Invest ideasNews
11 Mar 2026, 10:04
XRP Exchange Activity Hits Record Lows But Ripple Expands Globally
Key Highlights: Exchange activity involving Ripple (XRP) has dropped to historic lows, signaling weaker trading volumes across crypto platforms. Despite the slowdown, Ripple continues expanding its global payments network and regulatory footprint. CEO Brad Garlinghouse recently toured global offices as the firm pushes international growth and licensing efforts. Exchange activity around Ripple($XRP) has fallen sharply in recent months, and has reached levels that analysts describe as ‘historic lows’. Market data reveals that traders have reduced the frequency of transfers and trading activity involving the token. XRP Transactions Hits Historically Low Even with this mild exchange activity , the crypto still remains active in the global market. At the time of reporting, XRP was trading at around $1.37. The crypto saw a minor dip of nearly 0.3% over the past 24 hours. Price movements have remained relatively stable compared to the larger volatility often visible in the crypto market. The decline in exchange-based activity comes at a time when Ripple is actively pushing forward with its global payments strategy. Company leadership has continued to highlight the growing role of XRP in the firm’s cross border financial infrastructure. According to executives, the asset remains deeply embedded in the company’s payments, liquidity, and treasury operations. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse recently shared insights from a global tour undertaken by the company’s leadership team. On March 10, Garlinghouse’s post described his hectic five day trip that extended to several continents. 3 continents, 4 global office visits, 5 days. Crossed too many time zones to count… Recently, @MonicaLongSF and I (along with others on the Ripple leadership team) traveled to Dublin, London, Singapore and Sydney to meet with the Ripple Team (many of whom joined from our… — Brad Garlinghouse (@bgarlinghouse) March 10, 2026 The trip included meetings with colleagues and partners throughout various international offices. Garlinghouse was accompanied by Monica Long, Ripple’s president, and senior members of the leadership team. Their trip included visits in Dublin, London, Singapore, and Sydney. On the trip, executives met with employees across Ripple’s worldwide networks, including staff who came on board after recent acquisitions. The acquisitions include businesses like GTreasury, Hidden Road, Rail, Palisade, and Solvexia. Garlinghouse said the meetings were informative as to how the company’s global workforce continues to expand and shape itself around Ripple as it expands in new markets. The company CEO also shared some observations about the company’s global structure and internal culture. Business hubs of the business keep evolving as teams spread further over the board, he said. He added that for a company that works across multiple continents, there is a requirement to move beyond a US-based view. It takes time and attention to protect corporate culture, according to Garlinghouse. He pointed to discipline, focus, and accountability as vital elements required in any team. Ripple’s work for this is removing layers of bureaucracy. It is thus encouraging employees to take greater responsibility and autonomy toward their efforts, according to him. Product strategy was another theme highlighted during the trip. Garlinghouse noted that large-scale adoption in financial infrastructure develops slowly. He emphasized that in the long run, platforms that can sustain different services provide more value than single tools. Moreover, companies need to build products based on existing customers’ needs, not only future opportunities, he said. Ripple is also growing its regulatory presence across several jurisdictions. The company recently detailed plans to acquire BC Payments Australia Pty, an entity linked to the Banking Circle Group. This will also qualify Ripple with access to an Australian Financial Services License (AFSL). The acquisition is expected to close in April 2026. After completion, the license will allow Ripple’s payments division to operate as a comprehensive financial service provider in Australia. The company will be able to handle the full lifecycle of cross border transactions. Also Read: Spot XRP ETFs Holds $1.44 Billion in Inflows Amid Major Price Correction
11 Mar 2026, 10:00
Bitcoin’s Million-Dollar Dream: Bitwise Lays Out The Path To $1 Million Per Coin
Despite Bitcoin (BTC) trading approximately 40% below its all-time highs and striving to maintain stability above the $70,000 mark, the long-term optimistic view on its value remains intact, particularly according to Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management. In a recent report titled “How Bitcoin Gets to $1 Million,” Hougan argues that Bitcoin is transitioning into an emerging store-of-value asset, serving a similar function to gold. The Path To $1 Million Hougan presents a straightforward method for estimating BTC’s potential value. The process involves gauging the size of the store-of-value market, determining Bitcoin’s share of that market, and then dividing by its capped supply of 21 million coins. Currently, the total store-of-value market sits just under $38 trillion, consisting of approximately $36 trillion in gold and around $1.4 trillion in Bitcoin. As a result, Bitcoin currently commands slightly less than 4% of this market. According to Hougan, this figure may lead many to believe that a $1 million price tag for Bitcoin is unrealistic, especially since, to reach that valuation, Bitcoin would need to capture more than 50% of the store-of-value market. However, the executive notes an important aspect often overlooked: the store-of-value market is not static. It has seen substantial growth over the last two decades, and with rising concerns over fiat currency debasement , this trend is