Invest ideasNews
10 Mar 2026, 06:15
USD/CAD Forecast: Critical Breakdown Looms Below 1.3600 as Trading Range Collapses
BitcoinWorld USD/CAD Forecast: Critical Breakdown Looms Below 1.3600 as Trading Range Collapses The USD/CAD currency pair faces a pivotal moment in early 2025 trading, with technical analysis indicating significant vulnerability below the crucial 1.3600 support level. Market participants globally are closely monitoring this potential trading range breakdown, which could signal substantial directional moves for North American currency markets. This analysis examines the technical landscape, fundamental drivers, and potential implications for forex traders and international businesses exposed to USD/CAD fluctuations. USD/CAD Technical Analysis: The 1.3600 Confluence Zone Technical indicators currently paint a concerning picture for USD/CAD bulls. The currency pair has tested the 1.3600 level multiple times throughout late 2024, establishing it as a critical support zone. However, recent price action shows weakening momentum and declining volume on rebound attempts. Furthermore, the 50-day and 200-day moving averages have converged near this level, creating a technical confluence that amplifies its importance. Several key technical factors contribute to the current vulnerability: Declining Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI has failed to reach overbought territory during recent rallies Volume Profile Analysis: High-volume nodes are concentrated below 1.3600, suggesting potential acceleration if support breaks Moving Average Convergence: The convergence of multiple moving averages indicates potential volatility expansion Historical Context and Trading Range Dynamics The current trading range between 1.3600 and 1.3800 has persisted for approximately three months, representing one of the longest consolidation periods in recent USD/CAD history. Historically, extended consolidation phases in this currency pair have preceded significant directional moves. For instance, the similar range-bound trading in early 2023 preceded a 400-pip move over the subsequent six weeks. Market structure analysis reveals important patterns. The upper boundary at 1.3800 has been tested and rejected four times since October 2024, while the lower boundary at 1.3600 has seen increasing frequency of tests. This pattern typically indicates weakening support and potential range breakdown. Additionally, the narrowing of Bollinger Bands throughout December 2024 suggests impending volatility expansion. Fundamental Drivers and Economic Context Beyond technical factors, fundamental considerations significantly influence USD/CAD dynamics. The currency pair reflects the economic relationship between the United States and Canada, with particular sensitivity to commodity prices, interest rate differentials, and trade flows. Recent developments in several key areas contribute to current market pressures. Firstly, Bank of Canada monetary policy decisions have created divergence from Federal Reserve positioning. While both central banks have maintained cautious approaches to rate cuts, subtle differences in communication have emerged. Secondly, crude oil price movements directly impact the Canadian dollar, given Canada’s status as a major oil exporter. Recent volatility in energy markets has introduced additional uncertainty. The following table summarizes key fundamental factors affecting USD/CAD: Factor Current Status USD/CAD Impact Interest Rate Differential US rates slightly higher Moderately USD-positive Crude Oil Prices Volatile, trending lower CAD-negative pressure Trade Balance Canadian surplus narrowing Mixed implications Economic Growth US outperforming Canada USD-supportive Potential Breakdown Scenarios and Price Targets Should the 1.3600 support level fail to hold, technical analysis suggests several potential scenarios. The most immediate concern involves a breakdown below this psychological and technical barrier, which could trigger stop-loss orders and algorithmic selling. Initial downside targets would include the 1.3550 level, followed by the more significant 1.3500 support zone established in mid-2024. Conversely, a successful defense of 1.3600 could lead to range-bound continuation or even a rally toward range resistance. However, current market structure makes this scenario less probable based on recent price action and volume patterns. The diminishing amplitude of rallies within the range suggests weakening buying interest at higher levels. Several technical tools provide specific price projections: Measured Move Projection: Range height suggests 200-pip move upon breakdown Fibonacci Extension: Key levels at 1.3520 (38.2%) and 1.3450 (61.8%) Previous Support/Resistance: Historical levels provide natural targets Market Psychology and Sentiment Indicators Trader positioning data reveals important sentiment shifts. According to recent Commitment of Traders reports, speculative positioning has become increasingly net-long on USD/CAD throughout the