry by many investors. Currently, over 71% of BTC is in profit after dropping as low as 64%, a very concerning level that has typically been observed only when Bitcoin was entering a bear market. However, in Darkfost’s view, the market must reclaim above 75% supply in profit to regain a more stable structure. As long as it stays above this level, the supply in profit has historically been associated with positive periods, as shown in the chart. With the recent price rebound, the supply in profit saw a brief climb back to 75% before getting rejected. Meanwhile, many BTC investors possibly used this opportunity to exit at break-even or to cut their losses.
23 Jan 2026, 22:00
Arbitrum drops 15% – Can $17M bridge inflows spark ARB’s rebound?
Arbitrum faces uncertainty after a sharp decline.
23 Jan 2026, 22:00
Record Dormant Bitcoin Supply Enters Market — What’s Next?
According to on-chain trackers, a big wave of old Bitcoin has started moving after long dormancy. Coins that sat untouched for more than two years have been transferred in numbers larger than what was seen during past peaks in 2017 and 2021. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Sharp Reversal Leaves Over $800 Million Liquidated In 1 Day CryptoQuant analyst Kripto Mevsimi said on-chain data shows that 2024 and 2025 marked the largest release of long-held Bitcoin supply ever recorded. He tracks “revived supply,” or coins that stayed dormant for more than two years before being moved. That kind of movement usually means deep-pocketed holders are changing their plans, not small traders chasing a quick gain. A Shift Without A Party Reports say this release of long-held supply arrived with little fanfare. There was no mass retail mania. Prices did not spike in a frenzy. Instead, the transfers came during a stretch when the market has been under steady pressure from broader financial stress. Some of those older coins were likely sold for profit. Some may have been moved for other reasons — custody upgrades, private trades, or to back financial products. On-chain signals show the coins moved, but they do not write the reasons on the blockchain. Long-Term Holders Change Course Based on reports from analysts tracking these flows, the pattern suggests a changing of the guard. Early adopters who held through multiple cycles and pointed to scarcity and self-control have been trimming positions. New buyers are appearing who watch price swings and macro headlines. Institutions, fresh large accounts, and price-driven traders are now shaping much of the market’s short-term activity. Global Risk Pressures Risk Assets Reports have linked recent weakness in Bitcoin to rising global risk. Research ties part of the pullback to tariff moves by US President Donald Trump, which have pushed investors away from risky assets. Tariffs can dent corporate profits, stir up inflation uncertainty, and change how the market views future rates — all of which hits sentiment. When big markets wobble, crypto often follows. That pressure helps explain why long-held coins moved without the usual hype. New Buyers Step Forward According To on-chain and price data, institutions and new “whales” are stepping into the gaps left by sellers. Bitcoin has been trading near the high $80k range, with recent figures around $89,140 as markets test demand. The old holders may have taken gains, but the market did not collapse. That shows there is still appetite, even if it is different from the past. Related Reading: Bitcoin Influencers Get Spotlight In X’s New ‘Starterpacks’ This cycle feels different because selling came without euphoria, and buying looks more tactical. That does not mean the story is over. The market might be shifting toward price-sensitive participants and outside financial forces. Or the recent calm could be a pause before fresh buying. Either way, these on-chain moves matter. They change where the coins sit, and that changes how future price swings may play out. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
23 Jan 2026, 21:51
Grayscale Submits Proposal To Launch Second BNB ETF In The U.S.
Grayscale has filed paperwork to add another crypto exchange-traded fund (ETF) to its lineup — this time tracking crypto exchange Binance's blockchain.
23 Jan 2026, 21:47
$6.7 Trillion Swiss Banking Behemoth UBS Plots Bitcoin And Ethereum Trading For Some Ultra-Rich Clients
UBS Group, which has approximately $6.7 trillion in assets under management, is reportedly weighing a move to open crypto trading to select private banking clients.
23 Jan 2026, 21:44
Shiba Inu Price Prediction: SHIB Team Says ‘We’re Not Done Yet’ – Could This Be the Setup for a Surprise Parabolic Move?
A Shiba Inu core team member thinks the current market cycle looks unfinished, with exhaustion yet to rule out the most bullish phase for Shiba Inu price predictions . Speaking on X, SHIB team member Lucie suggested that inactivity across meme coins reflects “time stretched, not potential removed,” as overall market structure remains muted. I’m talking about this because SHIB reflects the broader market reality. When expansion does not show up, it usually means the cycle is not finished. It means time stretched, not potential removed. For our community, this is about positioning, not emotion. Staying aligned,… — 𝐋𝐔𝐂𝐈𝐄 (@LucieSHIB) January 22, 2026 This cycle has yet to see the euphoria and broad participation that typically mark market tops. Instead, Bitcoin has held dominance while risk appetite has remained selective and cautious. Social sentiment reads much the same. Commentary from key opinion leaders has been feeding market confidence, with a focus on fundamentals over speculation. Something Lucie identified as a tell-tale sign that the full extent of the bullish moment has yet to be realised. Lucie ultimately echoed ex-Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao in saying, “A super cycle is close, but I could be wrong too.” Shiba Inu Price Prediction: What a Supercycle Could Look Like For SHIB The volatility seen over the past year has compressed into a falling wedge that now nears its apex. And now, the latest bounce from the demand zone that has marked cycle bottoms since SHIB launched at $0.0000068 suggests a potential final bottom before breakout. Price action over the past two months reinforces that view, carving out a bullish head-and-shoulders structure that signals a structural pivot. Momentum indicators support the shift. The RSI has reaffirmed its uptrend, printing another higher low after dipping below the 50 neutral line. The MACD also hints at a trend change, flattening below the signal line at levels that have previously marked the end of consolidation phases. If the right shoulder fully develops, breakout pressure shifts toward the wedge’s key threshold at the psychological $0.00001 level. This level must prove as support before the full 320% breakout move to $0.000033 . In a full-blown altcoin season, the setup could credibly extend 490% toward all-time highs around $0.000042 . Maxi Doge: SHIB Might Not Be THE Supercycle Play While tried and tested Doge tokens are the easy bet, when capital rotates back into meme coins, momentum almost always circles back to one high-beta Doge token. While tried and tested Doge tokens are the easy bet, when capital rotates back into meme coins, momentum rarely spreads evenly. It almost always concentrates around one high-beta Doge token. The pattern is hard to ignore. Dogecoin sparked the trend, Shiba Inu carried it in 2021, followed by Floki, Bonk, Dogwifhat, and Neiro. Every bull cycle eventually crowns a new Doge-inspired frontrunner. This time around, Maxi Doge ($MAXI) is tapping into those early Dogecoin community vibes, built around sharing early alpha, trading ideas, and competitive engagement. Participation is at its core. Weekly Maxi Ripped and Maxi Pump competitions reward top performers with leaderboard recognition, incentives, and bragging rights. Momentum is already showing in the numbers. The $MAXI presale has raised nearly $4.5 million, while early backers are earning up to 69% APY through staking rewards. For those who missed the Doge wave before, Maxi Doge could be the next chance to catch a meme coin before it enters the mainstream. Visit the Official Maxi Doge Website Here The post Shiba Inu Price Prediction: SHIB Team Says ‘We’re Not Done Yet’ – Could This Be the Setup for a Surprise Parabolic Move? appeared first on Cryptonews .
