hodler

4 May 2026, 18:00

Bitcoin Nears Structural Shift Amid Changing Market Conditions — What This Means

Bitcoin is undergoing a notable transformation as shifting market conditions redefine how the asset behaves and is valued. Once dominated by retail speculation and predictable halving-driven cycles, BTC is now entering a more mature phase shaped by broader financial forces. How The Bitcoin Structure Is Shifting Beyond Halving Narratives Bitcoin is approaching a critical inflection point where its market structure could shift decisively. A KOL manager and advisor known as BitBull on X has stated that the short-term holder Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is currently hovering around 1.0, a historically important level that reflects whether recent buyers are in profit or under pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Show Signs Of Exhaustion Around $78,000 — What’s Next? According to BitBull, when the MVRV remains below 1.0, it typically signals that most short-term holders are under pressure and rallies struggle. In every previous cycle, the real move began only after the MVRV reclaimed and held above 1.0, which is when selling pressure starts to fade, and momentum begins to build on the upside. At the same time, BTC price is attempting to reclaim the short-term holder realized price, another key on-chain level that often acts as a dividing line between weak and strong market structure. However, if MVRV reclaims and holds above 1.0 and the price breaks the short-term holder realized price, it usually marks a shift from a weakening structure to a stronger trend-driven market. Currently, BTC is very close to that point. Daily Close Above Resistance Could Shift Market Momentum The Bitcoin price is sitting at a critical inflation point that could define its next major move. Top KOL on Tradingview and CMC, known as Cryptorphic on X, highlighted that the price is currently testing a well-established resistance zone around $80,000, an area that has previously acted as a strong barrier. Related Reading: Bitcoin To $125,000: Arthur Hayes Says The Setup Is Turning Bullish This makes the current setup particularly important, and a clean daily close above the region would signal a weakening of bearish momentum pressure and potentially open the path for continued upside expansion. However, the structure isn’t fully convincing, and the BTC price is slowly grinding into resistance without strong follow-through. At the same time, volume is declining even as the price pushes higher and prints higher highs. This type of divergence between price action and participation often signals weakening momentum behind the move, increasing the likelihood of either a rejection or a short-term pullback. That’s why this level represents a key decision point. Furthermore, if buyers step in with strong volume and push the price firmly above resistance, it could confirm a breakout and shift momentum in favor of the bulls. On the other hand, if it fails to break through convincingly, it may result in another rejection from the resistance. In this structure, the daily close is the key signal because BTC’s behavior here will determine the next move. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

4 May 2026, 18:00

ONDO price surges 12% with rising demand – Is $0.35 the next target?

ONDO surged with rising volume and leverage, testing resistance as bullish pressure builds.

4 May 2026, 17:34

Circle, Coinbase lead crypto stocks rally amid Clarity Act progress, bitcoin hitting $80,000

The market is starting to price in potential winners as stablecoin yield compromise opens path for passing key U.S. digital asset regulation, one analyst said.

4 May 2026, 17:31

“I’m Not Bound by NDA” — Former Ripple CTO Fires Back After Shutting Down $10K XRP Dreams

David Schwartz Pushes Back on $10,000 XRP Hype, Says Market Would Already Be Pricing It In Former Ripple CTO David Schwartz has reignited debate in the crypto space after pushing back against the popular $10,000 XRP price prediction, arguing that current market conditions do not support such an extreme valuation. Schwartz responded on X, formerly Twitter, to push back on claims that an NDA was shaping his comments. He argued that if even a small group of rational, high-net-worth investors genuinely assigned a 1% probability to XRP reaching $10,000 within the next decade, market behavior would already look very different. In his view, that level of conviction would trigger aggressive accumulation long before now, driving prices significantly higher than current levels, potentially even into double-digit territory. The fact that this kind of positioning isn’t visible in the market, he suggested, is telling. His broader point was simple that if the upside thesis were truly as credible as some believe, it should already be reflected in capital flows. The absence of that demand, he implied, raises a straightforward question about how widely that $10,000 scenario is actually taken seriously by informed investors. He added that he prefers to avoid speculation altogether rather than give an answer he doesn’t stand behind, underscoring that his views are based on personal analysis, not outside influence or legal constraints. XRP Valuation Debate Heats Up as Schwartz Counters Regulatory Fears and Market Realism Clash with Bullish Narratives Well, the debate has intensified around XRP’s long-term valuation, with supporters citing future adoption and expanding global liquidity, while critics point to supply dynamics and market cap limitations as key constraints. Amid this renewed discussion, Schwartz also entered a separate policy debate, pushing back on warnings from Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson about the proposed CLARITY Act. He argued that the crypto industry should engage with regulators rather than retreat, warning that overcorrection in policy could end up stifling innovation. Therefore, the exchange highlights a familiar split in the market when it comes to bold long-term valuation narratives on one side, and regulatory caution and market realism on the other.

