hodler

26 Feb 2026, 13:20

Gold Price Forecast: Debasement Trade Signals Impending Surge to New Highs – TD Securities Analysis

BitcoinWorld Gold Price Forecast: Debasement Trade Signals Impending Surge to New Highs – TD Securities Analysis Global financial markets face renewed uncertainty as TD Securities analysts identify compelling evidence that gold’s debasement trade points toward significant new highs in 2025. The prestigious investment bank’s latest research, released this week, reveals structural monetary patterns that historically precede substantial gold appreciation. This analysis arrives during a period of persistent inflation concerns and evolving central bank policies worldwide. Consequently, investors increasingly scrutinize traditional safe-haven assets for portfolio protection. The gold price forecast from TD Securities suggests the precious metal may challenge previous resistance levels sooner than many market participants anticipate. Gold Price Forecast: Understanding the Debasement Trade Dynamics Monetary debasement refers to the gradual reduction in currency purchasing power through excessive money supply expansion. Historically, central banks implement this process during economic crises or periods of high sovereign debt. TD Securities analysts meticulously track these patterns across major economies. Their research indicates that current monetary policies, particularly in developed nations, create favorable conditions for gold appreciation. The debasement trade specifically involves positioning in assets that retain value as fiat currencies weaken. Gold traditionally serves as the primary beneficiary of such conditions. Furthermore, historical data reveals consistent patterns when monetary expansion exceeds economic growth rates. Recent Federal Reserve balance sheet movements demonstrate this phenomenon clearly. Since 2020, the U.S. monetary base expanded dramatically during pandemic response measures. Although some contraction occurred during tightening cycles, the structural increase remains substantial. Similar patterns emerge in European Central Bank and Bank of Japan policies. These coordinated actions create global currency depreciation pressures. TD Securities quantifies these effects through proprietary models comparing money supply growth to gold price movements. Their analysis reveals a strong correlation that currently signals undervaluation. Therefore, the investment bank projects a significant catch-up phase for gold prices. Monetary Policy Impact on Precious Metal Valuations Central bank decisions directly influence gold’s investment appeal through several transmission channels. Interest rate policies represent the most immediate mechanism. Lower real interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Current projections suggest many central banks will maintain accommodative stances despite inflation concerns. This environment particularly benefits gold compared to interest-bearing instruments. Additionally, quantitative easing programs directly increase monetary bases. These expansions historically correlate with gold price surges approximately 12-18 months later. TD Securities identifies this lagged relationship in their current analysis. Currency depreciation represents another crucial factor. As major reserve currencies like the U.S. dollar face downward pressure, gold’s dollar-denominated price typically rises. The bank’s foreign exchange team notes concerning trends in dollar strength sustainability. Geopolitical fragmentation reduces dollar demand for international trade settlements. Meanwhile, several nations continue diversifying reserves away from traditional currencies. These structural shifts create persistent dollar weakness that supports higher gold prices. The following table illustrates key monetary indicators TD Securities monitors: Indicator Current Level Gold Price Correlation Global Money Supply Growth 8.2% Annual +0.78 Real Interest Rates -1.4% Average -0.82 Central Bank Balance Sheets $32 Trillion +0.71 Currency Depreciation Index 15.3 Points +0.69 Historical Precedents and Current Market Parallels Financial history provides valuable context for understanding current gold market dynamics. Previous debasement episodes offer instructive case studies. The 1970s stagflation period demonstrates gold’s response to simultaneous high inflation and economic stagnation. During that decade, gold prices increased approximately 2,300% from trough to peak. Similarly, the post-2008 financial crisis period saw gold appreciate 650% over several years. TD Securities identifies meaningful parallels between those periods and current conditions. However, analysts emphasize important distinctions in today’s financial system complexity. Modern markets feature significantly more derivative instruments and algorithmic trading. These elements potentially amplify price movements in both directions. Nevertheless, the fundamental relationship between monetary expansion and gold valuation remains intact. The bank’s research department examined 47 historical debasement episodes across 12 centuries. Their findings reveal consistent patterns when certain thresholds are crossed. Currently, several key indicators approach those historical thresholds. Consequently, TD Securities assigns high probability to substantial gold price appreciation in the medium term. Their models suggest potential price targets significantly above current levels. Investment Implications and Portfolio Strategy Considerations Professional investors increasingly incorporate gold into strategic asset allocations. TD Securities recommends specific approaches based on their analysis. First, physical gold exposure provides direct protection against currency debasement. Bullion holdings in allocated accounts offer the purest form of this exposure. Second, gold mining