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24 Mar 2026, 13:45
Wintermute tethers short-term BTC price moves to oil market news
Wintermute tracked the potential connection between BTC and oil prices. According to the market maker, BTC may return to a higher range if oil establishes a $100 price moat. Wintermute paid special attention to the effect of oil risk premiums on the crypto markets. The strike pause against Iran lowered the short-term risk, helping BTC recover the $70,000 range. BTC traded at $71,104.40, with a forecasted rise to $74K-$76K, according to Wintermute. This range may come in the best-case scenario when traffic through the Strait of Hormuz normalizes. In the case of further disruptions, BTC may return to $65,000. BTC also lived through a brief reaction to a hawkish Fed , with no interest rate cuts predicted until the end of 2026. This left oil prices as the one significant factor for oil performance. Will oil drive BTC pricing? The connection between oil prices and BTC is chaotic, going through multiple stages. The post-pandemic oil slide coincided with a BTC bull market, but there may be more complex short-term relationships. Wintermute advises on watching the talks between Iran and the US for signs of additional oil risk premiums and inflation. In this case, BTC may dip to a lower range. In the case of de-escalation, BTC has a path to move into the $80,000 range if institutions and whales move in to buy the dip. Based on Wintermute’s performance data, BTC was down by 6.8% for the week ended March 22. Gold dipped even lower, erasing 10.3%. ETH and altcoins also reacted to the news of an oil supply shock, ending the week in the red. As of March 24, the Bitcoin fear and greed index crashed again to 11 points or ‘extreme fear’. The Ethereum fear and greed index reached 32 points , indicating fear. Altcoins as a whole remain stagnant, and oil was the only market with a strong directional move. Crypto bear markets coincide with high oil prices During the 2022 bear market, crypto traded under conditions with relatively high oil prices. During the previous bear market, the main factors for crypto were internal, as the market reeled from the crash of FTX. Oil has no clear relationship with crypto, but BTC saw price pressure coming from an erratic crude oil market after supply disruptions from the closed Strait of Hormuz. | Source: Newhedge This time, the crypto space has not seen any significant internal problems, but it remains open to geopolitical risk. BTC has also decoupled from the S&P 500 as investors turned to lower-risk assets. BTC also shifted its trading style, becoming an asset to react quickly to uncertainty, due to its trader base and active trading over the weekends. BTC still shows it has enough support to add a net 6% to its price in March. Despite this, in Q1 to date, the leading coin is down by 18%, and has not recovered previous levels due to escalating global uncertainty. There’s a middle ground between leaving money in the bank and rolling the dice in crypto. Start with this free video on decentralized finance .
24 Mar 2026, 13:41
Finance experts set XRP price for end of 2026
Several experts in the financial and cryptocurrency fields have issued various outlooks on where XRP might trade by the end of 2026. With the asset seemingly having priced in the impact of several catalysts, such as the positive ruling in the Ripple and Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) case, XRP’s price has mainly been influenced by broader sector trends. Notably, the token has struggled to break past $3 for much of the year, mostly trading below the $2 mark. As of press time, XRP was changing hands at $1.41, having dropped almost 1% over the past 24 hours. However, on a weekly basis, losses are more pronounced, with the token down over 6%. XRP one-week price chart. Source: Finbold XRP bullish outlook Among the major institutions to issue an outlook on XRP is Standard Chartered . The bank’s Geoffrey Kendrick, Global Head of Digital Assets Research, initially projected a price of $8 by the end of 2026 in an April 2025 research note. That bullish outlook was based on expected ETF inflows of $4 to $8 billion, further regulatory clarity following the SEC case resolution, and expanding use of XRP in cross-border payments and tokenization. The target implied more than 300% upside from levels at the time and formed part of a longer-term roadmap that projected XRP reaching $5.50 by the end of 2025, $12.50 by 2028, and $28 by 2030. In mid-February 2026, however, Kendrick revised the 2026 target sharply lower by 65% to $2.80. The bank cited weaker risk appetite across crypto markets , persistent pressure from ETF outflows during certain periods, higher-for-longer interest rates, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. Despite the downgrade, Standard Chartered retained its longer-term optimism, keeping its 2028 and 2030 targets intact. XRP cautious outlook On the other hand, Jonatan Randen, Senior Market Analyst at PrimeXBT, stated on March 5, 2026, that XRP could reach approximately $3 by the end of the year in a recovery scenario where broader crypto market sentiment improves and risk appetite returns, representing over 100% upside from current prices. In a more pessimistic scenario, with sustained selling pressure and failure to establish a market bottom, he warned that XRP could retest 2024 lows near $0.65. Overall, as with all cryptocurrencies, these forward-looking views carry no guarantees, as XRP investments involve substantial volatility and risk of loss. Featured image via Shutterstock The post Finance experts set XRP price for end of 2026 appeared first on Finbold .
