hodler

9 Mar 2026, 07:15

‘Bitcoin Is Going to Die’ – The Latest Death Warning Comes from Oscar-Nominated Actor

The Hollywood actor best known for movies like Hustle & Flow, which secured him an Academy Award nomination, the original Iron Man, and Get Rich or Die Trying, has joined the bitcoin skeptics’ side. In a recent appearance on Patrick Bet-David’s PBD Podcast, he envisioned BTC’s upcoming demise. However, he is not the first, and many, many have been wrong in the past. ‘Bitcoin Is Going to Die’ Bitcoin death proclamations are nothing new, as they have been going left and right ever since the network (and underlying asset) saw the light of day over 17 years ago. Although such strong statements have declined in number lately, there are still some that make it out to the open, and when they are coming from a famous person, especially one not related to the cryptocurrency industry, we have to explore. Howard falls under both categories. While speaking on different investments during the PBD Podcast, he was emphatic, stating: “Bitcoin is going to die, I don’t mess with it.” He explained that he recently received a call from a friend of his who offered him an investment opportunity that would earn him $75,000 if he put down $25 million. However, he failed to provide details on what the investment was or how it was related to bitcoin, as the cryptocurrency itself does not promise such returns. “Bitcoin is still based on fiat, and because the dollar is decreasing in its value, because of the uncertainty of war around. Nobody wants their money in something that can be wiped out with the push of a button somewhere. I’ve stayed clear of it because it has been dropping a great deal,” ends the video on X. Let’s Dissect Aside from the lack of details on the aforementioned investment opportunity, there are some other controversial statements in Howard’s words. First, bitcoin is NOT based on fiat – it’s commonly priced in fiat currencies, but 1 BTC is always 1 BTC. Second, we didn’t really understand the part of “because of the dollar is decreasing and the uncertainty of war around” – perhaps he related that to his last statement that BTC has been dropping a great deal lately. That’s true, the asset trades 50% away from its all-time high seen in October last year. However, it trades around its previous ATH, and the more macro scale shows massive returns for investors. Additionally, BTC tends to move in cycles and now appears to be the bearish period. The part of “nobody wants their money in something that can be wiped out with the push of a button” is also interesting. And wrong. Who is that someone? What’s that button? How can it wipe out BTC? And – ‘nobody wants their money’ in bitcoin? Really? What about the billions in ETF inflows ? Or corporations buying bitcoin as their preferred reserve asset? Or, even governments buying BTC? Anyways, bitcoin is no stranger to being declared dead. In fact, there have been nearly 500 such documented cases during its teenage existence. For now, though, nobody has been correct. Been going to zero since 2009 Terrence, my boy pic.twitter.com/zyQrsi6h2y — Ron Sovereignty Swanson (@RonSwanonson) March 9, 2026 The post ‘Bitcoin Is Going to Die’ – The Latest Death Warning Comes from Oscar-Nominated Actor appeared first on CryptoPotato .

9 Mar 2026, 07:15

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Bullish Momentum Surges Above Critical 111.00 Level