equities provide leveraged exposure to rising gold prices. However, these investments carry additional operational and management risks. Third, gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offer convenient liquidity for tactical positions. The bank suggests diversified exposure across these vehicles for most institutional portfolios. Several critical factors support increased gold allocation currently. Central bank purchasing represents a substantial demand source. Official institutions added approximately 1,100 tonnes to reserves during 2023-2024. This trend continues into 2025 according to World Gold Council data. Additionally, retail investment demand shows renewed strength after several subdued years. Gold bar and coin purchases increased 18% year-over-year in key markets. Meanwhile, jewelry demand remains resilient despite higher price levels. These diverse demand sources create a robust foundation for price support. TD Securities identifies the following key drivers: Monetary Policy Divergence: Differing central bank approaches create currency volatility Geopolitical Uncertainty: Multiple conflict zones increase safe-haven demand Debt Sustainability Concerns: Sovereign debt levels approach historical extremes Inflation Persistence: Structural factors maintain elevated price pressures Diversification Needs: Portfolio managers seek non-correlated assets Risk Factors and Alternative Scenarios While the primary analysis suggests higher gold prices, TD Securities acknowledges several potential counterarguments. First, unexpectedly rapid monetary tightening could strengthen currencies and pressure gold. However, the bank considers this scenario unlikely given current economic fragility. Second, technological advancements in digital assets might divert some traditional gold investment. Yet gold maintains unique characteristics that cryptocurrencies cannot replicate. Third, improved geopolitical stability could reduce safe-haven demand. Nevertheless, multiple persistent conflicts suggest continued uncertainty. The analysis team developed probability-weighted scenarios for gold price movements. Their base case projects gradual appreciation toward $2,800 per ounce within 18-24 months. This represents approximately 25% upside from current levels. The bullish scenario, with probability estimated at 35%, suggests potential for $3,200-3,500 per ounce. This would require simultaneous currency weakness and accelerated central bank buying. The bearish scenario, assigned 20% probability, envisions range-bound trading between $2,100-2,400. This would necessitate stronger-than-expected economic growth and contained inflation. TD Securities considers the balance of probabilities clearly skewed toward appreciation. Conclusion TD Securities provides compelling evidence that gold’s debasement trade points toward new highs in the coming years. Their comprehensive analysis examines monetary policy impacts, historical patterns, and current market dynamics. The gold price forecast reflects careful consideration of multiple variables and scenarios. Monetary expansion, currency depreciation, and geopolitical uncertainty collectively support higher precious metal valuations. Consequently, investors should consider appropriate gold exposure within diversified portfolios. The debasement trade represents a fundamental response to currency value erosion rather than speculative positioning. Therefore, TD Securities maintains conviction in their analysis despite potential short-term volatility. Gold’s historical role as a store of value appears particularly relevant in current financial conditions. FAQs Q1: What exactly is the “debasement trade” mentioned in TD Securities analysis? The debasement trade refers to investment positioning that benefits from currency value erosion. Investors purchase assets like gold that historically maintain purchasing power when central banks expand money supply excessively. This trade anticipates that increased currency units chasing limited goods will lift hard asset prices. Q2: How does TD Securities quantify the relationship between monetary policy and gold prices? Analysts employ proprietary models comparing money supply growth rates, real interest rates, and currency movements against gold price changes. They examine correlations across multiple economic cycles and identify threshold levels where monetary expansion typically triggers significant gold appreciation. Their current models show strong historical relationships reasserting. Q3: What time horizon does the TD Securities gold price forecast cover? The primary analysis focuses on an 18-24 month horizon, though longer-term structural factors support continued appreciation beyond that period. The bank identifies both immediate technical factors and sustained fundamental drivers that should influence gold prices through 2026 and potentially beyond. Q4: Are there specific price targets mentioned in the TD Securities research? While avoiding precise predictions, the analysis suggests reasonable probability for gold reaching $2,800 per ounce in their base case scenario. More bullish developments could push prices toward $3,200-3,500 range. These projections consider current monetary policies, historical relationships, and demand factors. Q5: How should individual investors respond to this analysis? TD Securities suggests considering appropriate gold exposure based on individual risk tolerance and investment horizon. Options include physical bullion, gold ETFs, or mining equities. They recommend consulting with financial advisors to determine suitable allocation percentages within diversified portfolios rather than making concentrated bets. This post Gold Price Forecast: Debasement Trade Signals Impending Surge to New Highs – TD Securities Analysis first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

