Invest ideasNews
7 Mar 2026, 09:58
Bitcoin eyeing $36,000 drop as major crash signal forms
Bitcoin ( BTC ) may be facing a significant correction after a key bearish technical signal emerged on the three-day chart, raising the possibility of a move toward the $36,000 level. According to insights from TradingShot in a TradingView post on March 6, this outlook stems from the fact that the cryptocurrency has formed a death cross on the three-day timeframe. Bitcoin price analysis. Source: TradingView Notably, the pattern occurs when the 50-period moving average (MA50) falls below the 200-period moving average (MA200). The signal historically appears during major bear cycles and has often preceded extended declines in the cryptocurrency’s price. Based on historical data, each time this pattern has appeared since 2014 during a bear market phase, Bitcoin has continued to fall sharply after the crossover. During the 2022 market downturn and the 2018 crypto winter, the asset declined by slightly more than 52% after the signal formed. In the earlier 2014 cycle, the drop was even steeper, reaching approximately 57%. The current setup shows the MA50 turning lower and crossing below the MA200, confirming the bearish crossover. Bitcoin is also trading beneath both trend lines after losing momentum near $70,000, a structure that historically signals weakening market strength. Bitcoin next low target If the pattern follows previous cycles, Bitcoin could see a similar decline. A roughly 52% drop from the crossover area would place the price near $36,000, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension that marked bottoms during the 2018 and 2022 bear markets. Based on this historical behavior, analysts view the $40,000 to $36,000 range as a potential accumulation zone, with $40,000 aligning with the Fibonacci extension and $36,000 reflecting the typical post–death cross decline seen in prior cycles. This bearish outlook comes after the cryptocurrency climbed to nearly $74,000 between March 4 and March 5, marking a one-month high and briefly boosting trader optimism. The move was driven by short squeezes, renewed inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs , and perceived resilience amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. During the rally, Bitcoin also moved alongside a strengthening U.S. dollar, an unusual correlation that has emerged since late 2024. However, the momentum quickly faded, with a pullback wiping out much of the week’s gains. Bitcoin price analysis At the time of reporting, Bitcoin was priced at $67,955, well below its 50-day SMA of $75,548 and significantly under the 200-day SMA at $96,080. Bitcoin seven-day price chart. Source: Finbold Trading beneath both moving averages typically signals bearish market conditions and indicates that the broader trend remains under pressure. Momentum indicators, however, paint a more balanced picture. Bitcoin’s 14-day Relative Strength Index ( RSI ) currently stands at 45.93, placing it firmly in neutral territory. The RSI measures the speed and magnitude of price movements on a scale from 0 to 100. The post Bitcoin eyeing $36,000 drop as major crash signal forms appeared first on Finbold .
7 Mar 2026, 09:31
Kalshi Faces Class Action Lawsuit Over Khamenei Prediction Market Payout
Prediction markets platform Kalshi is facing a class action lawsuit over the resolution of a market tied to the leadership of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Key Takeaways: Kalshi is facing a class action lawsuit over how it resolved a prediction market on Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Plaintiffs claim the platform denied full payouts by applying a “death carveout” rule after Khamenei’s reported death. Kalshi says the rule was designed to prevent traders from profiting directly from a person’s death. The lawsuit, filed in the US District Court for the Central District of California, accuses the company of misleading traders in a market titled “Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?” Plaintiffs claim the platform created expectations that contracts predicting Khamenei’s removal by March 1 would pay out at full value if the outcome occurred. Kalshi Traders Dispute Payout After ‘Death Carveout’ Rule Applied According to the complaint, Khamenei’s death was reported by multiple media outlets on Feb. 28. Traders holding contracts predicting he would be out of office by the following day expected their “yes” shares to resolve at $1 each, the standard payout for a correct prediction on the platform. Instead, Kalshi applied a rule known as a “death carveout provision.” The clause states that if the leader leaves office solely due to death, the market outcome will resolve based on the final traded price rather than paying out the full value of winning contracts. The plaintiffs argue that this decision deprived traders of the payouts they believed they had earned. “Plaintiffs and the proposed class members, who correctly predicted the outcome, did not receive the amounts they were promised,” the lawsuit states. The complaint alleges that traders were paid amounts that were “arbitrary” and significantly below the expected contract value. Two named plaintiffs reportedly held roughly $259.84 worth of positions in the market. Overall trading activity in the event exceeded $54 million in volume. The