consolidation phase. This positioning creates vulnerability if the market reverses, as crowded trades often unwind rapidly. Additionally, options market analysis shows rising demand for downside protection, indicating growing concern among institutional participants. Market sentiment surveys conducted among major bank trading desks show divided opinions. Approximately 45% of respondents expect range continuation, while 35% anticipate breakdown, and 20% remain uncertain. This division suggests potential for significant moves once consensus emerges. The lack of clear directional conviction among professionals often precedes substantial price movements. Risk Management Considerations for Traders Given the current technical setup, prudent risk management becomes particularly important. The convergence of multiple technical factors at the 1.3600 level increases the probability of volatility expansion. Traders should consider several risk management approaches in this environment. Position sizing should account for potential increased volatility, with smaller positions appropriate given the elevated uncertainty. Stop-loss placement requires careful consideration, as traditional technical levels may see increased slippage during breakdown scenarios. Additionally, time horizon considerations become crucial, as false breakdowns and whipsaws are common during range transitions. Several specific risk management strategies apply: Volatility-Adjusted Position Sizing: Use Average True Range to determine appropriate size Multi-Level Stop Placement: Consider partial stops at technical levels Correlation Awareness: Monitor related markets (oil, USDCAD options) News Event Alignment: Coordinate with economic calendar events Broader Market Implications and Correlations The USD/CAD breakdown scenario carries implications beyond the currency pair itself. As a major commodity currency pair, movements in USD/CAD often correlate with broader market themes. A sustained breakdown could signal several broader market developments. Firstly, it might indicate strengthening risk appetite, as commodity currencies often benefit during risk-on environments. Alternatively, it could reflect specific Canadian economic concerns or broader US dollar strength. The relationship with crude oil prices remains particularly important, with historical correlation coefficients between 0.6 and 0.8 over medium-term horizons. Cross-market analysis reveals important connections. USD/CAD movements frequently influence Canadian equity markets, particularly energy and financial sectors. Additionally, the currency pair impacts cross-border trade flows between the two nations, with implications for corporate earnings and economic indicators. Conclusion The USD/CAD currency pair stands at a critical technical juncture with the 1.3600 level representing a make-or-break support zone. Multiple technical indicators suggest increasing vulnerability to a trading range breakdown, which could trigger significant directional movement. While fundamental factors present a mixed picture, the technical setup favors downside risk in the near term. Market participants should monitor price action around this key level closely, with appropriate risk management given the potential for increased volatility. The resolution of this technical standoff will provide important signals for broader currency market trends and North American economic dynamics. FAQs Q1: What makes the 1.3600 level so important for USD/CAD? The 1.3600 level represents a confluence of technical factors including historical support, moving average convergence, and high-volume trading activity. It has been tested multiple times, establishing it as a critical psychological and technical barrier. Q2: How does crude oil price affect USD/CAD movements? Canada is a major oil exporter, so the Canadian dollar often correlates positively with crude oil prices. Lower oil prices typically pressure CAD, potentially supporting USD/CAD, though the relationship isn’t always direct due to other influencing factors. Q3: What time frame should traders focus on for this potential breakdown? Traders should monitor daily and 4-hour charts for initial breakdown signals, but confirmation typically requires sustained breaks on daily closing basis. Weekly charts provide important context for longer-term significance. Q4: What are the key economic events that could trigger USD/CAD movement? Important events include Bank of Canada and Federal Reserve policy decisions, employment reports from both countries, inflation data, and major crude oil inventory reports that affect energy prices. Q5: How reliable are trading range breakdown signals in forex markets? While not infallible, range breakdowns from well-established trading ranges have historically shown good reliability, particularly when confirmed by multiple technical indicators and supported by volume analysis. This post USD/CAD Forecast: Critical Breakdown Looms Below 1.3600 as Trading Range Collapses first appeared on BitcoinWorld .
