Invest ideasNews
24 Feb 2026, 11:51
Glassnode: Bitcoin Realized Losses Have Hit Bear Market Levels
Bitcoin’s on-chain data has flashed a signal that has historically come before prolonged bear market conditions, with the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio confirming a regime shift toward loss-dominant selling. The move suggests that liquidity is evaporating from the market, forcing investors to realize losses rather than book profits, a dynamic last seen during the deepest crypto winter periods of 2018 and 2022. Key Metric Flips Below 1 Signaling Capitulation Risk According to data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, the 90-day simple moving average of the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio has officially fallen below 1. The metric, which compares the total value of BTC sold at a profit versus those sold at a loss, indicates that loss-taking now outweighs profit-taking across the network. “This confirms a full transition into an excess loss-realization regime,” Glassnode analysts noted in a February 24 update on X. The firm highlighted that historically, breaks below this threshold have persisted for six months or more before reclaiming the 1 level, a recovery that typically signals a “constructive return of liquidity to the market.” The reading represents the culmination of a trend that began in early February, when the ratio was hovering near 1.5, and late January, when it stood around 1.32. Furthermore, the current on-chain structure shows confluence with previous bear market bottoms. CryptoQuant contributor _OnChain observed that indicators tied to whale activity, particularly Unspent Profitability Ratios (UPR) for various holder cohorts, have reached levels similar to May-June 2022, a period that preceded significant downside before the ultimate bottom formed later that year. Market Context and Historical Parallels The current sell-side pressure follows a dramatic cooldown in profit-taking that occurred in December 2025. Glassnode’s earlier data showed that 7-day average realized profits crashed from over $1 billion in Q4 2025 to just $183.8 million by December, which temporarily allowed Bitcoin to stabilize and rally above $96,000 in early January. However, that stabilization proved short-lived as macroeconomic headwinds intensified, with Bitcoin trading at approximately $63,200 at the time of writing, down 3.6% in 24 hours and almost 29% over the past month. The asset is also nearly 50% below its all-time high reached in October 2025. Analysts have attributed the continued weakness to a combination of macro factors rather than a structural breakdown in Bitcoin’s fundamentals. U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent tariff announcements, including a proposed increase on taxes on global imports, have rattled risk assets across traditional and crypto markets. Despite the bearish signals, some analysts maintain that Bitcoin’s long-term cycle remains intact. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan recently framed current volatility as a necessary “teenage state” of monetary evolution, arguing that maturing assets must pass through speculative gradients before achieving institutional stability. However, chartist Ali Martinez warned that a three-day “death cross” could be confirmed in late February, which foreshadowed final downside moves in 2014, 2018, and 2022, historically leading to additional declines of 30% to 50%. The post Glassnode: Bitcoin Realized Losses Have Hit Bear Market Levels appeared first on CryptoPotato .
24 Feb 2026, 11:50
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Defiantly Holds Above $88.00 Amid Sustained Positive Bias
BitcoinWorld Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Defiantly Holds Above $88.00 Amid Sustained Positive Bias Global precious metals markets witnessed a significant development this week as silver prices demonstrated remarkable resilience, with the XAG/USD pair maintaining a firm position above the critical $88.00 threshold. This sustained performance, observed across major trading platforms from London to New York, reflects a complex interplay of macroeconomic factors, technical patterns, and shifting investor sentiment that demands thorough examination. Market analysts now scrutinize whether this consolidation represents a temporary pause or a foundation for further appreciation in the coming quarters. Silver Price Forecast: Technical Foundations of the $88.00 Support Level Technical analysis reveals that the $88.00 level for XAG/USD has transformed from a previous resistance point into a robust support zone. This transition occurred gradually throughout the first quarter of 2025, following three consecutive weekly closes above this psychological barrier. Furthermore, the 50-day and 200-day moving averages recently completed a bullish crossover beneath the current price action, traditionally signaling sustained upward momentum. Chart patterns indicate that silver has established a higher low structure since December 2024, with each retracement finding buyers at progressively elevated levels. Volume analysis provides additional confirmation of this positive bias. Trading volumes during upward movements consistently exceed those during minor pullbacks, suggesting institutional accumulation rather than speculative retail activity. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently reads 58 on daily timeframes, comfortably within neutral territory and avoiding overbought conditions that might trigger corrective pressure. Bollinger Band width has contracted significantly over the past fortnight, indicating a period of consolidation that typically precedes substantial directional moves. Key Technical Levels for XAG/USD in 2025 Support Levels Resistance Levels Significance $88.00 $92.50 Psychological round number & recent consolidation zone $85.30 $95.80 200-day moving average & 2024 yearly high $82.75 $100.00 Major Fibonacci retracement & psychological century mark Fundamental Drivers Behind Silver’s Sustained Strength Multiple macroeconomic factors contribute to silver’s current positive bias. Central bank policies remain accommodative in several major economies, maintaining real interest rates at historically low or negative levels. This environment traditionally diminishes the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like precious metals. Industrial demand continues its steady recovery, particularly from the renewable energy and electronics sectors, which collectively account for approximately 60% of annual silver consumption according to the Silver Institute’s 2024 report. Geopolitical tensions in resource-producing regions have prompted increased safe-haven allocations to precious metals. Currency dynamics also play a crucial role, as the U.S. dollar index has shown modest weakness against a basket of major currencies throughout early 2025, reducing the local-currency cost of dollar-denominated commodities for international buyers. Supply-side constraints further support prices, with mine production growth lagging behind demand projections for the third consecutive year. Monetary Policy: Accommodative stance reduces opportunity cost for holding metals Industrial Demand: Solar panel and electronics manufacturing require increasing silver inputs Currency Effects: Dollar weakness enhances purchasing power for international investors Supply Constraints: Mining disruptions and declining ore grades limit production growth Portfolio Diversification: Institutional investors increase allocations amid equity market volatility Comparative Analysis: Silver Versus Other Precious Metals Silver’s performance must be contextualized within the broader precious metals complex. While gold often dominates headlines, silver frequently exhibits greater volatility due to its dual nature as both monetary metal and industrial commodity. Year-to-date performance data reveals that silver has outperformed gold by approximately 8% in 2025, continuing a pattern observed during early-cycle economic recoveries. Platinum and palladium, by contrast, have shown more modest gains, constrained by specific automotive sector dynamics and substitution threats. The gold-to-silver ratio, a closely watched metric among precious metals investors, currently stands at 72:1, slightly below its five-year average of 78:1. Historical analysis suggests that ratios below 70:1 often precede periods of silver outperformance, particularly when industrial demand accelerates concurrently with monetary concerns. This positioning indicates that silver may possess additional room for appreciation relative to gold, assuming supportive macroeconomic conditions persist through 2025. Expert Perspectives on Silver’s 2025 Trajectory Market analysts offer nuanced views on silver’s medium-term prospects. Dr. Elena Rodriguez, Chief Commodities Strategist at Global Markets Research, notes, “The $88.00 level represents more than just a technical threshold—it coincides with the production cost curve’s 75th percentile. Sustained trading above this level suggests the market is pricing in structural deficits rather than transient factors.” Meanwhile, portfolio managers report increasing institutional interest, with pension funds and sovereign wealth funds modestly expanding their precious metals allocations after years of underinvestment. Manufacturing data provides tangible evidence of demand strength. The Global Electronics Manufacturing Index registered its highest reading since 2022 last month, with semiconductor and connector production requiring substantial silver inputs. Simultaneously, solar panel installations continue to accelerate globally, with China, the European Union, and the United States all reporting record quarterly additions. Each gigawatt of solar capacity typically requires approximately 20 metric tons of silver, creating a consistent demand baseline that supports price floors. Historical Context and Market Psychology Silver’s current positioning above $88.00 gains significance when examined through historical lenses. The last sustained period above this level occurred during the 2011-2013 timeframe, when prices briefly surpassed $49.00 before entering a prolonged correction. However, today’s market structure differs substantially, with exchange-traded products holding approximately 40% more physical silver than during previous peaks, according to Bloomberg data. This suggests a more stable ownership base less prone to rapid liquidation during temporary setbacks. Market sentiment indicators reveal cautious optimism rather than euphoria. The Commitments of Traders report shows commercial hedgers maintaining relatively neutral positions, unlike the extreme net-short positioning that often precedes major tops. Retail interest, while growing, remains below levels observed during previous speculative episodes. This combination of steady