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24 Feb 2026, 07:27
ENS Technical Analysis 24 February 2026: Market Structure
ENS market structure shows LH/LL downtrend; $5.7530 support is critical. BOS above $6.2430 is required for bullish change, BTC downtrend increases altcoin risk.
24 Feb 2026, 07:22
AI Models Are Projecting $35 for XRP In 2026
Crypto commentator Xaif (@Xaif_Crypto) recently shared a video analyzing XRP’s potential price trajectory, highlighting a scenario where the token could surpass $35. The video presents a step-by-step path, showing XRP crossing $9, then dipping slightly before pushing past $13. It later rises to $17, experiences another minor pullback, and then advances toward its ultimate target. Watch this. AI models are now projecting a potential $XRP move above $35. If even a fraction of that scenario plays out, 2026 could be a defining year for XRP. pic.twitter.com/HzX7vySVSp — Xaif Crypto | (@Xaif_Crypto) February 22, 2026 AI Predictions Align with Bullish Outlook While Xaif did not reference any specific AI models in his analysis, several recent projections indicate that XRP could see substantial gains in 2026. ChatGPT recently forecasted that XRP might surpass $12 within the next year , a level nearly 9x higher than its current price of $1.38. Grok offered a more immediate outlook, suggesting that XRP could reach $5 by July , representing a significant short-term increase from its present value. Meanwhile, Gemini projected that XRP could exceed $27 by the end of the year. Taken together, these forecasts show a strong bullish potential and support the $35 target highlighted by Xaif. They show that XRP’s growth trajectory could be considerable if market momentum remains positive. Short-Term Movements and Key Levels The video emphasizes short-term fluctuations that could define XRP’s trajectory. Initial gains take the token above $9, followed by a pullback. The next phase sees XRP breach $13 before another drop below $10. These steps indicate periods of consolidation and support testing. These phases will also shake out weak investors who panic and sell at any sign of a downturn. The final leg in Xaif’s projection shows XRP reaching $17 and continuing toward higher levels. These movements suggest a structured advance rather than a sudden spike. The price levels highlighted in the video act as clear reference points for traders. We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 XRP’s Upside Potential Xaif’s video presents a structured path for XRP. This view aligns with recent AI-based predictions from ChatGPT, Grok, and Gemini. Each highlights the token’s potential for notable gains in 2026. Short-term fluctuations and corrections are visible within the projected path, but the general trajectory remains positive. XRP’s projected performance comes amid increasing interest in digital assets. With potential regulatory clarity for the broader market on the horizon , 2026 could be a game-changing year for the crypto space. Investors and market participants can use these projections to monitor key price levels and track momentum as XRP grows. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on X , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post AI Models Are Projecting $35 for XRP In 2026 appeared first on Times Tabloid .
24 Feb 2026, 07:05
Bitcoin's price discovery is moving to Chicago
CME’s shift to nonstop derivatives access may accelerate institutional migration away from traditional crypto exchanges, according to the Chief Commercial Officer of XBTO.