10 Mar 2026, 06:10
EUR/JPY Forecast: Pair Retreats Below 183.50 as Safe-Haven Flows Intensify, Yet Bullish Structure Holds
BitcoinWorld EUR/JPY Forecast: Pair Retreats Below 183.50 as Safe-Haven Flows Intensify, Yet Bullish Structure Holds The EUR/JPY cross retreated below the critical 183.50 handle in early European trading on Thursday, March 20, 2025, as renewed geopolitical tensions triggered a flight to traditional safe-haven assets. Consequently, the Japanese Yen found broad-based support, pressuring the Euro-Yen pair. However, a deeper analysis of the technical landscape and fundamental drivers reveals the pair’s underlying bullish structure remains largely intact, suggesting the current dip may represent a corrective phase within a broader uptrend. EUR/JPY Price Action and Immediate Technical Context The EUR/JPY’s descent below 183.50 marks a significant short-term development. This level previously acted as a confluence zone, combining the 50-period simple moving average on the four-hour chart with a minor psychological barrier. The move lower was primarily catalyzed by a sharp spike in market volatility following unexpected developments in Eastern Europe, which amplified demand for the Yen’s perceived safety. Market participants swiftly adjusted their portfolios, leading to a classic risk-off reaction across currency markets. Meanwhile, the Euro faced additional headwinds from slightly dovish commentary within the latest European Central Bank (ECB) meeting minutes, which emphasized a data-dependent approach despite persistent inflationary pressures. Despite this pullback, several key technical elements support a cautiously optimistic outlook. Firstly, the pair continues to trade well above its 200-day moving average, a widely watched long-term trend indicator. Secondly, the weekly chart maintains a sequence of higher lows established since the fourth quarter of 2024. The current price zone also aligns with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the recent swing low to high, a common area for trends to resume. Analysts at major investment banks note that while momentum has softened, a definitive break below the 182.80 support cluster would be required to invalidate the near-term bullish bias. Fundamental Drivers: Diverging Central Bank Policies and Safe-Haven Flows The fundamental backdrop for the EUR/JPY remains a tale of two central banks navigating divergent economic landscapes. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintains an ultra-accommodative monetary policy stance, even as it cautiously navigates a gradual exit from yield curve control. Market consensus suggests any policy normalization from the BoJ will be exceptionally slow, keeping Japanese interest rates anchored near zero for the foreseeable future. This environment traditionally weighs on the Yen’s appeal as a funding currency. Conversely, the European Central Bank, while cautious, has a clearer path toward maintaining relatively higher interest rates compared to Japan to combat underlying inflation in the service sector. Expert Analysis on Risk Sentiment and Correlation “The EUR/JPY pair often acts as a reliable barometer for global risk appetite,” explains Dr. Alina Kostova, Head of Currency Strategy at Global Macro Advisors. “Its recent correlation with equity market movements has strengthened. When the S&P 500 or European indices sell off, we typically see capital flow into the Yen, pressuring EUR/JPY. The key question for traders is whether this risk-off move is a temporary adjustment or the beginning of a more sustained shift. Current data, including stable credit spreads and commodity prices, suggests the former.” This analysis is supported by historical data showing that sharp, news-driven safe-haven rallies in the Yen are frequently retraced once the initial panic subsides, provided the core fundamental divergence remains. The following table summarizes the key opposing forces currently influencing the EUR/JPY exchange rate: Bullish Factors for EUR/JPY Bearish Factors for EUR/JPY Sustained ECB vs. BoJ interest rate differential Acute geopolitical