likely to persist. Bitcoin’s Potential Growth A key point in Hougan’s analysis is that the market for storing value is expected to expand dramatically. He predicts that within ten years, this global market could reach approximately $121 trillion. Under this scenario, Bitcoin would only need to seize about 17% of the market to achieve a price of $1 million per coin . While achieving this level of growth—rising from around 4% to 17%—requires significant progress, it appears increasingly feasible given Bitcoin’s recent advancements, he said. While Hougan acknowledges the optimism surrounding this prediction, he also highlights potential risks. If the global store-of-value market does not continue to grow as it has over the past two decades, there could be a downturn in gold prices. Furthermore, Bitcoin might struggle to capture additional market share. Conversely, Hougan cautions that these projections might be too conservative. As concerns about rising government debt reach critical levels, the growth of the store-of-value market may accelerate, resulting in BTC obtaining a larger share than the anticipated 17%. He emphasizes that the prevailing outlook—where both the store-of-value market continues to expand, and BTC increases its share—could imply significantly higher prices than today. At the time of writing, BTC was trading at around $70,130, registering gains of 8% over the past two weeks, according to CoinGecko data . Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
11 Mar 2026, 10:00
XRP Price Outlook: Analyst Foresees New All-Time Highs Above $40 In 2026
The XRP price has experienced a modest 5% recovery in the last 24 hours, managing to reclaim the crucial support level at $1.40. However, it remains substantially below its all-time highs reached in 2025. Despite this, technical analyst Egrag Crypto believes that this year could see the XRP price soaring to a price point as high as $42, meaning a potential gain of up to 2,900% from its current levels. XRP Price Cycles Egrag delineates his forecast by identifying four macro formations on the cryptocurrency’s monthly chart, each of which follows a similar cyclical pattern over the past decade. These cycles demonstrate that the XRP price tends to undergo a period of compression into a tight range before breaking out and embarking on a significant rally, ultimately resetting before the next structure emerges. Related Reading: What’s Fueling Hyperliquid’s Surge? HYPE Outperforms Top 100 Cryptos In Latest Rally The first formation occurred in October 2014, when XRP rose from $0.0046 to $0.028 by December. Following this initial surge, the price consolidated within the range of $0.006 to $0.009 for nearly three years until early 2017. The second formation initiated in March 2017, leading to a breakout that pushed the XRP price from under $0.01 to $0.40 by May of the same year, resulting in over 4,000% gains. After another consolidation period through November 2017, XRP reached a peak of $3.31 in January 2018 before experiencing a prolonged decline that ultimately brought it down to around $0.17 by June 2020. The fourth formation began from the $0.17 low in June 2020, where XRP rallied to $1.96 by April 2021. After another extended period of consolidation around the $0.50 mark, XRP broke through a significant descending trendline in November 2024, which had been constraining its price since 2018. This breakout propelled the XRP price to $3.65 by July 2025. The current price pullback to the $1.30–$1.40 range is effectively retesting that breakout level. If XRP continues along the same proportional trajectory as previous cycles, Egrag’s target of $42 could be within reach. Two Scenarios To Keep An Eye On It’s important to note that Egrag does not position $42 as the immediate target. Instead, he has laid out intermediate goals that are much lower—such as $4.50 if a breakout occurs, and potentially $10–$13 if the rally expands further. But when averaging across all four macro scenarios, Egrag estimates that an XRP price around $11 would be plausible, suggesting a market cap of about $670 billion for the altcoin. Related Reading: BitMine Acquires 60,000 ETH; Chair Discusses Outlook For Ethereum And Crypto Prices Lastly, Egrag presents a cautious perspective regarding the $42 target, outlining two potential scenarios moving forward. One possibility is that the bullish structure may fail, leading the XRP price into a deeper bear market. Alternatively, Egrag leans toward the thought that the current drawdown is merely a retest within a new growth cycle. He emphasizes that this structural framework must remain intact for his projections to hold. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
11 Mar 2026, 09:57
Ethereum USD Funding Rate Turns Negative as Bears Regain Control
Ethereum USD perpetual futures funding rates dipped into negative territory on Tuesday, signaling a decisive shift in dominance to bearish traders. This metric confirms that active short sellers are currently paying longs to keep positions open. The slide into negative funding coincides with renewed institutional skepticism, evidenced by -$210M in net outflows from Ethereum ETFs between March 5 and 10 and growing global macroeconomic tensions. SOURCE: CoinGlass – ETH Funding Rate ETH is currently struggling to hold the psychological $2,000 level, weighed down by a near -60% price correction over the last six months as it slid 1.9% overnight following a positive start to the week. Traders view negative funding as a capitulation signal. Historically, prolonged negative rates have often preceded a squeeze, but the current macro setup suggests that legitimate spot selling pressure is driving the current price action. What Negative Funding Rates Actually Signal for ETH The flip to negative funding is more than just a momentary dip; it highlights a structural weakness in the market structure. When funding is negative, shorts pay longs, meaning the market is heavily