24 Feb 2026, 07:00
The $33 Billion Inundation: Ethereum Inflows Hit a 15-Month High As Price Teeters At $1,955
Ethereum is struggling to hold above the $2,000 level as the broader crypto market enters a more fragile phase marked by persistent selling pressure, fading momentum, and elevated uncertainty. Despite several rebound attempts in recent weeks, price action has remained subdued, with liquidity conditions tightening and investor sentiment turning increasingly cautious. The inability to secure sustained acceptance above this psychological threshold has reinforced the perception that the market is still navigating a corrective environment rather than transitioning into a clear recovery phase. A recent CryptoQuant report provides additional context by highlighting a sharp increase in exchange activity. According to the data, total Ethereum inflows to Binance over the past 30 days reached roughly $33.3 billion — the highest level recorded since last November. This surge comes as ETH trades near $1,955 after a gradual but persistent decline in recent weeks. Historically, rising inflows to major exchanges tend to indicate a growing supply of assets available for trading. When substantial volumes of Ethereum move onto platforms like Binance, they may be used for spot sales, derivatives collateral, or portfolio rebalancing. Consequently, this spike in inflows signals heightened market activity and potentially increased short-term volatility. Exchange Inflows Surge As Market Tests Supply Absorption While the recent surge in Ethereum inflows to Binance may initially appear bearish, the report emphasizes that this development should not automatically be interpreted as a negative signal. Elevated exchange inflows can sometimes reflect strategic repositioning rather than immediate selling intent. Investors may be preparing to actively trade, hedge exposure, or adjust portfolio allocations, particularly during periods of heightened volatility when liquidity access becomes more critical. In addition, strong inflow phases have occasionally preceded periods of price stabilization. When additional supply entering exchanges is met by sufficient demand, markets can transition into consolidation rather than extended declines. This dynamic often depends on broader liquidity conditions, derivatives positioning, and macro sentiment rather than inflows alone. That said, registering the highest inflow level since last November places Ethereum in a structurally sensitive phase. The market’s reaction to these flows will likely provide clearer directional signals in the coming weeks. If the added supply translates into persistent sell-side pressure, downside risks could remain elevated. Conversely, if demand absorbs this liquidity effectively, the current phase may represent redistribution ahead of a more constructive move rather than sustained weakness. Ethereum Price Holds Fragile Ground Below Key Resistance Ethereum’s weekly chart reflects a structurally fragile environment as price continues trading below the $2,000 psychological threshold. After failing to sustain momentum above the mid-2025 highs near the $4,800 region, ETH has established a sequence of lower highs and lower lows — a classic downtrend formation indicating persistent distribution rather than consolidation. Technically, Ethereum is now positioned beneath its key moving averages, which previously acted as dynamic support during the rally phase. These averages have rolled over and now function as resistance zones, limiting recovery attempts unless decisively reclaimed. The recent rejection near the $3,000 area reinforced this bearish transition, accelerating downside momentum toward the current ~$1,900 region. Volume trends show declining participation compared with the expansion phase, suggesting reduced speculative enthusiasm. However, declining volume during corrections can sometimes precede stabilization if selling pressure becomes exhausted. From a structural perspective, immediate support appears near the $1,800–$1,900 range, where prior consolidation occurred. A sustained break below this zone could expose deeper retracement levels toward historical accumulation areas. Conversely, reclaiming the $2,200–$2,400 region with strong volume would be required to shift short-term momentum back toward a neutral or constructive bias. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
24 Feb 2026, 07:00
Bitcoin Capitulation Persists As Short-Term Holders Realize $0.48B Daily Losses
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin short-term holders continue to capitulate as they are realizing net losses of $0.48 billion every day. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Net Realized Profit/Loss Is Notably Red According to data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, the Net Realized Profit/Loss has been negative for the Bitcoin short-term holders recently. This indicator measures, as its name suggests, the net amount of profit or loss that BTC investors are harvesting through their selling. Related Reading: Another $438M In Crypto Longs Gone As Bitcoin, Altcoins Pull Back The version of the metric that’s of relevance here specifically tracks this for the short-term holders (STHs), a BTC investor cohort that includes only buyers from the last 155 days. Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them in the future. Since the STHs represent the new entrants into the market, their resilience tends to be low, and they may take part in panic selling during market volatility. Recently, Bitcoin has faced a major drawdown and the STHs have naturally reacted to it. Below is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows how the 7-day exponential moving average (EMA) of the Net Realized Profit/Loss has fluctuated for this group during the recent volatility. As is visible in the graph, the Bitcoin STH Net Realized Profit/Loss saw a deep plunge into the negative territory during the price downturn that followed the October high, implying realized losses notably outweighed the profits. In January, the metric recovered toward the neutral mark as the market saw an uplift, but the price drawdown since the end of the month has again taken the indicator to a highly red level. On February 6th, the STH Net Realized Profit/Loss fell to a value of -$1.24 billion per day, notably lower than the red peak observed last year. Since this low, the metric has risen a bit and today, it’s sitting at -$0.48 billion per day. “While the intensity has cooled, the broader regime still signals a market under pressure, with participants in the base formation phase continuing to capitulate,” explained the analytics firm. In some other news, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has been negative recently, as highlighted by CryptoQuant author IT Tech in an X post. The Coinbase Premium Gap tracks the difference between the Bitcoin spot price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). From the chart, it’s apparent that the metric has maintained at red values since mid-December, indicating that Coinbase users have been applying a higher amount of selling pressure than Binance traders. Related Reading: Bitcoin Extreme Fear Streak Extends To 22 Days As Price Struggles Coinbase is mainly used by US-based investors, especially the large institutional entities, so this trend can be a sign that there isn’t much demand for BTC among them right now. BTC Price Bitcoin has been slipping deeper as its price is now trading around $64,000. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
24 Feb 2026, 06:55
USD: How Crippling Tariff Uncertainty Keeps the Dollar on Edge – Commerzbank Analysis
BitcoinWorld USD: How Crippling Tariff Uncertainty Keeps the Dollar on Edge – Commerzbank Analysis FRANKFURT, March 2025 – The US dollar finds itself in a familiar yet precarious position, buffeted by waves of policy speculation rather than concrete economic data. According to a recent analysis from Commerzbank, persistent uncertainty surrounding future US tariff policy continues to act as a significant anchor on the greenback’s momentum, injecting volatility into global currency markets. This analysis delves into the mechanics of this relationship, exploring historical precedents and the specific channels through which trade policy ambiguity translates into currency market stress. USD Stability Undermined by Tariff Uncertainty Currency traders and institutional investors typically price assets based on a balance of measurable fundamentals: interest rate differentials, growth projections, and inflation data. However, the specter of unpredictable trade policy introduces a powerful, non-quantifiable variable. Commerzbank’s foreign exchange strategists note that markets despise uncertainty more than they fear bad news. Consequently, when the direction of US trade policy—particularly regarding tariffs on key partners like the European Union and China—becomes opaque, the dollar often reacts with heightened sensitivity. This environment prevents the currency from finding a stable footing, regardless of otherwise supportive factors like relative economic strength. Historically, periods of pronounced trade tension have correlated with increased dollar volatility. For instance, the market turbulence during the 2018-2019 US-China trade war serves as a critical reference point. During that episode, the DXY (US Dollar Index) experienced sharp, policy-driven swings that often disconnected from underlying macroeconomic trends. Analysts observe a similar pattern emerging, where headlines and political rhetoric regarding potential tariff escalations or reductions cause immediate, sometimes exaggerated, movements in forex pairs. This behavior underscores the market’s current hypersensitivity to trade-related news flow. The Direct Impact of Trade Policy on Currency Markets Trade policy uncertainty affects the US dollar through several interconnected channels. Firstly, it directly influences expectations for global trade flows and economic growth. Potential tariffs threaten to disrupt supply chains, raise costs for businesses, and dampen international commerce. Since the US dollar serves as the world’s primary reserve and transaction currency, any threat to global trade volume can impact demand for dollars, creating a headwind for its value. Secondly, this uncertainty complicates the Federal Reserve’s policy calculus. The central bank must weigh the inflationary impact of tariffs against their potential to slow economic activity. This dual effect makes future interest rate paths less predictable. As interest rates are a primary driver of currency valuation, this policy fog diminishes the dollar’s appeal to yield-seeking investors. Furthermore, tariffs can trigger retaliatory measures from trading partners, potentially leading to a broader slowdown that hurts US export sectors and, by extension, corporate