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23 Jan 2026, 13:40
Gold-Bitcoin Divergence Reveals Stunning Bullish Signal for Crypto Rally, Swissblock Analysis Shows
BitcoinWorld Gold-Bitcoin Divergence Reveals Stunning Bullish Signal for Crypto Rally, Swissblock Analysis Shows ZURICH, Switzerland – March 2025: A significant price divergence between traditional safe-haven gold and digital asset Bitcoin is capturing market attention, with Swissblock analysts identifying this growing gap as a potentially powerful bullish signal for cryptocurrency markets. The data firm’s research reveals that when gold reaches new highs while Bitcoin trades sideways, historical patterns suggest an impending explosive rally for the leading cryptocurrency. This analysis comes as global markets navigate economic uncertainty, making the relationship between these two distinct asset classes particularly relevant for investors seeking diversification strategies. Understanding the Gold-Bitcoin Divergence Phenomenon Swissblock’s technical analysis team has identified a recurring market pattern where diverging price movements between gold and Bitcoin often precede significant cryptocurrency market shifts. The firm explains this relationship through historical data spanning multiple market cycles. When gold prices rise steadily while Bitcoin remains range-bound, this creates what analysts term a “bullish divergence.” Conversely, when Bitcoin continues rallying as gold begins declining, this establishes a “bearish divergence” that typically signals market tops or impending corrections. The current market environment shows gold achieving consecutive record highs throughout early 2025, driven by geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and central bank accumulation. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has maintained a relatively stable trading range between established support and resistance levels. This specific configuration has occurred only three times in Bitcoin’s history, with each instance preceding substantial price appreciation for the cryptocurrency within subsequent months. Historical Precedents and Market Psychology Market analysts point to the 2020-2021 bull market as the most recent example of this divergence pattern. During that period, gold reached all-time highs in August 2020 while Bitcoin consolidated between $10,000 and $12,000 for several months. Following this divergence, Bitcoin initiated a historic rally that culminated in its November 2021 peak near $69,000. The psychological underpinnings of this relationship involve capital rotation between perceived safe-haven assets and risk-on investments, with gold often serving as a leading indicator for broader market risk appetite. Swissblock’s Analytical Framework and Methodology Swissblock employs quantitative analysis combining price data, correlation metrics, and macroeconomic indicators to identify meaningful divergences between asset classes. The firm’s research team examines multiple timeframes, from daily charts to monthly trends, to distinguish between temporary noise and statistically significant patterns. Their methodology incorporates: Price Ratio Analysis: Tracking the BTC/Gold ratio to identify extreme deviations from historical norms Volatility Comparison: Measuring relative volatility between assets during divergence periods Volume Confirmation: Analyzing trading volume patterns to validate price movements Macro Correlation: Assessing how broader economic factors influence both assets simultaneously The firm maintains a database of historical divergence events, categorizing them by duration, magnitude, and subsequent market outcomes. This evidence-based approach allows Swissblock to identify patterns with statistical significance rather than relying on anecdotal observations. Their current analysis indicates the present divergence has reached parameters similar to previous major bullish signals. Risk Factors and Conditional Scenarios Despite the bullish interpretation, Swissblock analysts emphasize conditional factors that could alter the signal’s validity. The firm specifically cautions that if gold undergoes a substantial correction while Bitcoin’s rally concludes, the pattern could flip to a bearish divergence, potentially signaling a market cycle peak. This scenario would require simultaneous downward pressure on both assets, which historically occurs during liquidity crises or major macroeconomic shocks. Additional risk factors include regulatory developments, technological advancements in competing cryptocurrencies, and shifts in institutional adoption patterns. The analysis assumes continued Bitcoin network security and no fundamental changes to its monetary policy parameters. Swissblock recommends monitoring gold’s performance relative to other traditional assets, particularly Treasury bonds and the U.S. dollar index, for confirmation of