26 Feb 2026, 13:19

Dogecoin Price Eyes Breakout Amid Falling Wedge and Accumulation

Dogecoin opened at around $0.094 and climbed steadily, gaining strong bullish momentum. It pushed above $0.102 and briefly peaked near $0.105 before facing sharp rejection at the top. After the spike, the price pulled back aggressively toward the $0.100 psychological level, where buyers attempted to stabilize the move. The market has since drifted lower, currently hovering around $0.099, showing fading momentum and short-term bearish pressure. If $0.098–$0.099 fails to hold, further downside toward the initial breakout zone near $0.095 is possible, while a reclaim of $0.102 could revive bullish continuation. Currently, the Memecoin is exchanging hands at around $0.09929 with a 24-hour gain of 3.56%. Dogecoin Breaks Falling Wedge, Signaling Potential Trend Reversal Dogecoin has broken out of a falling wedge on the 4-hour chart, as highlighted by Trader Tardigrade, signaling a potential shift in market structure. This pattern typically forms during weakening downtrends and often precedes bullish reversals. Price rebounded strongly from the $0.092–$0.094 demand zone and pushed above the $0.100 psychological level. The breakout candle shows expanding momentum and increased buyer participation. This move suggests sellers are losing control. For confirmation, DOGE must maintain price action above the former wedge resistance near $0.098–$0.100. Holding this area would reinforce bullish continuation and trend reversal expectations. If momentum remains strong, upside targets around $0.105 and $0.110 come into focus. Increased volume would further validate the breakout structure. A pullback holding above support would still favor an emerging uptrend. Dogecoin Price in Third Accumulation Phase Ahead of Potential Breakout Dogecoin price continues to move in repeating mini cycles, according to Bitcoinsensus. These cycles consistently begin with prolonged accumulation phases marked by sideways price action and low volatility. During these periods, price forms a base while market participants gradually position themselves. Similar structures appeared earlier in the cycle before strong upside expansions followed. The repeated behavior suggests controlled accumulation rather than random consolidation. Previous mini cycles transitioned from accumulation into sharp markup phases, producing rallies near 190% and later around 480%. Each rally was followed by a corrective phase that cooled momentum without destroying the broader structure. The current price action mirrors past accumulation zones but forms at higher levels. This signals sustained demand despite ongoing corrections. If the cycle repeats, this third accumulation may support another upside breakout.