accumulation without excessive speculation typically supports sustainable advances rather than parabolic moves vulnerable to sharp reversals. Risk Factors and Potential Catalysts for Change Despite the prevailing positive bias, several factors could challenge silver’s current trajectory. Accelerated monetary tightening by major central banks would increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. Technological substitution in industrial applications, particularly in photovoltaic manufacturing, could moderate demand growth over the medium term. Additionally, renewed dollar strength would create headwinds for dollar-denominated commodities, while recessionary pressures might temporarily reduce industrial consumption despite potential safe-haven inflows. Conversely, several catalysts could propel prices beyond current ranges. Escalation of geopolitical conflicts typically drives flight-to-quality flows into precious metals. Accelerated green energy transitions would amplify industrial demand beyond current projections. Persistent inflation above central bank targets would enhance silver’s appeal as an inflation hedge, while coordinated central bank purchases of gold—often followed by increased silver interest—could create positive spillover effects across the precious metals complex. Conclusion The silver price forecast remains cautiously optimistic as XAG/USD maintains its position above the critical $88.00 support level. This technical achievement reflects fundamental strength across multiple dimensions, including industrial demand recovery, accommodative monetary policies, and supply constraints. While risks persist, particularly regarding monetary policy normalization and potential economic slowdowns, the current market structure suggests silver has established a foundation for potential further appreciation. Investors should monitor the $88.00 level closely, as sustained trading above this threshold would confirm the positive bias, while a decisive break below might signal a reassessment of the near-term outlook. The coming months will determine whether this consolidation represents a launching pad for the next leg higher or merely a temporary pause in silver’s complex journey. FAQs Q1: What does XAG/USD represent in silver trading? XAG/USD represents the price of one troy ounce of silver quoted in U.S. dollars. XAG is the ISO 4217 currency code for silver, while USD represents the U.S. dollar, forming the standard forex pair for silver trading globally. Q2: Why is the $88.00 level particularly significant for silver prices? The $88.00 level represents a major psychological threshold and technical support zone that previously acted as resistance. Sustained trading above this level suggests underlying market strength and often attracts additional buying interest from both technical and fundamental traders. Q3: How does industrial demand affect silver prices compared to gold? Industrial applications account for approximately 60% of annual silver demand, making prices more sensitive to economic cycles than gold. This industrial component can provide support during economic expansions while monetary attributes offer protection during uncertainties. Q4: What is the gold-to-silver ratio and why do traders monitor it? The gold-to-silver ratio measures how many ounces of silver are needed to purchase one ounce of gold. Traders monitor this ratio for relative valuation signals, with historically high ratios suggesting silver may be undervalued relative to gold, and vice versa. Q5: What are the main risk factors that could push silver below $88.00? Key risks include accelerated monetary tightening by central banks, technological substitution reducing industrial demand, renewed U.S. dollar strength, economic recession reducing industrial consumption, and increased mine supply exceeding demand projections. This post Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Defiantly Holds Above $88.00 Amid Sustained Positive Bias first appeared on BitcoinWorld .
24 Feb 2026, 11:48
New XRP Price Target as XRP Now Sees 3 Signals That Led to 2024 Upsurge
XRP may now be witnessing three of the signals that emerged right before and during the November 2024 upsurge to new heights. XRP staged one of its sharpest rallies in November 2024 after President Donald Trump won the U.S. Visit Website
24 Feb 2026, 11:47
Bitcoin death cross is imminent in 3 days, warns analyst
Technical indicators are signaling the risk of a sustained Bitcoin ( BTC ) drop in the coming days as the asset struggles to hold the $60,000 support level. In this context, Bitcoin is on the verge of printing a major bearish signal on the three-day chart, with a death cross between the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages ( SMA ) projected to occur around February 27, according to insights from Ali Martinez. In an X post on February 24, the analyst noted that the setup follows a prolonged decline that began with Bitcoin’s peak in October 2025. Since then, the cryptocurrency has dropped more than 52%, falling from above $110,000 to around $68,000. The sell-off has intensified recently, with the price breaking below both the 50 and 200 SMAs as downside momentum strengthens. On the three-day chart, the 50 SMA is sloping downward and nearing the 200 SMA, signaling that bearish momentum has overtaken the broader trend. If confirmed in the coming days, it would mark the first death cross of this cycle on the higher