broader market trends. Broader Market Implications and Investor Considerations The gold-Bitcoin relationship offers insights beyond simple price prediction, revealing deeper connections between traditional and digital asset markets. As institutional adoption of cryptocurrency accelerates, these intermarket relationships become increasingly significant for portfolio construction and risk management. The divergence analysis suggests several important considerations for market participants: Historical Divergence Events and Subsequent Bitcoin Performance Period Gold Performance Bitcoin Performance During Divergence Subsequent Bitcoin Rally Time to Peak 2016-2017 +18% Consolidation (-5% to +12%) +1,800% 14 months 2019-2020 +28% Range-bound (+8% to -15%) +500% 16 months 2020-2021 +22% Sideways movement (+25% to -10%) +400% 15 months Portfolio managers increasingly view Bitcoin and gold as complementary rather than competing assets, with each serving different functions within diversified portfolios. Gold traditionally acts as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, while Bitcoin offers asymmetric return potential and exposure to technological innovation. The current divergence may indicate that capital is flowing into gold as a near-term safe haven while positioning for eventual rotation into growth-oriented assets like Bitcoin. Expert Perspectives on Intermarket Analysis Financial analysts emphasize that gold-Bitcoin correlations have evolved significantly since Bitcoin’s inception. Early in cryptocurrency markets, the two assets showed little statistical relationship. However, as institutional participation increased, meaningful correlations and divergences emerged during periods of market stress. This development reflects Bitcoin’s maturation as an asset class with identifiable relationships to traditional markets. Market strategists note that divergence analysis represents just one tool among many for assessing cryptocurrency market conditions. They recommend combining this approach with on-chain metrics, regulatory developments, and technological progress indicators for comprehensive market assessment. The increasing sophistication of cryptocurrency analytics allows for more nuanced understanding of market dynamics than was possible during earlier bull cycles. Conclusion The gold-Bitcoin divergence identified by Swissblock represents a significant market development with potential implications for cryptocurrency investors. Historical patterns suggest that when gold outperforms during periods of Bitcoin consolidation, subsequent rallies in the digital asset often follow. However, this bullish signal remains conditional on broader market stability and requires monitoring of multiple confirming indicators. As traditional and digital asset markets continue converging, understanding relationships between established safe havens and emerging technologies becomes increasingly crucial for informed investment decisions. The current gold-Bitcoin price gap warrants attention as a potential precursor to important market movements in coming months. FAQs Q1: What exactly is a gold-Bitcoin divergence? A gold-Bitcoin divergence occurs when the prices of these two assets move in opposite directions or at significantly different rates. Swissblock specifically identifies bullish divergences when gold rises while Bitcoin trades sideways, often preceding Bitcoin rallies. Q2: How reliable is this divergence as a market indicator? Historical data shows strong correlation between specific divergence patterns and subsequent Bitcoin performance, but no indicator guarantees future results. Swissblock’s analysis identifies statistical probabilities based on past occurrences, which investors should consider alongside other market factors. Q3: What could invalidate the current bullish signal? The signal would weaken if gold experiences a sharp correction while Bitcoin fails to rally, potentially creating a bearish divergence. Major regulatory changes, security incidents, or macroeconomic shocks could also alter the pattern’s predictive value. Q4: How does this analysis account for Bitcoin’s volatility? Swissblock’s methodology incorporates volatility adjustments and examines patterns across multiple timeframes to distinguish meaningful divergences from normal market fluctuations. The analysis focuses on sustained divergences rather than short-term price movements. Q5: Should investors use this signal for timing Bitcoin purchases? While the divergence provides valuable market context, investment decisions should consider individual risk tolerance, portfolio objectives, and broader market analysis. The signal works best as one component of comprehensive investment research rather than standalone timing tool. This post Gold-Bitcoin Divergence Reveals Stunning Bullish Signal for Crypto Rally, Swissblock Analysis Shows first appeared on BitcoinWorld .