earnings—a key consideration for foreign investors holding US assets. Commerzbank’s Expert Analysis and Market Positioning Commerzbank’s research team emphasizes that the current market narrative is not about tariffs themselves, but about their unpredictability. “Markets can price in a known tariff,” a senior Commerzbank FX strategist explained in a client note. “What they cannot price is the risk of an unknown tariff announced via social media or political speech with unclear implementation details.” This environment forces risk managers to increase hedging activities, which itself can amplify currency swings. The bank’s data shows options markets pricing in higher volatility for dollar crosses, particularly against currencies of major US trade partners, reflecting the cost of insuring against sudden, policy-driven moves. The analysis also points to shifting capital flows. Some investors may seek temporary haven in other reserve currencies like the Swiss franc or the Japanese yen during spikes in trade rhetoric, despite the dollar’s traditional safe-haven role. This fractional diversification away from the dollar during periods of US-centric policy uncertainty further contributes to its unstable performance. The table below summarizes the primary transmission channels: Transmission Channel Effect on USD Global Growth Expectations Downward pressure from threatened trade volumes Federal Reserve Policy Uncertainty Reduced appeal due to unclear interest rate path Risk Sentiment & Hedging Flows Increased volatility and hedging costs Retaliatory Action Risk Potential harm to US export competitiveness Historical Context and the Path Forward Understanding the current juncture requires a look back. The post-2016 era fundamentally altered the market’s perception of US trade policy, moving it from a largely predictable, rules-based framework to a more fluid and politically-driven tool. This shift means that every administration change or electoral cycle now carries heightened currency risk related to trade. Commerzbank’s report suggests that for the dollar to stabilize and reflect its underlying economic fundamentals more clearly, the market needs either clarity on the tariff trajectory or a decisive shift in focus toward other dominant drivers like monetary policy divergence. In the near term, currency traders are advised to monitor several key indicators beyond headline trade news. These include: Business Investment Surveys: Forward-looking capital expenditure plans can signal corporate confidence in trade stability. Supply Chain Pressure Indices: Rising pressures may foreshadow trade disruptions that impact currency flows. Federal Reserve Communications: Any mention of trade policy in Fed minutes as a risk factor is highly significant. Ultimately, the dollar’s performance will remain bifurcated—potentially strong on domestic data but vulnerable to sudden shifts in the international trade policy landscape until a more predictable framework emerges. Conclusion In conclusion, Commerzbank’s analysis highlights that tariff uncertainty remains a powerful and persistent drag on the US dollar’s stability. While the US economy may exhibit strength in isolation, the currency’s role as a global benchmark makes it susceptible to the vagaries of international trade policy. The lack of a predictable, long-term US trade strategy injects volatility that distorts typical fundamental analysis, keeping the dollar on edge. For markets to confidently price the USD, reducing this policy fog is as crucial as any economic dataset. FAQs Q1: Why does trade policy uncertainty specifically hurt the US dollar? Trade policy uncertainty hurts the USD because it threatens the global trade system in which the dollar is the primary transaction currency. It also clouds the economic outlook and complicates Federal Reserve policy, making the dollar less attractive to investors seeking predictable returns. Q2: Has this happened before with the US dollar? Yes, similar periods of elevated volatility occurred during the US-China trade war initiated in 2018. The dollar experienced sharp, news-driven swings that often ran counter to interest rate expectations, demonstrating how trade rhetoric can decouple currency from fundamentals. Q3: What would resolve this uncertainty for currency markets? Markets would benefit from either a clear, long-term US trade policy framework with predictable rules or a decisive shift in market focus toward other dominant drivers where the US holds a strong comparative advantage, such as technology or energy exports. Q4: Do tariffs always weaken a country’s currency? Not necessarily. If tariffs are seen as improving a trade balance by reducing imports, they could theoretically strengthen a currency. However, the uncertainty surrounding their implementation and the high risk of retaliation and reduced global trade often create a net negative effect, as seen currently with the USD. Q5: How are traders and institutions responding to this environment? Many are increasing their hedging activities using options and futures to protect against sudden swings. Some are also temporarily diversifying into other reserve currencies during peaks of trade tension and paying closer attention to forward-looking surveys about business investment and supply chain health. This post USD: How Crippling Tariff Uncertainty Keeps the Dollar on Edge – Commerzbank Analysis first appeared on BitcoinWorld .