24 Mar 2026, 13:41
AVAX Holds Firm at Key Levels, Fuels Hopes for Short-Term Rally
AVAX has displayed resilience at key support levels and signals potential for a price rebound. Analysts point to technical and fundamental factors supporting accumulation and recovery. Continue Reading: AVAX Holds Firm at Key Levels, Fuels Hopes for Short-Term Rally The post AVAX Holds Firm at Key Levels, Fuels Hopes for Short-Term Rally appeared first on COINTURK NEWS .
24 Mar 2026, 13:32
This Oversold Signal Has Triggered 350%, 1,800%, and 2,700% Bitcoin Surges Before
Although it has performed relatively well since the war in the Middle East broke out nearly a month ago, and has dwarfed gold in terms of gains within this period, bitcoin is far from its best shape observed in October last year. The cryptocurrency trades nearly 50% below its all-time high of over $126,000, but this continued sell-off could suggest a major reversal is on the horizon. Triple or Quadruple-Digit Gains? Popular trader and analyst Merlijn The Trader outlined this historical performance in a recent tweet, noting that the weekly RSI levels for BTC have plunged to such an oversold state for just a fourth time in the asset’s history. The previous three examples were followed by mind-blowing gains: 2019: oversold. Then 2,700% rally. 2020: oversold. Then 1,800% rally. 2022: oversold. Then 350% rally. If bitcoin is to mimic even the most modest surge, it would rocket to over $300,000. The most bullish one, though, would send it toward $2,000,000. Both of these might seem like a stretch at the moment, to say the least, but Merlijn said BTC could complete the corrective wave 4 if it holds $65,000 on the weekly chart, which could still push it to a new all-time high of $140,000 in wave 5. If it falls below that level, though, then “oversold gets more oversold first.” BITCOIN WEEKLY RSI IS OVERSOLD FOR THE FOURTH TIME IN HISTORY. 2019: oversold. Then 2,700% rally. 2020: oversold. Then 1,800% rally. 2022: oversold. Then 350% rally. 2026: oversold. Right now. Hold $65K: wave 4 complete. Wave 5 to $140K begins. Lose it: oversold gets more… pic.twitter.com/Em27L00u7j — Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) March 24, 2026 Still Extreme Fear Despite bitcoin’s impressive jump yesterday after Trump’s speech on the war against Iran, in which the asset surged from $68,000 to almost $72,000 in minutes, the overall market sentiment remains fearful. In fact, data from Alternative.me shows that the popular Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index has been deep in “extreme fear” state for days, but it has recovered from the local lows marked over the weekend. This is another sign that can be regarded as bullish. After all, it was Warren Buffett who said that investors should be greedy when others are fearful, and vice versa. BTC has spent most of the past six months in fear or extreme fear territory, which has historically been followed by an uptick. Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index. Source: Alternative.me The post This Oversold Signal Has Triggered 350%, 1,800%, and 2,700% Bitcoin Surges Before appeared first on CryptoPotato .