23 Jan 2026, 13:40
Bank of Russia moves to bring crypto platforms out of shadow economy with simpler laws
Russian regulators are promising a “simple licensing” regime for crypto platforms that keep away from the country’s securities market. The relaxed requirements for coin trading and wallet services should bring more of the already active providers out of the shadow economy. Bank of Russia seeks to legalize existing crypto firms through easier rules Licensing procedures will be simpler for cryptocurrency exchanges and digital-asset custodians that are not planning to work with securities, indicated a top executive of the Central Bank of Russia (CBR). According to Ekaterina Lozgacheva, director of the regulator’s Department for Strategic Development of the Financial Markets, this approach will help them move out of the gray sector. Her statements come after last month, when the monetary authority unveiled a new concept for comprehensive regulation of the Russian crypto space. As part of its proposals, already filed for government review, traditional institutions such as stock exchanges and brokers, will be able to operate with the new asset class under their current licenses and using existing infrastructure. However, platforms specialized in providing crypto-related services will have to meet a set of specific standards that may not be as tough as initially expected. “We believe that separate requirements are necessary for participants such as digital depositories and crypto exchanges to allow them to transition to the legal realm,” Lozgacheva stated. Quoted by the Finmarket financial news outlet on Thursday, she elaborated: “If, for example, they plan to operate solely in the cryptocurrency market and avoid the securities market, then they won’t need to comply with securities market requirements.” “Such simple licensing is necessary and, in our view, it will enable the transition from a gray area to a regulated one for those who truly need it,” the CBR official insisted. Additional rules to reduce crypto exposure for traditional institutions Lozgacheva added that Bank of Russia plans to introduce special prudential requirements for banks and brokers to limit their exposure to risky crypto assets. “If any risks arise in cryptocurrency transactions, then core activities in the traditional financial market should not suffer any losses. This is important,” she emphasized. The representative of Russia’s main financial regulator also clarified that cryptocurrency obtained through mining will be sold both in Russia and abroad without any restrictions. Moscow legalized the minting of digital currencies like Bitcoin (BTC) in late 2024 and has been trying to tap into the growing industry’s profits. To achieve that, Russian officials say the country needs to build its own crypto trading infrastructure and increase the number of miners registered with the tax service. Ekaterina Lozgacheva made the comments during an event branded as Russia’s “First Political Crypto Forum,” which was organized by the right-wing Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, a proponent of the sector’s legalization. Among the ideas discussed at the conference was a proposal pitched by the organizers to introduce an amnesty for illegally imported mining equipment. According to Leonid Slutsky, leader of the nationalist LDPR, a move like that would bring more mining enterprises out of the shadows as they are required to register their hardware as well. Speaking to journalists on the sidelines of the same event, Russian Deputy Finance Minister Ivan Chebeskov expressed his department’s support for the CBR’s strategy to legalize the crypto sector. According to an excerpt of the central bank’s new policy, published on its website in late December, this will be accomplished by recognizing cryptocurrencies and stablecoins as “monetary assets” in Russia. Financial authorities also intend to significantly widen investor access by admitting non-qualified investors to the strictly regulated and legal Russian crypto market. If you're reading this, you’re already ahead. Stay there with our newsletter .
23 Jan 2026, 13:29
New Kansas Bill Turns Unclaimed Assets Into a Crypto Fund
A new proposal in Kansas aims to establish a government-held reserve of Bitcoin BTC and other digital assets , but without the state purchasing any cryptocurrency.
23 Jan 2026, 13:12
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Wall Street Combines Bitcoin and Gold in One ETF – Trillions Incoming?