risk boosting safe-haven JPY demand Resilient Eurozone economic data versus expectations Technical breach of near-term support at 183.50 Constructive longer-term technical trend structure Potential for a broader correction in risk assets globally Critical Price Levels and Trader Positioning For traders and investors, identifying key price levels is paramount. The immediate resistance now sits at the former support of 183.50, followed by the recent swing high near 184.30. A daily close above this latter level would strongly signal a resumption of the uptrend. On the downside, support is layered. The most immediate level is found around 182.80, which coincides with the early March consolidation low and the 100-day moving average. A more significant support zone exists between 182.00 and 181.50, representing a key Fibonacci level and the February peak. Commitment of Traders (COT) reports from exchanges indicate that leveraged funds remain net long the EUR/JPY, although they have slightly reduced their positions over the past week, reflecting a degree of caution without a wholesale reversal in sentiment. The Impact of Commodity Prices and Energy Markets Furthermore, the pair exhibits sensitivity to energy price fluctuations. The Eurozone is a major energy importer, while Japan is one of the world’s largest importers of liquefied natural gas (LNG). A sustained rise in crude oil or natural gas prices can act as a tax on both economies, but the relative impact often creates subtle shifts in the exchange rate. Recent stabilization in the Brent crude market, after a volatile period, removes one potential source of asymmetric shock and allows the core monetary policy divergence to reassert itself as the primary driver. Conclusion In conclusion, the EUR/JPY forecast presents a nuanced picture. The pair’s break below 183.50 clearly demonstrates the potent impact of sudden safe-haven demand for the Japanese Yen. However, the prevailing fundamental divergence between the ECB and BoJ, coupled with a still-constructive longer-term technical setup, suggests the bullish outlook is merely challenged, not broken. Market participants will closely monitor the pair’s behavior around the 182.80 support level and broader risk sentiment indicators. A stabilization in geopolitical headlines could quickly see the EUR/JPY reclaim lost ground, reaffirming its trajectory within the broader uptrend that has characterized its movement for much of the past year. FAQs Q1: What caused the EUR/JPY to fall below 183.50? A sudden increase in geopolitical risk triggered a classic “risk-off” move in financial markets. Investors sought the safety of the Japanese Yen, which is considered a traditional safe-haven currency, causing it to appreciate against the Euro. Q2: Why do analysts maintain a mildly bullish outlook despite the drop? The bullish outlook is based on the sustained interest rate differential between the Eurozone and Japan, a still-positive long-term trend on price charts, and the view that the current safe-haven demand may be a temporary reaction rather than a lasting shift in fundamentals. Q3: What is the most important support level for EUR/JPY now? The immediate critical support level is around 182.80. A decisive break below this level, confirmed by a daily close, could signal a deeper correction toward the 181.50-182.00 zone. Q4: How does the Bank of Japan’s policy affect the Yen? The Bank of Japan maintains the most accommodative monetary policy among major central banks, with interest rates near zero. This generally keeps the Yen weak, as it is used as a funding currency for investments in higher-yielding assets elsewhere. Q5: What would need to happen for the EUR/JPY to resume a clear upward trend? For a clear resumption of the uptrend, the pair would need to recover and achieve a daily close above the 184.30 resistance level. This would indicate that the bullish momentum has overcome the recent safe-haven selling pressure. This post EUR/JPY Forecast: Pair Retreats Below 183.50 as Safe-Haven Flows Intensify, Yet Bullish Structure Holds first appeared on BitcoinWorld .