skewed toward betting on lower prices. CoinGlass data shows that while the aggregate funding rate is negative, the options market paints a slightly more nuanced picture. The options risk gauge remains near the neutral -6% to +6% range, yet put options are trading at a 7% premium relative to calls. This suggests that while futures traders are aggressively shorting, smart money is hedging against further downside rather than betting on a catastrophic collapse. Additionally, as on-chain derivatives activity migrates to other networks such as Hyperliquid, demand for mainnet Ethereum protocols has softened, leaving price action dependent on speculative flows rather than utility. DISCOVER: Next Crypto to Explode in 2026 The Levels That Change Everything for Ethereum USD ETHEREUM IS BACK IN THE DISCOUNT ZONE. Same level that launched the 2023 rally. Same structure. Same cycle position. $2K is the line. Hold it: wave 3 begins. Lose it: discount zone extends lower. Last time $ETH was here, it 4x'd. pic.twitter.com/07XLcIuhSH — Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) March 9, 2026 Technical structures define the next major move. Ether is currently testing a precarious zone. Bulls are attempting to defend the $2,000 support , but repeated tests suggest weakening buyer resolve. If bears force a daily close below $1,980, the next major liquidity pocket sits at $1,840. A breakdown of that level leaves little structural support until $1,760, a zone that could trigger a cascade of long liquidations. Conversely, for the bearish thesis to be invalidated, ETH needs to reclaim $2,120 on a high-volume breakout. A sustained move above this level would squeeze the aggressive late shorts currently paying funding. This could potentially spark a rapid surge toward $2,300. However, until the $2,120 resistance is cleared, the path of least resistance remains lower. What Traders Are Watching Next SOURCE: CoinGlass The immediate trigger for a reversal lies in institutional flows. The -$210M ETF exit needs to stabilize; continued outflows will likely force the price through support regardless of derivatives positioning. Traders are also monitoring the yield spread. With native ETH staking offering 2.8% versus stablecoin yields closer to 3.75% on platforms like Aave, capital efficiency currently favors stablecoins. Unlike the broader market optimism, the data suggests ETH needs a specific catalyst, either a spike in spot buying or a capitulation wick to flush the remaining leverage, to reset the trend. EXPLORE: Best Crypto Presales to Buy in 2026 The post Ethereum USD Funding Rate Turns Negative as Bears Regain Control appeared first on Cryptonews .
11 Mar 2026, 09:55
US CPI Inflation Crisis: UBS Reveals the Federal Reserve’s Alarming Tool Limitations
BitcoinWorld US CPI Inflation Crisis: UBS Reveals the Federal Reserve’s Alarming Tool Limitations WASHINGTON, D.C. – March 15, 2025 – A comprehensive analysis from UBS Global Wealth Management reveals significant constraints in the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy toolkit as the United States confronts persistent Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation. This development comes amid ongoing economic uncertainty and shifting market expectations for interest rate adjustments. US CPI Inflation Presents Persistent Challenge The latest Consumer Price Index data shows inflation remaining above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target for the 42nd consecutive month. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, continues to demonstrate stickiness in service sector inflation. This persistence challenges previous assumptions about temporary inflationary pressures. Historical context reveals important patterns. For instance, the current inflation episode differs significantly from the 1970s stagflation period in several key aspects. The table below illustrates these differences: Factor 1970s Stagflation Current Inflation Episode Primary Drivers Oil price shocks, wage-price spiral Supply chain restructuring, services demand Unemployment Rate Above 7% for extended periods Below 4% for most of period Federal Funds Rate Peaked above 20% Remained below 6% Global Context Limited globalization Highly interconnected markets Several structural factors contribute to current inflation dynamics. These include demographic shifts, deglobalization trends, and climate-related supply disruptions. Furthermore, technological adoption has created new inflationary pressures in specific sectors. Federal Reserve’s Constrained Monetary Policy Toolkit The UBS analysis highlights three primary limitations facing the Federal Reserve. First, the traditional interest rate tool faces diminishing effectiveness due to elevated debt levels across government, corporate, and household sectors. Second, quantitative tightening operations encounter liquidity constraints in bond markets. Third, forward guidance credibility has diminished following multiple policy pivot episodes. Current Federal Reserve balance sheet composition reveals additional constraints. The central bank holds approximately: $7.2 trillion in Treasury securities $2.4 trillion in mortgage-backed securities $300 billion in other assets including emergency facilities This substantial balance sheet limits additional asset purchase capacity without risking market dysfunction. Moreover, the runoff of these assets proceeds at a measured pace of $95 billion monthly, creating a lengthy normalization timeline. UBS Expert Analysis on Policy Constraints UBS economists identify several specific challenges in current monetary policy implementation. The neutral interest rate, or r-star, has likely increased due to structural economic changes. This development reduces the restrictive nature of current policy rates. Additionally, the transmission mechanism of monetary policy has weakened as financial conditions remain relatively loose despite rate hikes. The analysis