Bitcoin is trading in a tight $87,000–$90,000 range, but recent developments suggest this consolidation may be more than a pause. On January 22, 2026, reported that Bitwise Asset Management launched the Bitwise Proficio Currency Debasement ETF (BPRO), an actively managed fund that combines Bitcoin, gold, silver, precious metals, and mining equities under one structure. The message from Wall Street is clear. BTC is no longer being framed as a speculative trade alone, but as part of a broader hard-asset allocation strategy designed to hedge currency debasement. Bitwise manages over $15 bn in client assets, while Proficio Capital Partners oversees roughly $5 bn, placing this product firmly in institutional territory. The ETF allocates at least 25% to gold, with flexible exposure to Bitcoin and other scarcity-based assets, signaling long-term conviction rather than short-term positioning. This matters for price. When institutional vehicles treat Bitcoin alongside gold, flows tend to be slower, larger, and more persistent. Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis: Why the $87K–$90K Zone Matters for BTC From a technical perspective, Bitcoin price prediction seems bearish as BTC’s current range reflects compression, not breakdown. Price has repeatedly held above the $87,400–$88,000 support zone, an area defined by prior demand and reinforced by long lower candlestick wicks. These candles show sellers losing follow-through rather than accelerating downside momentum. Bitcoin Price Chart – Source: Tradingview On the 4-hour chart, BTC remains inside a broader ascending channel, with price consolidating into a descending flag. The 50-EMA and 100-EMA are flattening, while the 200-EMA continues to rise near the mid-$86,000s, preserving the higher-timeframe trend. RSI is stabilizing near the high-30s to low-40s, recovering from oversold conditions without flashing bearish continuation signals. In practical terms, this structure often precedes range expansion, not further liquidation. Institutional Framing Supports a Breakout Case What strengthens the technical setup is the macro narrative behind it. According to Bitwise, gold ETFs currently account for just 0.17% of private financial holdings, despite gold’s long-standing role as a store of value. Bitcoin’s inclusion alongside gold highlights how institutions are positioning for currency debasement, not short-term volatility. Key takeaways from the BPRO launch: Actively managed exposure to BTC and precious metals Minimum 25% allocation to gold Designed as a hedge against declining fiat purchasing power Listed on NYSE under ticker BPRO Expense ratio of 0.96% As these structures gain adoption, Bitcoin’s role shifts from tactical trade to portfolio component, which historically supports higher price floors. Bitcoin Price Prediction: Why BTC’s $87K–$90K Range Could Set Up the Next Breakout On the technical front , Bitcoin is trading near $89,000, and despite recent weakness, the broader picture still points to consolidation rather than trend failure. Price has pulled back to a rising trendline that has supported the move higher since $83,800, showing buyers remain active on dips. #bitcoin lost its rising trendline but hasn’t broken structure yet. BTC holds $87.4K support after rejecting $91.7K EMAs. This looks like consolidation, not panic. Next move likely decides above $90.4K or below $87.4K. pic.twitter.com/eh1eFPoZ5E — Arslan Ali (@forex_arslan) January 23, 2026 If Bitcoin holds above $87,400, price could grind back toward $90,400, followed by a test of $92,000–$94,250. A break below $87,400 would delay this outlook and expose $85,600, but for now, pullbacks continue to look corrective rather than structural. BTC Trade idea: Buy near $88,000–$87,500, target $94,000, stop below $85,500. Bitcoin Hyper: The Next Evolution of BTC on Solana? Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is bringing a new phase to the BTC ecosystem. While BTC remains the gold standard for security, Bitcoin Hyper adds what it always lacked: Solana-level speed. The result: lightning-fast, low-cost smart contracts, decentralized apps, and even meme coin creation, all secured by Bitcoin. Audited by Consult , the project emphasizes trust and scalability as adoption builds. And momentum is already strong. The presale has surpassed $30.9 million, with tokens priced at just $0.013625 before the next increase. As Bitcoin activity climbs and demand for efficient BTC-based apps rises, Bitcoin Hyper stands out as the bridge uniting two of crypto’s biggest ecosystems. If Bitcoin built the foundation, Bitcoin Hyper could make it fast, flexible, and fun again. Click Here to Participate in the Presale The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Wall Street Combines Bitcoin and Gold in One ETF – Trillions Incoming? appeared first on Cryptonews .
