hodler

1 Mar 2026, 16:00

Bitcoin Spot ETFs Record $787 Million Inflows To Break 5-Week Negative Streak

The US Bitcoin Spot ETFs have experienced a resurgence in market inflows following an extended period of overwhelming withdrawals amid a deep price correction. The positive netflows recorded last week represent the first in six trading weeks, five of which resulted in total net outflows valued at $3.8 billion. Notably, the rebound in ETF inflows is independent of Bitcoin’s choppy price action, indicating that institutional investors may be building positions for a potential market recovery. Bitcoin Spot ETFs End February On Red Note Despite Late Surge According to data from SoSoValue , investors deposited an excess of $787.31 million in the Bitcoin Spot ETFs between February 23 and 27, representing a positive ending to a rather turbulent trading month. Despite this late market rally, February still reported total net outflows of $206.52 million, representing the fourth consecutive negative monthly performance. With respect to the last trading week, BlackRock’s IBIT recorded a staggering net deposit of $502.99 million, accounting for a significant portion of investors’ bullish activity. The undisputed market leader now boasts of total cumulative net inflows of $61.81 billion within 28 trading months. Interestingly, Grayscale’s GBTC emerged as a distant runner-up with aggregate inflows of around $89.43 million, and remains the third largest Bitcoin Spot ETFs with net assets of $10.29 billion. Meanwhile, Bitwise’s BITB also recorded a standout performance with net inflows of $68.30 million, representing its first in three trading weeks. Fidelity’s FBTC, Grayscale’s BTC, Ark Invest/21 Shares, and VanEck’s HODL also experienced significant net deposits, ranging between $19 million to $34 million. On the other hand, Invesco’s BTCO and Franklin Templeton’s EZBC registered minimal net inflows of around $2m -$3 million, while Hashdex’s DEFI, WisdomTree’s BTCW, and Valkryie’s BRRR reported zero netflows. At the time of writing, the total cumulative netflows of the Bitcoin Spot ETFs are $54.80 billion, while total net assets are now valued at $83.40 billion, representing 6.36% of the Bitcoin market cap. Meanwhile, Bitcoin continues to trade at $66,504.55, reflecting a 3.82% gain in the past day. Ethereum Spot ETFs Record First Green Performance In 6 Weeks Alongside their Bitcoin counterparts, the Ethereum Spot ETFs also experienced a turnaround in investor activity over the last week. More data from SoSoValue shows these investment funds registered a total netflow of $80.46 million, to terminate a five-week negative streak that began in mid-January. Total cumulative inflows for the Ethereum ETFs are now valued at $11.60 billion, while net assets are estimated at $10.96 billion.

1 Mar 2026, 15:55

Market odds tighten on Iran’s next supreme leader

Iran reacted swiftly by forming a temporary ruling body right after U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had been killed. That claim sent people rushing to crypto-based betting sites to place wagers on what might happen next, who or what would take over. All of this is a result of a more extensive military conflict. Tehran retaliated with ballistic missiles and drones on American military installations in five nations: Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan, following a joint U.S.-Israeli strike on Iran. Since those encounters, tensions have persisted throughout the entire region. On February 28, Trump posted on Truth Social saying Khamenei was dead , explaining that the Iranian leader could not escape the joint U.S.-Israeli tracking and intelligence efforts. Iranian state media went on to confirm the assassination. Iran sets up a temporary leadership council Iran’s constitution has a specific process for situations like this. On Sunday, the country put together a three-person council to handle the supreme leader’s responsibilities. It includes the current president, the head of the judiciary, and a Guardian Council member picked by the Expediency Council, the group that advises the supreme leader and resolves disputes between parliament and other bodies. Reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian and judiciary chief Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei are part of it, and according to the Iranian government, they will now “temporarily assume all the duties of leadership.” Now that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death has been officially confirmed by Iranian state media following the U.S.-Israeli strikes, prediction markets wasted no time reacting. Polymarket, one of the main crypto betting platforms, quickly set up a market on when Iran will officially announce a successor to Khamenei. The market resolves once a new supreme leader gets named. Trading volume on that single market has already climbed past $500,000. Right now, Polymarket bettors see a 23% chance that Iran will name a successor by March 2. Looking ahead, it’s 65 % by March 6, 81% by March 15, and 86% by March 31, the odds keep climbing as the timeline stretches out, suggesting more confidence in something happening soon rather than right away. Traders bet on the new supreme leader in Iran. Source: Polymarket . Only 19% of traders on Kalshi, another prediction site, believe that Iran would abolish the position of supreme leader entirely, which would significantly alter the way the nation is administered. Alireza Arafi is currently the front-runner in wagers as to who might take over if the role remains. Insiders reportedly profiting while markets move faster than official news Polymarket has seen its fair share of controversy lately. U.S. users were temporarily barred from accessing it, and regulators closely monitored its markets in relation to the last U.S. presidential election. Then, in September of last year, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission authorized it to start up again in the US. One month later, in October, the platform received $2 billion from Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, in a $9 billion agreement. The bigger role these platforms are playing in covering real-time conflicts has sparked some real worries. As Cryptopolitan pointed out earlier today , six Polymarket insiders allegedly made secret profits from what was called “Operation Epic Fury,” the name for that joint military strike. It highlights a messy situation: folks with possible access to classified or inside information could be cashing in on active military events through these markets. All things considered, these real-time betting sites are beginning to function as an unofficial, crowdsourced source of information during emergencies, frequently responding well before any official announcement is made. However, this contrast between speed and verified facts is precisely where the risks lie, both for the traders involved and for how consumers interpret quickly developing events. The smartest crypto minds already read our newsletter. Want in? Join them .