10 Mar 2026, 06:02
Finance Expert to XRP Investors: This Is Hurting Your XRP Investment
Crypto commentator Austin Hilton recently highlighted an economic issue that he believes is indirectly affecting XRP investors and the wider cryptocurrency market. In a video attached to a social media post, Hilton explained that financial pressures many households face may be reducing the amount of capital flowing into digital assets, which in turn affects price momentum across the market. This is hurting your and your XRP investment! pic.twitter.com/DqIASZdZno — Austin Hilton (@austinahilton) March 7, 2026 Hilton began by reviewing recent market conditions, noting that the price trend across major cryptocurrencies had remained relatively modest over 24 hours. He stated that XRP recorded only a slight decline during that timeframe, while the broader crypto market also showed minor losses. According to him, these short-term movements were not particularly significant, as most major assets were trading relatively flat with only small percentage changes. However, Hilton directed attention away from short-term price activity and toward economic conditions that could have a deeper influence on crypto investment patterns. He referenced a report discussing an increase in Americans withdrawing funds from their retirement accounts, particularly 401(k) plans. The report indicated that more individuals are accessing these funds due to financial hardship, with withdrawals rising for the sixth consecutive year. Data cited in the article showed that a notable portion of retirement plan participants currently have loans against their accounts, while the average withdrawal amount is approximately $1,900. Reduced Retail Liquidity in the Crypto Market Hilton explained that this trend reflects the economic challenges affecting many households. Rising debt levels, mortgage foreclosures, and car loan defaults are becoming more common, and these pressures are forcing individuals to prioritize essential expenses. According to Hilton, when people are facing financial strain, investing in assets such as cryptocurrencies becomes far less likely. He argued that this situation directly affects liquidity in the crypto market. Historically, retail investors are the major source of capital inflows. When large segments of the population are struggling financially, the amount of new money entering the market declines. Hilton stated that even individuals who remain interested in digital assets may delay investing if they are focused on covering living expenses or managing debt obligations. While he referenced economic conditions in the United States, Hilton emphasized that similar dynamics can be observed globally. Financial stress in major economies can influence investor sentiment and limit available capital for speculative investments, including cryptocurrencies such as XRP . Regulatory Clarity Could Attract Institutional Capital Despite highlighting these challenges, Hilton also pointed to a potential catalyst that could significantly influence the crypto market. He identified the proposed Clarity Act as a key development that could open the door to institutional investment. According to Hilton, many large funds and pension plans remain cautious about entering the cryptocurrency market due to regulatory uncertainty. Institutional investors often operate within strict compliance frameworks, which require clear legal guidance before allocating capital to new asset classes. Hilton suggested that the passage of the Clarity Act could provide the regulatory confirmation these institutions need. We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 If such legislation is enacted, Hilton believes it could unlock substantial institutional participation. Pension funds, retirement funds, and other large investment entities may seek exposure to digital assets through regulated investment products rather than purchasing cryptocurrencies directly. He stated that this shift could bring significant capital into the market, potentially benefiting XRP and other digital assets. In Hilton’s view, while current economic pressures may be limiting retail investment in crypto, regulatory clarity and institutional involvement could eventually change the landscape and provide new sources of market liquidity. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on X , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post Finance Expert to XRP Investors: This Is Hurting Your XRP Investment appeared first on Times Tabloid .
10 Mar 2026, 06:00
Bitcoin’s Valuation Model Hints At $500K Cycle Average, Analyst Says