references historical precedent from other developed economies. For example, the European Central Bank’s experience with negative interest rates demonstrated limitations in stimulating inflation during the 2010s. Similarly, the Bank of Japan’s yield curve control program shows the challenges of managing long-term interest rate expectations. Market-based inflation expectations provide crucial context. Five-year breakeven inflation rates, derived from Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), remain elevated above pre-pandemic levels. This suggests embedded inflation expectations that may prove difficult to dislodge through conventional policy tools alone. Economic Impacts and Market Implications Limited Federal Reserve tools create several important economic consequences. First, fiscal policy assumes greater importance in macroeconomic management. Second, financial stability risks increase as markets adjust to constrained central bank responsiveness. Third, the dollar’s international role faces potential challenges from alternative reserve currencies. Specific market segments demonstrate particular sensitivity to these developments. Real estate markets show vulnerability to prolonged higher interest rates. Corporate bond spreads reflect growing concern about refinancing risks. Equity valuations face pressure from both higher discount rates and potential earnings compression. The international dimension adds complexity to the situation. Major central banks, including the European Central Bank and Bank of England, face similar policy constraints. This synchronization reduces potential currency volatility but amplifies global financial stability concerns. Emerging markets experience particular vulnerability through capital flow volatility. Structural Changes in Inflation Dynamics Several long-term trends reshape inflation fundamentals. Demographic aging reduces labor force growth, potentially increasing wage pressures. Climate transition investments create new demand for specific materials and technologies. Geopolitical fragmentation reshapes global supply chains with efficiency trade-offs. Technological innovation presents a complex picture. While digitalization generally exerts disinflationary pressure, specific technologies like artificial intelligence may create skill-based wage disparities. Green energy transition involves substantial upfront investment with potential inflationary effects during implementation phases. Productivity growth patterns influence inflation outcomes significantly. The post-pandemic period shows mixed productivity performance across sectors. Service sector productivity remains particularly challenged, contributing to persistent services inflation that proves resistant to monetary policy measures. Alternative Policy Approaches and Considerations Given conventional tool limitations, policymakers explore supplementary approaches. Macroprudential measures gain attention for addressing financial stability concerns. These include countercyclical capital buffers, loan-to-value ratio adjustments, and sector-specific lending restrictions. Coordination between monetary and fiscal authorities receives increased discussion. While central bank independence remains paramount, improved policy alignment could enhance overall economic management. However, this approach requires careful institutional design to avoid fiscal dominance concerns. Communication strategy evolution represents another adaptation area. The Federal Reserve may develop more nuanced forward guidance that acknowledges policy trade-offs and uncertainties. This approach could help manage market expectations amid constrained policy flexibility. Conclusion The UBS analysis underscores a critical juncture for US monetary policy as persistent CPI inflation meets constrained Federal Reserve tools. This situation requires careful navigation of economic stability, inflation control, and financial market functioning objectives. The evolving policy landscape suggests increased importance of supplementary measures and international coordination. Market participants should prepare for extended policy uncertainty and potential volatility as these dynamics unfold through 2025 and beyond. FAQs Q1: What specific CPI components show the most persistent inflation according to UBS analysis? The UBS report highlights services inflation, particularly in shelter costs and non-housing services, as the most persistent components. These categories demonstrate stickiness due to wage pressures and structural housing market dynamics. Q2: How do Federal Reserve tool limitations affect ordinary consumers? Limited policy tools may prolong higher interest rates on mortgages, auto loans, and credit cards. Additionally, persistent inflation erodes purchasing power, particularly for essential goods and services where price increases outpace wage growth. Q3: What historical periods offer relevant comparisons to current Federal Reserve constraints? The late 1940s, when the Fed maintained low rates to manage government debt after World War II, and the late 1970s, when inflation expectations became entrenched, offer relevant historical parallels for policy constraint analysis. Q4: How might limited Fed tools impact financial market stability? Constrained policy flexibility could increase market volatility during stress episodes. Reduced capacity for rapid intervention might amplify price movements in bonds, currencies, and risk assets during periods of economic uncertainty. Q5: What alternative inflation measures does UBS consider alongside CPI? The analysis references the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, the Dallas Fed Trimmed Mean PCE, and the Cleveland Fed Median CPI. These measures provide complementary perspectives on underlying inflation trends beyond headline CPI figures. This post US CPI Inflation Crisis: UBS Reveals the Federal Reserve’s Alarming Tool Limitations first appeared on BitcoinWorld .