1 Mar 2026, 15:41

GNO Technical Analysis March 1, 2026: Weekly Strategy

GNO is consolidating in a sideways trend at $129.25, with $130 resistance being the key for the week. Although Bullish MACD suggests short-term opportunities, BTC's downtrend requires caution.

1 Mar 2026, 15:35

POL Price Prediction Ahead of Polygon’s March 4 Lisovo Hardfork

Polygon will activate the Lisovo hardfork on mainnet before block 83,756,500. The upgrade is expected around 14:00 UTC on March 4, 2026. The announcement comes as POL trades near $0.106 to $0.11 after a recent recovery. At press time, the POL price was trading at $0.1069, a 3.68% surge in the last 24 hours. The Polygon Foundation stated, “The Lisovo hardfork will be released on Polygon mainnet before block number 83756500, at approximately 2pm UTC on Mar 4.” Market participants are now tracking both the network changes and short-term price levels. Polygon Lisovo Hardfork Details and Network Changes The Lisovo upgrade introduces subsidized gas costs for agent-to-agent payments under PIP-82. This aims to support automated transactions and AI-driven activity on-chain. The network is also improving smart contract compatibility through the Count Leading Zeros opcode update. In addition, the upgrade enhances support for passkey-based wallets. It also introduces a more flexible fee adjustment system. These changes are designed to improve transaction delivery and validation reliability. Node operators are required to upgrade their software before activation. The foundation advised operators to update Bor to version v2.6.0 or Erigon to v3.4.0. This step is required to maintain synchronization after the hardfork. Polygon continues to advance its Gigagas roadmap, which targets 100,000 transactions per second. The network recently reported $3.28 billion in stablecoins, marking a new high. Moreover, as we reported , Polygon Brazil’s largest foreign exchange bank expanded its BBRL stablecoin to Polygon (POLY) . Polygon On-Chain Metrics Show Mixed Signals Exchange reserve data shows early signs of stabilization. Reserves have started to flatten, which suggests that large deposits to exchanges may be slowing. Lower reserves often indicate reduced short-term selling pressure. At the same time, the number of withdrawing addresses has declined. Fewer withdrawals suggest that holders are not actively moving tokens. This may reflect a wait-and-see approach before the hardfork. Source: CryptoQuant Mean exchange inflows also dropped over the past 24 hours. Lower inflows can reduce immediate sell pressure. However, reduced activity can also signal weaker demand. These metrics present mixed signals as the hardfork approaches. Traders are therefore focusing on price structure and technical indicators for direction. POL Price Technical Analysis The POL price printed a strong rally in early January and peaked near $0.18 to $0.19. After that, the token entered a corrective phase with lower highs and lower lows. Price later formed a base around $0.09 to $0.10 and then moved into a sideways range. Currently, POL trades within a horizontal range between $0.09 support and $0.12 resistance. The $0.10 level remains a key psychological support. Immediate resistance stands at $0.115 to $0.12, which previously acted as a rejection zone. Source: TradingView The Chaikin Money Flow indicator is near zero. This suggests neutral capital flows and no strong accumulation trend. The MACD indicator is also near the zero line, and the histogram has turned slightly positive. If the POL price closes above $0.12 with sustained momentum, upside targets include $0.14 and $0.15. A move toward $0.18 may follow if buying pressure continues. On the downside, a break below $0.10 could lead to a retest of $0.095 and $0.09.

1 Mar 2026, 15:21

PYTH Technical Analysis 1 March 2026: Market Structure

PYTH market structure continues the LH/LL downtrend; BOS above $0.0542 brings a bullish shift. Below $0.0477, bearish BOS continues LL, BTC downtrend raises altcoin risk.

1 Mar 2026, 15:16

Ripple Frees 1 Billion XRP While Still Controlling 32% of Total Supply

Ripple's 1 billion XRP unlock on March 1 meets a struggling market as February ends with a 16% drop for the price of the cryptocurrency.