Bitcoin is trading near $67,300, well off its recent high of $74,000. One well-known analyst says that dip barely matters — he’s looking at a cycle average closer to half a million dollars. Related Reading: WAR Token Explodes 100%, Then Crashes 20% In Sudden Sell-Off A Model Built On Scarcity PlanB, the pseudonymous analyst behind the Stock-to-Flow model, says Bitcoin’s price during the current 2024–2028 halving cycle could average around $500,000, with a range stretching from $250,000 to $1 million. The model is built on a simple premise: as Bitcoin’s supply grows more slowly — thanks to halving events that cut mining rewards roughly every four years — and demand holds steady or rises, the price should follow. Reports indicate that PlanB is careful to frame the figure as a cycle average, not a ceiling or a guaranteed peak. Bitcoin halvings reduce the number of new coins entering circulation. The most recent one took place in April 2024. Historically, each halving has been followed by a significant price run. That pattern is the backbone of PlanB’s argument. 🚨 Bitcoin at $67k… but S2F model screams $500k avg this cycle (2024-2028)! 📈 Is BTC massively undervalued & the ultimate buy opportunity? Or is S2F broken forever? 🤔 What’s your take, bull or bust? pic.twitter.com/QlBhOgSgGj — PlanB (@100trillionUSD) March 8, 2026 Not Everyone Is Buying It Crypto analyst Bobby A puts his estimate at $200,000 to $250,000 by 2026 or 2027 — still a major jump from current levels, but nowhere near PlanB’s midpoint. According to Bobby A, Stock-to-Flow works as a rough long-term guide but falls short when used to pin down specific price targets in complex markets. He argues the model captures Bitcoin’s broad growth story without accounting for the many variables that move prices in real time. My take is somewhere in the middle. In my opinion, Bitcoin is currently undervalued and will likely trade toward the $200,000 to $250,000 range as this cycle matures through 2026 and into 2027. That said, I do not subscribe to the idea that Bitcoin will reach $500,000 by 2028.… https://t.co/d8wu0skKuN — Bobby A (@Bobby_1111888) March 8, 2026 That skepticism is not without basis. Stock-to-Flow drew sharp criticism after Bitcoin failed to sustain the price levels the model projected during the 2020–2024 cycle. Some analysts wrote off the model entirely. Others say it was never meant to work as a precise forecasting tool to begin with — a nuance that often gets lost in headline-driven coverage. Related Reading: Stablecoin Market Breaks Records — USDC Controls 70% Of $1.8 Trillion Volume What’s Weighing On Bitcoin Now Several outside pressures have contributed to Bitcoin’s recent pullback. Geopolitical tensions and shifting inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds — which won US regulatory approval in early 2024 — have added to short-term volatility. Data shows that ETF inflows, which helped push Bitcoin to record highs earlier this year, have been inconsistent in recent months. Reports note that many analysts view the current period as a consolidation phase following the strong rally that carried Bitcoin above $72,000. Whether that consolidation leads to a renewed push higher — or signals a longer plateau — remains an open question. PlanB’s $500,000 average would require Bitcoin to climb more than seven times its current price before the cycle ends. That’s a large number. But in a market that went from under $20,000 to over $73,000 in roughly 18 months, some investors say stranger things have happened. Featured image from Free3D.com, chart from TradingView
10 Mar 2026, 05:56
Morning brief: Bitcoin gain; Asian stocks rally on Trump remarks
Global financial markets opened Tuesday with sharp swings across energy, equities, and cryptocurrencies as investors reacted to signals that the conflict involving Iran could be nearing an end. Oil prices plunged after US President Donald Trump suggested the war was nearly complete, easing fears of prolonged disruptions to energy supplies. Asian stock markets rallied as risk sentiment improved, while Bitcoin recovered from weekend losses amid stabilizing energy markets and continued institutional demand. Trump signals Iran conflict may be nearing an end Markets were initially driven by remarks from US President Donald Trump indicating that the conflict involving Iran could soon wind down. In a phone interview with CBS News, Trump suggested that the military campaign had largely achieved its objectives. "I think the war is very complete, pretty much," the president said, speaking from his Doral, Florida, golf club. "[Iran has] no navy, no communications, they've got no air force. Their missiles are down to a scatter. Their drones are being blown up all over the place, including their manufacturing of drones." The US military said it struck more than 3,000 Iranian targets in the first week of operations. "If you look, they have nothing left. There's nothing left in a military sense," Mr. Trump said. Iran also announced that Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei would replace his father as supreme leader, a development that added further political uncertainty to the situation. Trump said he had no message for the new leader. "I have no message for him. None, whatsoever," the president said. The president also warned Iran about interfering with shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global energy supplies. "They've shot everything they have to shoot, and they better not try anything cute or it's going to be the end of that country. … If they do anything bad, that would be the end of Iran and you'd never hear the name again." Trump also said the war was progressing faster than expected. "We're very far ahead of schedule," he told CBS News. Oil prices tumble after historic surge on war fears Energy markets reacted sharply to Trump’s