BitcoinWorld AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Bullish Momentum Surges Above Critical 111.00 Level The AUD/JPY currency pair demonstrates significant strength in early 2025 trading, maintaining a decisive position above the psychologically important 111.00 level. This development follows months of careful technical consolidation and fundamental realignment between the Australian and Japanese economies. Market analysts now observe clear bullish signals across multiple timeframes, suggesting potential for continued upward movement. The currency cross, which represents the Australian dollar against the Japanese yen, has become a focal point for traders seeking exposure to Asia-Pacific monetary policy divergence. Furthermore, recent economic data releases from both nations have provided fresh catalysts for the pair’s directional bias. AUD/JPY Technical Analysis and Chart Patterns Technical examination reveals several constructive developments for the AUD/JPY pair. The currency cross has established a solid foundation above the 110.50 support zone throughout recent sessions. Additionally, the pair has successfully tested and held above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming the underlying bullish structure. Chart patterns show a clear ascending triangle formation that resolved upward in late 2024. This pattern typically indicates accumulation before a breakout. Moreover, momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) maintain readings between 55 and 65, suggesting healthy upward momentum without overbought conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram also shows positive momentum acceleration above its signal line. Several key technical levels now define the AUD/JPY trading landscape. The 111.00 level serves as immediate psychological support, while 111.50 represents the next resistance zone. A sustained break above 111.80 could open the path toward 112.50, a level not seen since the third quarter of 2024. Conversely, traders should monitor the 110.20 level as primary support. This level previously acted as resistance during the consolidation phase. Volume analysis confirms the validity of the recent breakout, with above-average trading volumes accompanying upward moves. The following table summarizes critical technical levels: Level Type Significance 112.50 Resistance 2024 High Zone 111.80 Resistance Immediate Technical Barrier 111.00 Support/Resistance Psychological Level 110.20 Support Previous Resistance Turned Support 109.50 Support 200-Day Moving Average Zone Fundamental Drivers Behind AUD/JPY Strength Multiple fundamental factors contribute to the AUD/JPY pair’s current bullish disposition. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has maintained a relatively hawkish stance compared to the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Australia’s economy shows resilience despite global headwinds, particularly in commodity exports. China’s economic stabilization measures have provided indirect support for Australian exports. Meanwhile, Japan continues its ultra-accommodative monetary policy, keeping interest rates near zero. This policy divergence creates favorable yield differentials for Australian dollar holders. Additionally, risk sentiment in global markets has improved moderately, benefiting commodity-linked currencies like the AUD against traditional safe-havens like the JPY. Commodity price movements significantly influence the Australian dollar’s valuation. Iron ore prices, Australia’s largest export, have stabilized above critical levels. Copper and other industrial metals also show constructive price action. These developments support Australia’s terms of trade and current account balance. Conversely, Japan’s economy faces structural challenges including demographic pressures and persistent deflationary tendencies. The BOJ’s yield curve control adjustments in late 2024 provided temporary yen support, but the fundamental policy divergence remains intact. Geopolitical developments in the Asia-Pacific region also affect currency flows, with Australia positioned as a regional economic stabilizer. Expert Analysis and Market Sentiment Financial institutions and independent analysts generally express cautious optimism regarding AUD/JPY prospects. Major bank research departments note the pair’s correlation with global risk appetite. When investors seek higher yields and growth exposure, they often favor the Australian dollar. Technical analysts highlight the importance of the 111.00 level as a pivot point. A sustained break above this level could trigger algorithmic buying programs. Furthermore, options market data shows increased demand for AUD calls against JPY puts. This positioning suggests institutional expectations for further appreciation. However, analysts caution about potential volatility from unexpected economic data or policy shifts. Seasonal patterns also influence AUD/JPY price action. Historically, the first quarter shows favorable conditions for Australian dollar strength. This pattern relates to commodity demand cycles and fiscal year considerations in both nations. Risk management professionals emphasize proper position sizing given the pair’s volatility characteristics. The AUD/JPY typically exhibits higher volatility than major pairs like EUR/USD or GBP/USD. This characteristic attracts both opportunity and risk. Several key factors will determine the sustainability of the current bullish move: RBA Policy Guidance: Any shift toward dovishness could undermine AUD support BOJ Policy Normalization: Accelerated tightening would benefit the yen Commodity Price Trends: Sustained export revenue supports Australia’s economy China Economic Performance: Australia’s largest trading partner affects demand Global Risk Sentiment: Risk-off environments typically favor the yen Historical Context and Comparative Analysis The AUD/JPY pair has experienced significant volatility over the past decade. During the commodity super-cycle of the early 2010s, the pair traded above 100.00 for extended periods. The COVID-19 pandemic initially caused sharp depreciation before recovery. More recently, monetary policy divergence has driven price action. Comparing current levels to historical ranges provides perspective. The pair currently trades near the upper end of its five-year range but remains below all-time highs. This positioning suggests room for further appreciation under favorable conditions. Correlation analysis shows the pair’s relationship with equity markets, particularly Asian indices. When Asian stocks perform well, AUD/JPY often appreciates. Japanese retail traders historically show strong interest in the AUD/JPY pair. This interest stems from the yield differential and geographical proximity. Australian institutional investors also actively trade the cross for hedging purposes. The pair’s liquidity remains robust during Asian trading hours but can thin during European and American sessions. This liquidity pattern creates specific trading opportunities and risks. Regulatory developments in both countries affect trading conditions. Australia’s financial regulations continue evolving while Japan maintains its established framework. Technological advancements in trading platforms have increased retail participation in both nations. Conclusion The AUD/JPY price forecast maintains a bullish bias above the critical 111.00 level. Technical analysis confirms constructive chart patterns and momentum indicators. Fundamental factors support the Australian dollar against the Japanese yen through policy divergence and commodity strength. However, traders should monitor several risk factors that could alter the trajectory. The currency pair’s performance will likely reflect broader Asia-Pacific economic developments throughout 2025. Proper risk management remains essential when trading this volatile but opportunity-rich currency cross. The AUD/JPY forecast suggests continued attention to both technical levels and fundamental drivers for optimal trading decisions. FAQs Q1: What does AUD/JPY above 111.00 indicate for traders? The AUD/JPY pair trading above 111.00 suggests bullish momentum and potential for further appreciation. This level acts as psychological support and a technical pivot point. Q2: How does Bank of Japan policy affect AUD/JPY? The BOJ’s ultra-accommodative monetary policy weakens the yen against higher-yielding currencies like the Australian dollar, supporting AUD/JPY appreciation. Q3: What are the main risks to the bullish AUD/JPY forecast? Primary risks include unexpected RBA dovishness, BOJ policy normalization, commodity price declines, deteriorating risk sentiment, or weaker Chinese economic data. Q4: How does AUD/JPY correlate with other financial markets? AUD/JPY typically correlates positively with global equity markets, commodity prices, and risk appetite, while showing negative correlation with traditional safe-haven assets. Q5: What time of day shows highest AUD/JPY trading activity? The pair exhibits highest liquidity during Asian trading hours (Tokyo and Sydney sessions), with increased volatility around economic data releases from both countries. This post AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Bullish Momentum Surges Above Critical 111.00 Level first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