24 Mar 2026, 13:30
Bitcoin PMI Cycle Is The Only Signal That Matters, Analyst Explains Why
Bitcoin’s price action is looking uncertain on the surface, but one crypto analyst believes the real story is playing out far from the charts that most traders are watching. According to crypto analyst Crypto Tice, all of that Bitcoin price noise obscures a single, quietly reliable signal that has accurately traced out every major Bitcoin cycle in history: the Purchasing Managers’ Index. In a post on X, Tice noted that the PMI cycle is the only one that matters, and right now, it is flashing. The PMI Cycle Has Defined Every Bitcoin Bottom The PMI is a monthly economic indicator that tracks business activity across manufacturing and services sectors. On the surface, this may seem disconnected from the crypto market. However, the analyst’s outlook on the PMI is grounded in historical repetition: Bitcoin tends to form its most important lows when PMI is contracting, not when optimism is high. Related Reading: Breaking Down The $100 XRP Prophecy: Is There A Timeline? During these contraction phases, liquidity quietly grows in the background. The crypto market appears weak, sentiment turns negative, and price action stalls or drifts lower. But this is the exact period where long-term accumulation has always taken place for Bitcoin. As shown in the chart below, each major Bitcoin cycle shows green zones forming during periods of PMI contraction, followed by strong upward expansions once conditions change. These conditions are based on previous market bottoms, with examples being the accumulation ranges before the 2017 and 2021 rallies. Green-shaded zones labeled “scale out” periods consistently correspond with peak price phases across multiple cycles in 2013, 2017, and 2021. Red-shaded “scale in” zones, by contrast, highlight the accumulation floors. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @CryptoTice_ On X What The PMI Indicator Is Saying Now At the time of writing, the Purchasing Managers’ Index is sitting at a reading just above 48, which is bordering below the expansion signal reading of 50. What this means is that Bitcoin is currently sitting in the early phase of the PMI, which is the same structural zone that preceded each of the major rallies catalogued in the chart above. Related Reading: 4 Bitcoin Targets To Be On The Lookout For As Price Retests S/R Zone The indicator on the chart is positioned in a red accumulation zone and is expected to resolve to the upside over the coming months. According to the analyst, Bitcoin is currently in the exact same zone that marked every major buy window in history. However, this current accumulation zone won’t be available much longer. Bitcoin is currently trading at $71,070 with a 3.8% increase in the past 24 hours. It has spent quite a bit of time trading around $70,000, which is giving more credit to the idea that it has already bottomed. Notably, some analysts have begun pointing to this possibility. However, Bitcoin is still dealing with investor fear sentiment. Bitcoin sentiment is now back in fear, just days after showing signs of recovery. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
24 Mar 2026, 13:30
Institutional Crypto Investment Surges: The Second Wave Transforms Market Strategy
BitcoinWorld Institutional Crypto Investment Surges: The Second Wave Transforms Market Strategy NEW YORK, March 2025 – A definitive shift is reshaping the cryptocurrency landscape as a second wave of institutional investment gains momentum, according to Brett Tejpaul, Head of Institutional at Coinbase. This new phase moves beyond speculative price bets toward building sustainable revenue streams and integrating digital assets into core business operations. Consequently, the market is witnessing a maturation that promises to attract significant capital and drive product innovation for years to come. Institutional Crypto Investment Enters a Strategic Phase Brett Tejpaul’s recent statements to CoinDesk highlight a critical evolution. Initially, institutional forays into digital assets were largely tactical. Investors primarily sought exposure to Bitcoin and Ethereum for portfolio diversification and high-risk, high-reward appreciation. However, the market dynamics have fundamentally changed. Institutions now demonstrate a more sophisticated, strategic approach. They are actively exploring how blockchain technology and crypto-native financial products can generate stable, additional income. This shift from ‘why’ to ‘how’ signifies a deeper commitment to the asset class. Furthermore, this trend is supported by clearer regulatory frameworks and more robust market infrastructure. Major custodians, prime brokers, and compliance technology providers have built enterprise-grade solutions. These developments reduce operational friction and mitigate perceived risks for large-scale allocators. The conversation has matured from basic custody and security to advanced yield generation, staking, and structured products. The Drive for Revenue and Real-World Utility The core of this second wave is a focus on utility and yield. Institutions are no longer passive holders waiting for market cycles. Instead, they are actively deploying capital to earn returns through various crypto-economic mechanisms. This includes participating in proof-of-stake networks, providing liquidity in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols through regulated avenues, and engaging in basis trading and other institutional-grade strategies. Tejpaul specifically cited Coinbase’s collaboration with Apex Group, a global financial services provider. Together, they launched a share token for a Bitcoin operating fund. This product exemplifies the new wave. It allows qualified investors to gain exposure to a fund that potentially generates yield from Bitcoin-based financial activities, not merely from holding the asset and hoping its price increases. Such innovations bridge traditional finance with the crypto economy, creating familiar investment vehicles with new underlying mechanics. From Speculation to Integration: A Portfolio Perspective The evolving question from institutional clients underscores this change. The initial query was often, ‘How do I buy Bitcoin?’ The current dialogue is more complex. Portfolio managers and chief investment officers now ask, ‘How can digital assets improve my risk-adjusted returns?’ and ‘What operational efficiencies can blockchain adoption bring to my business?’ This represents a holistic view of crypto as both an investable asset and a transformative technology. This integration is visible across sectors. For instance, some corporations now include Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset, similar to gold. Meanwhile, asset managers are creating multi-strategy crypto funds that blend venture capital, public market trading, and yield farming. Insurance companies and pension funds are conducting due diligence on digital assets for potential allocation. Each of these moves signals a long-term, calculated approach rather than short-term speculation. Market Impacts and the Path Forward The influx of sophisticated institutional capital has several immediate and long-term effects. Firstly, it contributes to market stabilization. Large, revenue-focused investors typically have longer time horizons and more disciplined entry and exit strategies than retail speculators. Secondly, it accelerates financial product development. The demand from institutions for regulated, secure, and yield-generating products pushes exchanges, custodians, and fund managers to innovate rapidly. Thirdly, this wave enhances overall market legitimacy. As more blue-chip firms publicly engage with crypto, it reduces the stigma and perceived risk for others to follow. The network effect of institutional adoption can create a virtuous cycle, attracting more capital, talent, and regulatory clarity. Tejpaul emphasized that this foundational shift is likely to attract substantially more institutional capital in the coming years, potentially dwarfing the volumes seen during the first wave of interest. Evidence of the Shift: Data and Trends Several metrics corroborate the narrative of a second wave. On-chain data shows a consistent accumulation of Bitcoin by wallets classified as belonging to institutions and long-term holders. Furthermore, the volumes and open interest in regulated crypto derivatives on platforms like CME Group continue to hit record highs. Venture capital funding, while more selective, continues to flow into infrastructure and enterprise blockchain solutions at a steady pace. The table below outlines key differences between the first and second waves of institutional crypto investment: Characteristic First Wave (Pre-2023) Second Wave (2024-Onward) Primary Driver Speculative price appreciation Revenue generation & utility Investment Horizon Short to medium term Long-term strategic Key Question ‘How do I buy it?’ ‘How does it improve my business?’ Product Demand Simple spot exposure Complex yield products, ETFs, structured notes Risk Management Basic custody Sophisticated hedging, insurance, compliance tech Ultimately, the market is building the necessary plumbing for mainstream finance. This includes: Regulatory Clarity: Evolving guidelines from bodies like the SEC and global standard-setters. Institutional Infrastructure: Robust custody, trading, and settlement systems. Financial Innovation: New vehicles like spot Bitcoin ETFs and tokenized funds. Talent Acquisition: Traditional finance professionals moving into crypto roles. Conclusion The second wave of institutional crypto investment represents a profound maturation of the entire digital asset ecosystem. Driven by a search for yield and real-world utility rather than mere speculation, this phase is characterized by strategic integration and sophisticated product development. As evidenced by leaders like Coinbase’s Brett Tejpaul and concrete products like the Bitcoin operating fund share token, institutions are now embedding crypto into their long-term plans. This foundational shift promises to deepen market liquidity, enhance stability, and unlock the next chapter of growth for cryptocurrency, solidifying its role in the future of global finance. FAQs Q1: What defines the ‘second wave’ of institutional crypto investment? The second wave is defined by a strategic shift from investing purely for capital appreciation to seeking stable revenue generation and operational utility. Institutions are integrating crypto into business models and portfolios with a long-term, yield-focused approach. Q2: What is an example of a product created for this new wave? A prime example is the share token for a Bitcoin operating fund launched by Coinbase and Apex Group. This product allows institutional investors to gain exposure to a fund that aims to generate yield from Bitcoin-related financial activities, not just from holding the asset. Q3: How does this shift affect the overall cryptocurrency market? This influx of sophisticated, long-term capital can lead to greater market stability, increased liquidity, and accelerated development of regulated, institutional-grade financial products and services, enhancing overall market maturity. Q4: Are institutions still concerned about cryptocurrency volatility? While volatility remains a consideration, institutions in the second wave are employing advanced risk management strategies, hedging techniques, and focusing on yield-generating activities that can offset price fluctuations, viewing volatility as a parameter to manage rather than a barrier to entry. Q5: What does this mean for the future of crypto regulation? The active participation of major institutions increases pressure on regulators worldwide to provide clearer, more consistent frameworks. This engagement often leads to more constructive dialogue between the crypto industry and regulatory bodies, aiming to shape policies that protect investors while fostering innovation. This post Institutional Crypto Investment Surges: The Second Wave Transforms Market Strategy first appeared on BitcoinWorld .