comments. Oil had surged dramatically earlier, with Brent crude jumping about 28% to nearly $120 per barrel, marking a near four-year high as supply disruptions intensified. However, prices reversed course quickly after Trump’s remarks suggested the conflict might end sooner than expected. West Texas Intermediate crude was last trading around $88.46 per barrel, down 6.5%, while Brent crude fell 6.1% to about $92.66 per barrel. Earlier in the session Brent briefly dropped to $88.10, while WTI touched $84.45. The earlier rally had been triggered by the shutdown of oil production across the Persian Gulf and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly one-fifth of global oil supply typically flows. Analysts said markets will ultimately need to see supply flows resume before oil prices stabilize further. Asian equities rally as market sentiment improves Equity markets across Asia rallied as oil prices dropped and risk appetite returned. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 2.78%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 jumped 2.6%, while South Korea’s Kospi surged 4.6%. The sharp gains even triggered a temporary sidecar trading halt in Korea after futures rose more than 5%. Market analysts said the change in tone from Washington helped calm investor nerves after Monday’s volatility. Bitcoin rebounds above $70,000 as crypto stabilizes Cryptocurrency markets also recovered as oil volatility eased. Bitcoin climbed back above $70,000 during Asian trading hours after briefly dropping to around $65,000 over the weekend. The cryptocurrency had initially fallen alongside other risk assets during the energy shock but rebounded as market sentiment improved. Institutional investment flows continued to support the asset class. US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about $568 million in net inflows last week, following $787 million the week before, pushing cumulative inflows above $55 billion. Corporate demand also remained strong. Strategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, purchased 17,994 Bitcoins for $1.28 billion between March 2 and March 8. Company chairman Michael Saylor signaled the update in a social media post. “The Second Century Begins,” Saylor wrote. The post Morning brief: Bitcoin gain; Asian stocks rally on Trump remarks appeared first on Invezz
10 Mar 2026, 05:40
Bitcoin’s Leverage Ratio Drops Sharply – Is a Healthier Market Reset Underway?
Global tensions, particularly the Iran-US conflict, have rattled crypto markets and pushed investors away from risk-taking. “Periods like this are generally not favorable for risk-taking, and this can be clearly observed in the sharp decline of Bitcoin’s Estimated Leverage Ratio on Binance,” said CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost on Monday. The metric measures the intensity with which investors use leverage and is calculated by comparing the futures Open Interest (OI) with the amount of BTC reserves held on the exchange. Since February, this ratio has fallen sharply from 0.198 to 0.152 — coinciding with Bitcoin dropping from $96,000to $69,000. A Healthier Market Dynamic If the ratio remains low while Bitcoin consolidates, it likely signals that spot buying rather than leveraged speculation is becoming the dominant price driver, which is a generally healthier dynamic. “Lower leverage generally means less systemic pressure, which can help stabilize price action before the market enters a new directional phase.” Bitcoin leverage reset after market volatility “Since February, Bitcoin’s Estimated Leverage Ratio on Binance has dropped from 0.198 to 0.152, representing a significant and rapid decline. This type of move is typically observed after periods of strong volatility and major… pic.twitter.com/q1MVOR5CZa — Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) March 9, 2026 In a separate post, CryptoQuant analyst “IT tech” said that “bottom callers are multiplying.” One metric just hit 29 consecutive days in distress territory, they added, highlighting the Bitcoin long-term holder-to-short-term holder SOPR ratio, which is at 0.89. “Recent buyers are underwater. LTHs aren’t selling, but they’re not absorbing either. STH capitulation building, but nowhere near extremes. Calling a structural low here is premature.” Meanwhile, Glassnode reported on Monday that momentum has “firmed modestly,” with RSI lifting from recent lows, “but price action still lacks the strength of a decisive bullish shift.” “Spot activity remains subdued, with lower trading volume pointing to softer participation even as conditions begin to stabilize.” Crypto Market Outlook Spot markets have climbed 4.3% on the day to reach $2.46 trillion in a move that follows US President Trump’s comments that the war with Iran could be “over soon.” Bitcoin reclaimed $70,000 in early trading in Asia on Tuesday as oil prices tanked 28% from Monday’s high of $120. Ether remained weak, but it was holding above the $2,000 level at the time of writing. Meanwhile, some altcoins were seeing larger gains, including Hyperliquid and Zcash, which surged more than 11% each. The post Bitcoin’s Leverage Ratio Drops Sharply – Is a Healthier Market Reset Underway? appeared first on CryptoPotato .