26 Feb 2026, 13:10

Is 2026 bear market in: why some assets are still showing strength

According to multiple analytics, the cryptocurrency bear market of 2026 is officially here. After months of volatility, the downward trend is clear: Bitcoin has dropped 50% from its highs, and most top altcoins have plunged more than 60%. In the world of crypto, a bear market is usually defined by a price drop of 20%, but as we are seeing now, drops of 70% to 90% are common for many projects. This shift has changed the mood of the market completely. Investor sentiment has turned deeply negative, with the "Fear and Greed Index" hitting a score of 7, signaling extreme fear. Large institutional investors are also pulling back, with $288 million in outflows from Bitcoin and other digital assets recorded in just the fifth straight week of selling. While most tokens continue to make lower highs and lower lows, a small group of assets like HYPE, WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) , XMR, BNB, and TRX is proving that not every coin follows the same downward path. Strategies for a downward market In a market like this, the old strategy of simply "holding and hoping" is being replaced by more active approaches. Professional traders are using several methods to handle the price drops: Short Selling and Put Options: Betting that prices will continue to fall to protect a portfolio. Range Trading: Buying and selling within small price gaps while the broader market stays flat. Strategic Accumulation: Buying high-quality assets at large discounts to prepare for the next cycle. While most altcoins don't seem to have a bottom, HYPE has shown strength against top assets like Bitcoin. It is currently down around 50%, while Bitcoin is down by more than 52% since its all-time high. Similarly, XMR is currently only 56% down since ATH. The technical outlook for Monero shows a bullish bias, targeting the 200-day EMA at $375, supported by reports of huge whale interest. Even more resilient is TRX, which remains only 37% down since ATH, showcasing significant relative strength. Similarly, WBT has managed to hold its ground around the $47 mark. Even during the heaviest selling weeks, it has found strong support at $46. This stability is a result of the coin’s direct utility. Because it is used for gas fees on the Whitechain network and offers trading discounts on its native exchange, there is a constant reason for people to hold and use it, even when the rest of the market is in a panic. The role of institutional benchmarks A major factor helping certain assets stay stable is their recognition by global financial leaders and growing ecosystems. For instance, BNB is currently only 57% down since ATH and continues to see a growing community; by late 2025, BNB holders reached 279M wallets. This represents millions of people choosing utility over speculation. Despite the broad market crash, WhiteBIT Coin remains part of five separate S&P Dow Jones Cryptocurrency Indices. This inclusion is vital during a bear market because it places the coin in a different category than speculative tokens. To be part of an S&P index, an asset must meet high standards for transparency and liquidity. This institutional "stamp" gives large investors confidence. While many are selling Bitcoin to cut their losses, they are keeping an eye on indexed assets that show "low-beta" behavior, meaning they don't swing as wildly as the rest of the market. For WBT, this has created a price floor that retail-driven coins simply don't have. Why utility is the best hedge The current downtrend is a reminder that in a bear market, only assets with real-world value survive. When the hype disappears, a coin must have a reason to exist. For the Whitechain ecosystem, that reason is clear. The network continues to process transactions, and the exchange continues to serve millions of users, all of which require the native coin to function. We see this same "functional demand" in the BNB ecosystem. Its massive DeFi presence is undeniable, with billions locked in DeFi protocols on BNB Chain, contributing to a global DeFi market worth $130-140B. This serves as proof of integration and trust. Furthermore, big funds and partners recognize BNB's credibility; institutional confidence of that kind doesn't come from hype, it comes from proven results. This is why WBT, BNB, and TRX have avoided the 70% to 90% drops seen elsewhere. Instead of following the "lower highs" pattern of the general market, they have maintained a "staircase" structure, staying steady while others fall. As institutional outflows continue to put pressure on Bitcoin, the focus is shifting toward these infrastructure-level assets that can weather the storm. Looking toward the bottom History shows that bear markets eventually end, but not every coin makes it to the other side. The leaders of the next bull run are usually the ones that show the most strength when fear is at its highest. By holding support levels and maintaining status in global benchmarks or growing their on-chain utility, coins like WhiteBIT Coin, BNB, and XMR are positioning themselves as key gainers of this cycle. For investors looking to navigate the current 2026 bear market, the lesson is simple: look past the fear and focus on the assets that are actually being used to build the future of the digital economy. The post Is 2026 bear market in: why some assets are still showing strength appeared first on Invezz

26 Feb 2026, 13:07

Bybit Stands With Its Community: Stability, Stable Income, and a Long-Term Commitment Through the Downturn

BitcoinWorld Bybit Stands With Its Community: Stability, Stable Income, and a Long-Term Commitment Through the Downturn DUBAI, UAE, Feb. 26, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — With the Crypto Fear and Greed Index plunging to historic lows and Bitcoin pulling back sharply from its highs, Bybit , the world’s second‑largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, is reaffirming a simple belief: in moments of uncertainty, the community needs stability, clarity, and real opportunities to earn steady income. Rather than stepping back during volatility, Bybit is stepping forward—expanding new opportunities, strengthening fixed-income-style products, and standing shoulder-to-shoulder with its global user base. “We believe stability is what our users want most right now,” said Helen Liu, Co-CEO at Bybit . “The market will recover — we have no doubt about that. But in the meantime, our job is to help ease the pressure, offer real opportunities to earn stable income, and make sure our community knows that Bybit is right here with them.” Stability When It Matters Most Across market cycles, Bybit has seen how quickly sentiment can shift—and how deeply volatility can affect everyday investors. Today, the company is accelerating access to stablecoin yield opportunities and capital-efficient tools designed to help users preserve value and earn predictable returns during uncertain times. “We want to find every opportunity for our users to earn stable income,” said Helen. “Whether it is on-chain yield through Mantle Vault or capital efficiency through BYUSDT, the goal is the same — make every dollar work harder so that our community can weather this period with less stress and more confidence.” Bybit believes the current market is also revealing a deeper structural change in investor behavior. “This cycle is different. Users are not chasing 100x returns — they are looking to protect capital and generate sustainable yield. That shift is structural, not emotional.” Together With the Community Bybit will roll out up to $10 million in fixed-income opportunities backed by stablecoins, giving users more ways to earn predictable returns during volatile markets. “Bybit will launch throughout March to offer stablecoin earn to its community. We are here for the industry for the long haul,” Helen added. “We have always believed in supporting our community — through bull markets and bear markets alike. We support stablecoin initiatives to help alleviate the financial pressure our users face during uncertain times. We invest in CSR and ecosystem development because a thriving industry benefits everyone. This commitment is unwavering — it is fundamental to Bybit’s identity.” Bybit believes moments of uncertainty define who an industry truly is. The company’s teams remain connected around the clock, communicating openly with partners and users, prioritizing transparency, and acting quickly to keep the community informed and confident. #Bybit / #TheCryptoArk About Bybit Bybit is the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, serving a global community of over 80 million users. Founded in 2018, Bybit is redefining openness in the decentralized world by creating a simpler, open and equal ecosystem for everyone. With a strong focus on Web3, Bybit partners strategically with leading blockchain protocols to provide robust infrastructure and drive on-chain innovation. Renowned for its secure custody, diverse marketplaces, intuitive user experience, and advanced blockchain tools, Bybit bridges the gap between TradFi and DeFi, empowering builders, creators, and enthusiasts to unlock the full potential of Web3. Discover the future of decentralized finance at Bybit.com . For more details about Bybit, please visit Bybit Press For media inquiries, please contact: [email protected] For updates, please follow: Bybit’s Communities and Social Media Discord | Facebook | Instagram | LinkedIn | Reddit | Telegram | TikTok | X | Youtube This post Bybit Stands With Its Community: Stability, Stable Income, and a Long-Term Commitment Through the Downturn first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