legal filing further argues that the rule used to determine the payout was not sufficiently disclosed to users when they entered their trades. According to the plaintiffs, the death-related clause appeared only in technical market rules that many traders may not have noticed before placing bets. Public criticism intensified on social media following the market’s resolution. In response, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour addressed the issue in a post on X, explaining that the platform avoids markets that allow traders to profit directly from a person’s death. “We don’t list markets directly tied to death,” Mansour wrote. “When potential outcomes involve death, we design the rules to prevent people from profiting from death.” We stand by principle and law: 1. Kalshi didn't deviate from its market rules. They were clear that death did not resolve the market to "Yes". 2. Kalshi's rules prevented a 'death market', where traders directly profit from death. This is a good thing (+ we're a US based… https://t.co/gXMeQECFLz — Tarek Mansour (@mansourtarek_) March 6, 2026 He acknowledged that the company could improve how rules are displayed on market pages. Mansour said the situation highlighted the need for clearer user experience design to ensure traders better understand contract conditions before participating. Kalshi Says Traders Didn’t Lose Money After Market Dispute Kalshi also reimbursed all trading fees and net losses associated with the market. According to the company, no traders ultimately lost money as a result of the resolution. Despite the refunds, the plaintiffs are seeking compensatory damages representing the full value of the expected payouts, along with punitive damages intended to deter similar conduct in the future. Mansour said the company followed its established rules and emphasized that Kalshi did not generate profit from the market. The lawsuit arrives as prediction markets gain wider attention. Kalshi recently secured funding at an $11 billion valuation , reflecting the rapid growth of the sector and rising trading activity across event-based markets. The post Kalshi Faces Class Action Lawsuit Over Khamenei Prediction Market Payout appeared first on Cryptonews .
7 Mar 2026, 09:30
Ethereum Under Pressure As Researchers Issue Critical Report
Ethereum is facing renewed scrutiny after Culper Research released a sharply critical report outlining its bearish stance on the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. The reporter argues that the key aspects of the ETH ecosystem and long-term narrative may be weaker than widely believed, prompting the firm to disclose that it has taken a short position against the asset. Culper Research Outlines Key Risks Facing Ethereum’s Ecosystem Investment research firm Culper Research has released a critical report, revealing it has taken a short position on Ethereum. The CEO of Coinbureau, Nic, has shared on X that the reporter outlined that structural changes following the ETH Fusaka Upgrade have significantly expanded blockspace, causing transaction fees to collapse by nearly 90%. According to the firm, lower fees translate directly into lower validator income, leading to weaker staking economics. Culper further mentions BitMine and argues that the recent rise in transaction activity and active addresses cited as bullish is driven by spam transactions and address-poisoning attacks rather than real adoption. The firm also reported that Vitalik Buterin sold around 19,000 ETH as if he knew what was going on. While it is a significant amount, representing roughly 8% of Buterin’s total holdings, it may not necessarily indicate an exit or loss of confidence. At the same time, Nic highlighted that ETH’s design allows for future protocol changes of rules through coordinated upgrades or forks if any economic issues emerge. This won’t be easy politically or technically, but it’s possible. Nic emphasized that he is not taking sides. However, when a firm publishes a detailed thesis and then puts its money behind it, it is worth understanding the mechanics they’re pointing to. How Gas-Limit Expansion Linked To Falling Transaction Fees A crypto commentator and the host of the office space, MartyParty, has also offered insights into the matter. Culper Research has opened short positions in Ethereum, arguing that the network entered what is described as a potential “death spiral.” The firm’s thesis is based on on-chain data spanning from January 2025 to February 2026. A major focus of the report is wallet growth following the Fusaka Upgrade, and Culper alleges that 95% of new wallet creation during the period is linked to dusting or address-poisoning attacks. The firm further claims that dusting-related activity now accounts for roughly 22.5% of all ETH transactions and more than half of the network’s recent transaction growth . Furthermore, the firm analyzes the economic effects of gas limit increase on the network, contributing to an estimated 90% decline in transaction fees and 40-50% lower tips per gas. Meanwhile, these dynmics could put pressure on validator economics by reducing overall revenue from network activity. Beyond internal network changes, competition from Solana has captured growing developer and user activity, and report s about Buterin’s ETH dump have drawn backlash from parts of the ETH community.