23 Jan 2026, 12:21
R. Kiyosaki shrugs off crypto crash as US debt and Dollar risks mount
Robert Kiyosaki took to X on January 22 to affirm that he is, unlike many other investors and observers, unfazed by the cryptocurrency market bloodbath that erased some $220 billion between January 18 and press time on January 23. Total cryptocurrency market capitalization one-week chart. Source: TradingView Specifically, in a social media post made late on Thursday, the famous author of the best-selling personal finance book ‘Rich Dad Poor Dad,’ explained he ‘do(es) not care’ if the price of Bitcoin ( BTC ) – or gold and silver – goes in either direction. Instead, Kiyosaki believes that as long as one owns and keeps investing in the cryptocurrency and the two commodities , they will continue growing rich. A key reason for this, according to the author, is the fact that the national debt of the U.S. keeps rising, and the purchasing power of the American dollar (USD) keeps dropping . Indeed, the government debt rose from $36.19 trillion at the end of 2024 to more than $38.40 trillion at the end of 2025, despite President Donald Trump and Elon Musk’s pledge to curtail spending. Within the same timeframe, the USD’s value dropped 2.68%. “The world has incompetent, highly educated PhD’s…like my poor dad…. Controlling the Fed, the Treasury, and US Government,” Kiyosaki remarked. Why Kiyosaki is not worried about crypto and commodity price moves The latest X post is largely consistent with the author’s overall message. For years, Kiyosaki has been lambasting fiat currencies such as USD as worthless and foretelling that a crisis that will erase most of the world’s wealth is imminent. While the foretold recession is yet to take place, Robert Kiyosaki’s investment advice – to always buy more BTC, gold, silver, and, if possible, cash-generating business, real estate, and wagyu ranches – has been rather fruitful in recent years. The author’s favored commodities have been reaching an all-time high (ATH) after an ATH at an accelerated pace in recent months. Gold is up 78.70% to $4,923 in the last 12 months, and silver has surged 225% to almost $99 within the same time frame. Gold and Silver one-year price charts. Source: TradingView Furthermore, despite the latest downturn, Bitcoin’s elevated valuation showcases long-term strength. Indeed, though the cryptocurrency is down 14.35% in the yearly charts, its press time price of $89,140 is higher than anything the digital asset reached before late 2024. BTC one-year price chart. Source: Finbold Is R. Kiyosaki’s investment advice reliable? Elsewhere, it is worth noting that the value of Robert Kiyosaki’s advice could be primarily dependent on timing and one’s ability to hold an asset indefinitely. Had an investor listened to the author’s advice and purchased BTC in late 2021, they would have had to wait until early 2024 for the trade to become profitable. Likewise, Kiyosaki was also urging his followers to buy more of the cryptocurrency at prices above $100,000, and, given Bitcoin’s press time level, there is no clear indication when those trades could become profitable. Featured image via The Rich Dad YouTube Channel The post R. Kiyosaki shrugs off crypto crash as US debt and Dollar risks mount appeared first on Finbold .
23 Jan 2026, 12:12
Bitcoin Beats S&P 500 Since ETF Launch, Analyst Rebuts Peter Schiff
Nate Geraci has responded to Peter Schiff’s latest criticism of Bitcoin (BTC), challenging his claim that the cryptocurrency is lagging behind. This comes as data reveals that investors have shifted toward precious metals over the past year. Schiff Calls Out Bitcoin’s Poor Performance Schiff, a long-time Bitcoin skeptic, recently took to social media to say that the flagship cryptocurrency is now one of the “worst performing assets” on Wall Street. “Bitcoin was the best performing asset during a time period when hardly anyone owned it. But ever since Wall Street embraced it and most people bought it, it’s been one of the worst performing assets,” he wrote. However, Geraci, president of NovaDius Wealth Management, has disagreed with this view. The analyst responded to him on X, pointing out that Bitcoin has been outperforming the S&P 500, stating: “Spot BTC ETFs shattered every ETF launch record (i.e., ‘Wall St embraced it & most people bought it’).” He further explained that the cryptocurrency has risen roughly 90% since the ETFs debuted, compared with gains of less than 50% in the broader stock market, expressing frustration with the economist’s constant bearish outlook of the digital asset. Schiff has repeatedly criticized Bitcoin on social media in recent months, arguing that it has failed to live up to its reputation as “digital gold,” while also praising the performance of its traditional precious metals counterparts. Last December, he celebrated gold’s surge past $4,400 by challenging his followers with a poll asking whether the metal would hit $5,000 first or the leading cryptocurrency would plunge to $50,000. The financial commentator has also previously suggested that Bitcoin’s collapse will occur before any crisis involving the U.S. dollar unfolds. Shifting Market Dynamics A new report from Santiment shows that market dynamics are changing, with rising uncertainty about the world’s future outlook pushing investors toward precious metals. Data indicates that over the past year, silver has surged by 214%, gold has climbed 77%, and Bitcoin has dropped 16%. This divergence could be interpreted as a bullish sign for the lagging crypto market, as the performance of “digital gold” and metals has frequently alternated over the past decade, with Bitcoin often leading during specific cycles. However, some analysts argue that this preference for physical assets could represent a new long-term trend in the market. Overall, institutional investors have been steadily accumulating crypto, a pattern that has been consistent since late November last year. The post Bitcoin Beats S&P 500 Since ETF Launch, Analyst Rebuts Peter Schiff appeared first on CryptoPotato .