26 Feb 2026, 13:05

Finance Expert: Many New XRP Millionaires Will Be Made in the Next Months. Here’s Why

Major wealth in crypto rarely forms during hype-driven spikes. It often forms quietly at key structural levels where conviction feels hardest to maintain. XRP now trades at one of those defining zones. After months of corrective pressure, the asset has reacted decisively from a level that long-term technical analysts consider foundational to its macro trend. Crypto market commentator STEPH IS CRYPTO drew attention to this development in a recent post on X, sharing a long-term logarithmic XRP/USD chart that spans from 2016 through projected 2028 levels. Steph highlighted XRP’s recent bounce from its yearly ascending trendline support, a structure that has historically underpinned previous bull cycles. Following that initial observation, Steph argued that this reaction could mark the early stages of another powerful expansion phase. $XRP is bouncing off yearly support. Many new millionaires will be made in the next months! pic.twitter.com/Rqd1SMOM44 — STEPH IS CRYPTO (@Steph_iscrypto) February 25, 2026 The Importance of the Yearly Trendline The logarithmic chart shows a clearly defined ascending support line that has guided XRP’s macro structure since the 2017 breakout cycle. XRP has repeatedly respected this rising base during prior market resets. Each time price revisited this structural support and held, it eventually transitioned into a strong markup phase. On February 25, 2026, XRP closed near $1.43 after gaining approximately 6% in a single day. That move followed a touch of the long-term support zone around $1.40. Strong daily closes near major support often signal that buyers have stepped in with conviction rather than speculative short-term interest. Technical traders widely view successful bounces from macro ascending trendlines as high-probability inflection points, especially when price holds above the structure in subsequent sessions. Macro Structure and Historical Behavior XRP’s historical cycles show a clear rhythm: accumulation, compression, and then rapid expansion. During both the 2017 and 2021 cycles, XRP spent extended periods building a base along higher-timeframe support before launching aggressive upward moves. We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 Logarithmic charts provide a more accurate lens for analyzing assets that experience exponential growth phases. When viewed through that framework, XRP’s current reaction appears structurally consistent with prior cycle resets rather than breakdown behavior. Broader crypto market stabilization also strengthens the case for continuation. Capital often rotates back into high-liquidity assets like XRP when confidence improves across the sector. The Millionaire Thesis Steph’s projection that many new XRP millionaires could emerge rests on timing and positioning. Investors who accumulate near macro support historically gain favorable risk-to-reward exposure. If XRP transitions from accumulation into expansion, percentage gains can accelerate quickly. However, sustained higher highs and higher lows must confirm the trend shift. The structure remains constructive, but continuation depends on maintaining support and building momentum. For now, XRP has defended its yearly foundation. If history rhymes, the next phase could prove decisive. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on Twitter , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post Finance Expert: Many New XRP Millionaires Will Be Made in the Next Months. Here’s Why appeared first on Times Tabloid .

26 Feb 2026, 13:04

Bitcoin ETFs Back on Demand With $506 Million Single Day Inflow

Bitcoin ETFs have recovered from the low capital intake seen every day over the past weeks as institutions appear to be regaining interest following the ongoing price rebound.