7 Mar 2026, 09:02
Pundit Describes How $10,000 In XRP Could Become $1,000,000
Interest in the long-term potential of XRP continues to center on a common investor question: what level of growth would be required for a modest position to reach seven-figure value? A recent analysis shared on X explored a scenario in which a $10,000 investment could theoretically grow to $1 million depending on future price levels and market capitalization. The explanation focused on the numerical thresholds involved and the scale of global financial activity that supporters believe could influence long-term demand for XRP. In presenting the figures, crypto enthusiast X Finance Bull emphasized that the post was not intended as a prediction but as a breakdown of the calculations and infrastructure developments often cited in discussions about the asset’s future valuation. People ask if $10K in $XRP can become $1M At ~$1.33, $10K gets you about 7,520 XRP. XRP at $16 = ~$1T market cap. Your position is worth ~$120K. Requires sustained ETF inflows and real institutional settlement volume. XRP at $133 = ~$8T market cap. Your 7,520 XRP hits… pic.twitter.com/valOAffuTY — X Finance Bull (@Xfinancebull) March 5, 2026 Calculating the Path From $10,000 to $1 Million According to X Finance Bull, an investment of $10,000 in XRP at approximately $1.33 would purchase about 7,520 XRP. From that starting point, he calculated how different price levels would impact the value of that holding. He stated that if XRP were to reach $16 per coin, the implied market capitalization would approach roughly $1 trillion. At that level, the initial $10,000 investment would be worth about $120,000. He explained that reaching such a valuation would likely require sustained inflows from exchange-traded funds, including significant institutional settlement activity using the asset. The post then outlined the level required for a $1 million portfolio outcome. If XRP were to reach $133 per coin, the 7,520 XRP position would be valued at approximately $1 million. However, X Finance Bull noted that this price would imply a total market capitalization near $8 trillion. Rather than presenting this outcome as a forecast, he emphasized that the figures illustrate how price, supply, and valuation interact. Global Payment Infrastructure and Institutional Activity X Finance Bull also mentioned several developments that he believes illustrate the scale of financial activity linked to the XRP ecosystem. He pointed to the global foreign exchange market, which processes an estimated $7.5 trillion in transactions per day, as well as cross-border payment flows that exceed $150 trillion annually. These figures were presented as examples of the large financial markets that blockchain-based settlement systems aim to address. The commentator also mentioned several institutional elements tied to the ecosystem, including the planned Ripple National Trust Bank and the launch of the stablecoin RLUSD . He further cited exchange-traded funds (ETFs)that have reportedly attracted around $1.25 billion. He also referenced the clearing activity involving Hidden Road through the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation that he said exceeds $3 trillion. We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 Community Reactions to the Valuation Discussion Several users responded to the post with their own perspectives on XRP’s potential valuation. A commenter identified as Crypto_Luke argued that traditional market capitalization metrics may not fully capture the value of a network designed to facilitate global liquidity. He wrote that once XRP is viewed as a liquidity layer moving money worldwide, investors begin to question whether conventional market-cap comparisons are the right framework for evaluating it. Another user, ChainVision, offered a more aggressive outlook. He stated that when factors such as transaction velocity, total supply, and institutional adoption are considered, XRP could eventually reach a value above $1,000 per coin . X Finance Bull concluded his post by reiterating that he was presenting numerical possibilities rather than making predictions. He encouraged readers to review the calculations and infrastructure factors themselves before deciding how they view the asset’s long-term potential. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on X , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post Pundit Describes How $10,000 In XRP Could Become $1,000,000 appeared first on Times Tabloid .