11 Mar 2026, 09:50
Bitcoin exchange supply tightens as Winklevoss twins move BTC to Gemini
Bitcoin liquidity on centralised exchanges continues to tighten as the supply of coins available for trading drops to record lows. The development comes even as prominent early investors move large amounts of Bitcoin onto exchange wallets, drawing attention from traders monitoring blockchain activity. On chain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence identified transactions involving Cameron Winklevoss and Tyler Winklevoss that shifted BTC to exchange addresses. Such transfers attract scrutiny because coins placed on trading platforms can be sold more easily. However, broader market data suggests the trend still points toward Bitcoin leaving exchanges and moving into long term custody. Winklevoss transfers to Gemini Arkham Intelligence reported that Cameron Winklevoss and Tyler Winklevoss transferred roughly $130 million worth of Bitcoin to exchange wallets during the past week. https://twitter.com/arkham/status/2031296482763329671 Blockchain data indicates the transfers were likely directed to the hot wallets of the Gemini cryptocurrency exchange. Large transfers of Bitcoin to exchange addresses are monitored by traders because they can precede selling activity. Coins stored on trading platforms can be liquidated more quickly than assets kept in private wallets or cold storage. The Winklevoss twins were among the earliest institutional investors in Bitcoin and were once estimated to control around 1% of the cryptocurrency’s circulating supply. Despite the recent transactions, Arkham data shows the pair still holds about $764 million worth of Bitcoin. Total profits from their long-term investment are estimated at roughly $1.8 billion. Exchange supply keeps falling While the Winklevoss transfers have drawn attention, the broader supply picture in the Bitcoin market continues moving in the opposite direction. Market data shows the amount of Bitcoin held on centralised exchanges has fallen to its lowest level on record. Declining exchange balances usually suggest investors are withdrawing coins from trading platforms and transferring them into cold storage or long-term custody. When coins are removed from exchanges, they become less accessible for immediate trading, reducing the liquid supply available in the market. The decline in exchange reserves has become more noticeable in recent months as institutional demand for Bitcoin has continued to expand. https://twitter.com/CryptoTice_/status/2031444982796878022?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2031444982796878022%7Ctwgr%5E6a843b9734a551206a5211f67a87f5047a4bc242%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fcrypto.news%2Fbitcoin-exchange-supply-hits-record-low%2F Institutional demand reshaping liquidity Growing participation from institutional investors has played a major role in the steady reduction of Bitcoin balances on trading platforms. Exchange-traded funds and other investment vehicles have been accumulating Bitcoin as part of broader portfolio allocations to digital assets. Some long-term holders have also shifted holdings into private wallets designed for extended storage. This combination has gradually reduced the number of coins available for trading on exchanges. A shrinking pool of Bitcoin on exchanges, combined with sustained demand from institutional investors, is viewed by analysts as a factor that can contribute to increased price volatility. Mixed signals for traders Despite the overall trend of declining exchange supply, occasional large transfers from early investors or major holders continue to appear in blockchain data. Such inflows can create mixed signals for traders tracking liquidity conditions. Moving coins to exchanges may suggest holders are preparing to sell, yet the larger pattern still shows Bitcoin leaving trading venues. These signals reflect the evolving structure of the market as early adopters, institutional buyers, and long-term investors interact within the digital asset ecosystem. The post Bitcoin exchange supply tightens as Winklevoss twins move BTC to Gemini appeared first on Invezz