9 Mar 2026, 07:06

XRP price forecast as 36.8B of supply hit unrealized loss

XRP faces continued downside pressure as a massive portion of its supply plunges into unrealized losses amid broader market weakness. The cryptocurrency hovers near $1.35 amid bearish sentiment exacerbated by the US/Israel and Iran war. As sellers re-emerge after a brief uptick last week, Glassnode data indicate the potential for fresh capitulation as more XRP holders move their positions to the short side. What's the near-term price outlook for the Ripple cryptocurrency as Bitcoin trades near $67,000? XRP in loss hits 36.8 billion XRP trades at approximately $1.35 as of March 9, 2026, reflecting a slight 24-hour uptick but still down 7% over the past month. Ripple's cryptocurrency has notched a 64% surge in daily trading volume, which exceeded $1.95 billion at the time of writing. In terms of prices, XRP is positioned near recent lows, with a daily range between $1.33 and $1.37 as its market cap hovers near $82.9 billion. But one metric attracting notable chatter today is the amount of XRP supply in loss. According to Glassnode, roughly 36.8 billion XRPs that account for about 66% of the circulating supply are in unrealized loss. That's over $50.8 billion in unprofitable positions. XRP total supply in loss chart: Courtesy of Glassnode With a circulating supply of around 61.23 billion out of a fixed total of 100 billion, this metric underscores widespread holder pain, potentially fueling further selling from weak hands. Ripple (XRP) technical outlook XRP has struggled for upside momentum since peaking in 2025, and has traded sideways year-to-date after losing its aggregate holder cost basis. In early February, the SOPR (7D EMA) fell to 0.96 from highs of 1.16 in Jul 2025, and bulls continue to struggle as on-chain losses deepen. According to analysts at Glassnode, the on-chain profitability setup closely aligns with what was seen in previous bear market phases. Notably, XRP's unrealized loss levels closely mirror classic capitulation zones in the 2018-2019 and 2022 bear markets. Panic selling during these cycles pushed most of the supply underwater, with prolonged consolidation then taking over. Historically, such unrealized loss extremes have preceded rebounds as panic selling exhausted itself. But given weak hands may yet exit amid broader bearish sentiment, there are risks of additional short-term downside action for XRP. Technical indicators reinforce this tension, with the daily RSI sloping near 42 to indicate room for further dips to oversold conditions. Charts also show the MACD has a bearish bias as the histogram shrinks to suggest potential selling momentum. XRP 1-day price chart by TradingView Key support looms at $1.31, aligning with Bollinger Band lows, followed by major zones at $1.20 and the recent monthly low on February 5, 2026. Bearish targets include a plunge toward the $1.00 structural support or lower. On a bullish note, reclaiming $1.40 and the upper Bollinger Bands level could spark a rebound to $1.80 and the psychological $2.00 resistance level. A broader market upside will potentially drive prices toward the key $3.50 zone. The post XRP price forecast as 36.8B of supply hit unrealized loss appeared first on Invezz

9 Mar 2026, 07:05

NZD/USD Forecast: Critical 200-Day SMA Breakdown Looms as Bears Dominate Below 0.5900