timeframe. Bitcoin price analysis chart. Source: Ali Martinez Historical impact of death cross on BTC Historically, similar setups have preceded the final capitulation phase of bear markets. In 2013, Bitcoin had already fallen over 70% before the cross, followed by another roughly 50% decline. A similar pattern unfolded after the 2017 peak and again in 2021, when the death cross appeared after a steep sell-off and preceded the final leg down into the macro bottom. Bitcoin price analysis chart. Source: Ali Martinez According to Martinez, Bitcoin’s structure mirrors prior cycles, with the asset already down more than 50% from its October 2025 peak. Now, the looming death cross suggests selling pressure may persist. Historically, comparable setups have preceded the final leg lower, implying a potential 30% drop toward $40,000 or, in a deeper move, 50% toward $30,000. While not a guarantee, past cycles show the death cross often aligns with the last major downswing before a macro bottom forms. Bitcoin drops further below $65,000 Meanwhile, Bitcoin extended losses Tuesday, slipping further below $65,000. By press time, BTC was trading at $63,158, down nearly 5% in the past 24 hours, while on the weekly timeframe, the asset has fallen more than 6%. Bitcoin seven-day price chart. Source: Finbold The decline is largely tied to renewed U.S. trade policy uncertainty under President Donald Trump. After a Supreme Court ruling curtailed earlier tariff powers, Trump introduced and later raised a new global import tariff to 15%, stoking fears of trade disruption, slower growth, and higher inflation. The move triggered broad risk-off sentiment, pushing investors out of volatile assets like cryptocurrencies and into traditional safe havens such as gold. Analysts view the sell-off as tactical de-risking rather than outright capitulation, driven by leverage unwinds, sustained ETF outflows, and cascading liquidations. Featured image via Shutterstock The post Bitcoin death cross is imminent in 3 days, warns analyst appeared first on Finbold .
24 Feb 2026, 11:46
Litecoin extends correction as bears eye $45: check forecast
Similar to Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies, Litecoin is extending its correction on Tuesday, and is now trading below $51. The coin is down 4% in the last 24 hours, with the bearish price action supported by derivatives data. Litecoin’s Open Interest (OI) has been falling steadily alongside rising short bets, suggesting waning retail participation. The technical indicators are also extremely bearish, adding further confluence to the current market conditions. LTC’s derivatives data shows bearish bias The cryptocurrency market has been bearish since the start of the week, with Bitcoin dropping below the $63k level earlier today. The dip caused nearly $400 million worth of leveraged positions to be wiped out from the market, most of them long positions. LTC, the native coin of the Litecoin network, is also underperforming. It is down 4% in the last 24 hours and now trades around $50.65. The bearish performance is supported by Litecoin’s derivatives data. Litecoin’s futures OI has declined to $329 million on Tuesday, having been steadily declining since mid-January. This decline indicates waning investor participation and projects a bearish outlook. Furthermore, LTC’s long-to-short ratio reads 0.94 on Tuesday, the third time it has declined below one since the beginning of February. The decline signals that traders are reluctant to add long positions, thanks to the market conditions. Furthermore, it also indicates bearish sentiment as traders are betting on the Litecoin price to fall. Litecoin price forecast: will Litecoin retest the $45 support level? The LTC/USD 4H chart is bearish and efficient, similar to the other leading cryptocurrencies. At press time, LTC is trading below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $62.36, maintaining a bearish bias. Recoveries remain capped below this average, making it harder for the bulls to push LTC’s price in the near term. The 4-hour chart shows that the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is below the signal. The negative histogram indicates a growing bearish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 39 stays below the midline, indicating persistent bearish pressure near oversold territory. Currently, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $51.06 acts as immediate resistance. If the daily candle closes above this level, the bulls could push higher towards the $54.78 Inducement Liquidity (ILQ) over the next few hours or days. The major resistance at $61.62 could prove a challenge for the bulls in the near term. However, if the daily candle closes below the $50.39 support level, LTC could extend the slide within the prevailing downtrend toward the February 6 low of $45.07. Currently, the market conditions are bearish, supporting further downward movement. With no major fundamental news on the horizon, LTC’s move could be determined by retail participation over the next few days. The post Litecoin extends correction as bears eye $45: check forecast appeared first on Invezz
24 Feb 2026, 11:44
DCR Technical Analysis February 24, 2026: Market Commentary Support Resistance and Upside Potential
DCR rose 6.68% to $27.29 despite BTC's decline and is giving uptrend signals. Critical support at 22.68, resistance at 28.29; RSI at 67 shows strong momentum but there's overbought risk.