4 May 2026, 17:30

ChainLink: Amazon Web Services Collaboration Could Accelerate Growth

Summary ChainLink (LINK-USD) presents a compelling value investment opportunity amid current depressed prices and accelerating tokenization trends. Recent AWS (AMZN) adoption of ChainLink validates its real-world utility and could drive broader enterprise and DeFi adoption. I am accumulating GLNK ETF to dollar cost average, expecting significant upside if Web 3.0 and asset tokenization accelerate. Patience is key; I anticipate ChainLink will outperform the S&P 500 over a four-year horizon, with potential for outsized returns. The Value Investing Approach In the two decades that I've been writing about stocks and finance, the main thing that I've learned is that readers just want a hot stock tip. I've also learned that I'm not qualified for dishing out short-term price targets. That's because they don't work for me, or most prognosticators. The only sources that are backed up by successful outcomes in the momentum tranche of investing are Seeking Alpha's Quant Ratings and Investor's Business Daily's CANSLIM method. Both have terrific track records. The caveat with both of these techniques is that you must be tethered to your smartphone or computer to be able to fully capitalize on their investing suggestions. Although the majority of people are online 24/7 these days and may be able to take advantage of these services, I've been schooled in value investing and tend to take a less active approach to my finances. ChainLink Investment A few months ago I wrote about cryptocurrency ChainLink ( LINK-USD ) and how I believed that the depressed price was great for accumulation. Here's a link to that article which covers a lot of background information about the company and crypto in general. The price has hovered around $9 for almost three months and I've been adding to my position in the Grayscale ChainLink Trust ETF ( GLNK ), a spot price ETF, to dollar cost average down. It was selling for $30 six months ago. I'm slightly underwater on the investment and lag the S&P 500, but believe that if I'm patient, I'll reap the rewards. At the worst, I'll double my investment in four years which will be better than an investment in the S&P 500 based on historic trends. If the development of WEB 3.0 continues, and the tokenization of everything financial accelerates, then I've got a potential ten bagger on my hands. With the advent of social media forums such as Stocktwits and Reddit's Wall Street Bets ( RDDT ), ChainLink could even become a meme crypto. It happened five years ago, and lightning could strike once more. Amazon Web Services In the altcoin bull market five years ago, it was all crypto hype. Now we're talking about real world use cases. Two weeks ago, Amazon Web Services "AWS" ( AMZN ) adopted ChainLink for their cloud service. Although many small and bootstrap organizations utilize AWS, it's the corporate behemoths that are the big game for ChainLink. The partnership legitimizes DeFi applications much the same way that AOL's purchase of Time Warner in the 1990s solidified the Internet era. It's not an apples to apples comparison, but you get the drift. What the partnership offers is simplified enterprise adoption. Because ChainLink is now listed on the AWS marketplace, ChainLink Data Feeds, Data Streams, Proof of Reserve, and the Chainlink Runtime Environment will be available in a one stop shopping environment. As stated on the ChainLink Website : "At SmartCon, Vijay Krishnan, Sr. Partner Solutions Architect at AWS Cloud, announced the new AWS Chainlink Quickstart, a one-click solution enabling anyone to launch a production-ready Chainlink node. With this integration, node operators and data providers joining the Chainlink ecosystem can start connecting to blockchains within minutes or hours instead of weeks or months—significantly lowering the technical barriers to entry and accelerating the amount of high-quality data available to decentralized applications." ChainLink already partners with other hyperscalers such as Google Cloud ( GOOG ) and Microsoft's Azure ( MSFT ) which offer similar decentralized data solutions. The addition of AWS to the fold gives ChainLink a 64% exposure to the hyperscale market with AWS in the lead with a commanding 28%. This could propel market wide adoption of Decentralized Finance. It's only good news for ChainLink. ChainLink is secure. AWS is secure. It's a nice combination. It's also primarily what the Fortune 500 looks for when deciding on a software package. I am not alone in my belief in this, but we are in the midst of the fourth industrial revolution. The current era amalgamates A.I., robotics and Web 3.0 which is the tokenization of all things analog to digital. ChainLink is the bridge that converts off-chain assets into digital assets. Stocks, bonds, options and real estate are all becoming tokenized at an accelerating rate. With a 63% - 70% market share in the crypto oracle space, they're in the lead and I believe this will translate into increased revenues. Tokenization Growth (Wiseway Tec) Mr. Market The graph above (provided by Wiseway Tec), gives you a ballpark figure of the type of growth we are dealing with in tokenization Growth - CAGR [compound annual growth rate] of about 45% for the next few years. If you search for tokenization of real world assets, the Internet is rife with charts and graphs all coming to the same conclusions - this is where the action is going to be for growth investors. Right now, we have a unique opportunity to buy ChainLink as a token or as a spot-price ETF as a value investment. Value investments tend to sit, then run. Currently, ChainLink is in neutral. I'm taking a page from the Warren Buffett playbook and accumulating while the price is down. It's a Mr. Market situation if you follow the teachings of Benjamin Graham. Prices are low right now so Mr. Market is in a bad mood and gives a great price to purchase the shares. I don't think it will take more than a year for ChainLink to get in gear. It's not if, it's when. I'm prepared to wait.

4 May 2026, 17:15

Tron (TRX) rebounds 0.51 percent to $0.339 as outlook rises

🚀 TRX price increased 0.51 percent in the last day, reaching $0.339. Investors are turning back to $TRX after weeks of recovery. 📊 Key point: Analysts forecast the price could hit $0.59 by late 2026. Continue Reading: Tron (TRX) rebounds 0.51 percent to $0.339 as outlook rises The post Tron (TRX) rebounds 0.51 percent to $0.339 as outlook rises appeared first on COINTURK NEWS .