BitcoinWorld NZD/USD Forecast: Critical 200-Day SMA Breakdown Looms as Bears Dominate Below 0.5900 The New Zealand dollar faces mounting pressure against the US dollar in early 2025 trading, with technical indicators signaling potential for further declines. Specifically, the NZD/USD currency pair struggles to regain momentum below the critical 0.5900 psychological level. Consequently, market analysts now monitor the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) as a key technical threshold. A confirmed breakdown below this long-term average could trigger accelerated selling pressure across forex markets. NZD/USD Technical Analysis and Current Market Position Technical analysis reveals the NZD/USD pair trading within a clearly defined bearish channel. Currently, the pair tests support levels not seen in several months. Market participants observe price action closely around the 0.5900 handle. This level represents both psychological support and a previous consolidation zone. Moreover, trading volumes have increased during recent declines, suggesting genuine bearish conviction. Several key technical indicators currently align with the bearish outlook: Moving Averages: The 50-day SMA crossed below the 100-day SMA three weeks ago Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently reading 38, indicating bearish momentum without extreme oversold conditions MACD: Remains in negative territory with histogram bars extending downward Support Levels: Immediate support at 0.5875, followed by 0.5820 Resistance Levels: First resistance at 0.5925, then 0.5980 The 200-Day Simple Moving Average Breakdown Scenario The 200-day Simple Moving Average represents a critical long-term trend indicator that institutional traders monitor closely. Historically, sustained breaks below this level often signal extended bearish phases. Currently, the NZD/USD pair approaches this technical threshold with concerning momentum. A confirmed daily close below the 200-day SMA would represent a significant technical development. Market analysts reference historical precedents for similar breakdowns. For instance, the 2023 breakdown below the 200-day SMA preceded a 7.2% decline over the following eight weeks. Technical traders typically interpret such breaks as shifts in long-term sentiment. Therefore, the current proximity to this level warrants careful observation. Fundamental Factors Influencing the Currency Pair Beyond technical patterns, fundamental factors contribute to the NZD/USD dynamics. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s monetary policy stance contrasts with the Federal Reserve’s approach. Specifically, interest rate differentials continue to favor the US dollar. Additionally, commodity price fluctuations impact New Zealand’s export-driven economy. Dairy prices, a key export, have shown volatility in recent months. Global risk sentiment also affects the pair significantly. As a risk-sensitive currency, the New Zealand dollar often weakens during risk-off market environments. Recent geopolitical developments and economic uncertainty have supported safe-haven flows into the US dollar. This dynamic creates additional headwinds for the NZD/USD pair. Comparative Analysis with Other Currency Pairs The NZD/USD weakness aligns with broader forex market trends. Several other commodity-linked currencies show similar patterns against the US dollar. The Australian dollar, often correlated with the NZD, also faces pressure. However, the NZD has underperformed its Australian counterpart in recent sessions. This relative weakness suggests New Zealand-specific factors at play. Recent Performance of Major Currency Pairs Against USD Currency Pair Weekly Change Distance from 200-day SMA NZD/USD -1.8% -0.4% AUD/USD -1.2% +0.6% CAD/USD -0.9% +1.1% EUR/USD -0.7% +2.3% The table illustrates the NZD/USD’s particular vulnerability compared to other major pairs. This underperformance highlights the specific technical and fundamental pressures facing the New Zealand dollar. Market Structure and Trader Positioning Data Commitment of Traders (COT) reports reveal shifting positioning in NZD futures. Commercial hedgers have increased short positions significantly in recent weeks. Meanwhile, leveraged funds maintain net short exposure near yearly highs. This positioning data supports the technical bearish outlook. Additionally, options market data shows rising demand for downside protection. Market structure analysis indicates limited buying interest at current levels. Order flow data reveals sparse bid support below 0.5900. Consequently, any break below this level could encounter minimal buying pressure initially. This technical setup increases the risk of accelerated declines if key support levels fail. Historical Context and Pattern Recognition Historical analysis provides context for current price action. The NZD/USD pair has experienced similar technical setups six times in the past decade. In five of those instances, breaks below the 200-day SMA led to declines averaging 5.8% over the following month. However, one instance resulted in a false breakdown and rapid recovery. This historical precedent suggests elevated risk but not certainty of further declines. Seasonal patterns also merit consideration. Historically, the NZD/USD pair shows weakness during the first quarter of the year. This pattern aligns with agricultural export cycles and global capital flows. The current technical setup coincides with this seasonal tendency, potentially amplifying bearish momentum. Potential Scenarios and Price Projections Technical analysts outline several potential scenarios for the NZD/USD pair. The primary scenario involves a confirmed break below the 200-day SMA. This development would likely target the 0.5820 support level initially. A break below that level could extend declines toward 0.5750. However, alternative scenarios also warrant consideration. A reversal scenario would require reclaiming the 0.5950 level with conviction. Such a move would invalidate the immediate bearish outlook. Additionally, sustained consolidation between 0.5875 and 0.5925 could develop. This range-bound action would suggest equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Market participants should monitor price action around these key levels. Risk Management Considerations for Traders Professional traders emphasize risk management during such technical setups. Position sizing becomes particularly important near key technical levels. Many institutional traders wait for confirmed breaks rather than anticipating moves. This approach reduces false signal risk. Additionally, monitoring correlated markets provides valuable context. Risk-reward ratios currently favor waiting for confirmation before establishing new positions. The proximity to major support levels increases volatility risk. Therefore, conservative position sizing and strict stop-loss discipline remain essential. These risk management principles apply regardless of directional bias. Conclusion The NZD/USD forecast remains bearish as price action consolidates below the critical 0.5900 level. The potential 200-day SMA breakdown represents the most significant technical development currently. Market participants should monitor price action around this key moving average closely. While fundamental factors support the bearish outlook, traders must remain alert to potential reversals. Ultimately, confirmed breaks below key support levels would signal extended declines for the currency pair. FAQs Q1: What does a break below the 200-day SMA mean for NZD/USD? A break below the 200-day Simple Moving Average typically signals a shift in long-term trend from bullish to bearish. Historically, such breaks have preceded extended declines for the NZD/USD pair, though false breakdowns can occur. Q2: What key support levels should traders watch below 0.5900? Immediate support exists at 0.5875, followed by more significant support at 0.5820. A break below 0.5820 could open the path toward 0.5750, based on previous consolidation zones and Fibonacci extension levels. Q3: How do interest rate differentials affect NZD/USD? Interest rate differentials between New Zealand and the United States significantly impact the currency pair. When US rates are higher or expected to rise faster than NZ rates, it typically strengthens the USD against the NZD, creating downward pressure on the pair. Q4: What fundamental factors are currently weighing on the New Zealand dollar? Several factors contribute, including comparative monetary policy outlooks, commodity price volatility (particularly dairy), global risk sentiment favoring safe-haven currencies, and New Zealand’s trade balance dynamics. Q5: How reliable are technical breakdowns below the 200-day SMA? While historically significant, 200-day SMA breaks require confirmation through sustained price action below the level and supporting volume. False breakdowns occur approximately 15-20% of the time, so traders typically wait for multiple daily closes below the average before considering the break confirmed. This post NZD/USD Forecast: Critical 200-Day SMA Breakdown Looms as Bears Dominate Below 0.5900 first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

9 Mar 2026, 07:00

Cardano Red Month Is Far From Over: Analyst Predicts Crash To This Target

Like other altcoins in the space, the Cardano price has suffered a tremendous amount of losses over the last few months. This relentless sell-off has pushed the ADA price so low that it is now sitting at levels not seen since the last bear market. Even now, Cardano remains in danger of further decline, as explained by crypto analyst Lingrid in a recent analysis. Why Cardano Could Crash Further The major problem being faced by the Cardano price now is that the bulls have failed a number of times to reclaim control from the bears. With each failure, the hold by the bears becomes stronger, furthering the possibility of a bearish continuation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear Market Could Be Shrinking, But Are We Watching History Repeating Itself? In the analysis, crypto analyst Lingrid revealed that Cardano remains below the consolidation support at $0.26. As a result of this, the cryptocurrency has now started moving below its former structure. At the same time, the price is also below the descending resistance, showing a lot of weakness. Despite the recent recovery, the fact that the altcoin’s price eventually moved back downward proved that bears are still in control of the market. The downside of this is that the bearish continuation is likely from here, especially as the price has also been rejected at $0.26, and the price could crash further. The only way this move gets invalidated is if the Cardano price were to successfully reclaim and break above $0.27 again. 6 Months Of Red With the red close of the month of February, Cardano marked five consecutive months of red closes, making it the third time in history that this has happened, according to data from CryptoRank. The first time was back in 2021-2022, when the bear market had begun, and then again, that year, Cardano recorded another five consecutive months of red closes. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price Could Reach $1,000 By End Of 2026 If This Happens While the last time ended with a major surge in the sixth month, the Cardano price is already down by more than 11% in the month of March, suggesting that the red trend could continue. Now, back in 2021-2022, was the first time in history that the digital asset saw 6 red monthly candles, and what followed was interesting. After the sixth month of red in February 2022, the Cardano price had begun to surge, eventually ending the next month with gains of 18%. However, after this, the bleed continued, and Cardano fell further. Now, if this trend were to repeat itself, then the cryptocurrency could see a relief bounce after the sixth month of red. But this would not mean an end to the decline, but rather, a precursor to more decline. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

9 Mar 2026, 07:00

River crypto primed for $20 breakout? THIS structure hints at…

RIVER rally aligns with rising leverage activity, raising questions about whether key resistance will finally break.