7 Mar 2026, 09:00
The Hormuz Standoff: Why Bitcoin’s Liquidity Drain Is Defying The Global Energy Shock
Bitcoin is attempting to hold the $70,000 level as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensify, injecting fresh uncertainty into global financial markets. The asset began the week trading above $74,000 but experienced a sharp repricing as investors reacted to escalating developments around the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global energy supply. As the conflict appeared likely to persist, markets quickly adjusted expectations, triggering volatility across risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. According to a recent CryptoQuant report, energy-related geopolitical shocks can act as a transmission channel for broader macroeconomic disruptions. Escalations that threaten global oil supply often reinforce inflationary pressures and increase capital costs across the financial system. These dynamics force investors to reassess monetary policy expectations, particularly regarding the trajectory of interest rates and liquidity conditions. On Thursday, March 5, the Hormuz-related escalation triggered a sudden repricing across markets. Bitcoin, which had been trading comfortably above the $74,000 level earlier in the week, dropped sharply as the market digested the implications of a potentially prolonged conflict and its impact on the global macro environment. Despite the volatility, Bitcoin’s internal market structure appears to be showing a degree of resilience. While macro risks are being priced across global markets and influencing Federal Reserve expectations, on-chain flows suggest that underlying demand remains active, indicating that market participants are approaching the current environment with increasingly selective capital allocation strategies. Energy Shock Triggers ETF Outflows While On-Chain Data Shows Resilience The report further explains that the geopolitical escalation surrounding global energy supply has triggered immediate reactions across both traditional and crypto markets. Several macro indicators illustrate the scale of the shock. Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of approximately $139.2 million on March 5, reflecting a rapid shift toward risk aversion among institutional investors. At the same time, energy markets reacted strongly: Brent crude climbed to $85.41 while WTI reached $81.01, signaling that traders are pricing in potential logistical disruptions. The ripple effects extend beyond energy markets. US gasoline prices rose by roughly $0.27 per gallon during the week, demonstrating how quickly supply shocks pass through to consumers. Meanwhile, fertilizer prices have also begun to climb, creating a dual cost shock that threatens to pressure global food supply chains. Despite this macro-driven liquidity drain, Bitcoin’s on-chain structure shows signs of resilience. The report highlights the Bitcoin Exchange Netflow (Total) metric as a key indicator of market liquidity. When adjusted using a 7-day moving average to filter daily noise, exchange flows remain clearly negative even amid global risk-off sentiment. Recent daily data shows a net balance of approximately -501 BTC leaving exchanges, while weekly cumulative withdrawals reached around -6,469 BTC. This suggests that long-term holders are not seeking immediate liquidity. Instead, coins continue moving into cold storage, reducing available supply and limiting near-term selling pressure as the market navigates the broader macro shock. Bitcoin Tests Long-Term Support After Market Repricing The weekly chart shows Bitcoin trading near $69,700 as the market attempts to stabilize following a sharp correction from the late-2025 highs. After reaching levels above $110,000 during the peak of the rally, BTC entered a corrective phase marked by lower highs and increasing volatility. The recent decline pushed price toward the $65,000 region before buyers stepped in, producing the current rebound attempt around the $70,000 level. Technically, Bitcoin is now positioned between several key moving averages that define the broader trend. The price is currently trading below the 50-week moving average, which sits near the $90,000 region and is now acting as dynamic resistance. Meanwhile, the 100-week moving average is positioned around the mid-$80,000 zone, reinforcing the overhead pressure that emerged after the breakdown earlier this year. On the downside, the 200-week moving average continues to trend upward near the $58,000–$60,000 range, forming a major long-term support level for the current cycle. Historically, this moving average has served as a structural floor during major market corrections. From a macro perspective, Bitcoin remains within a broader multi-year uptrend despite the recent drawdown. The current consolidation around $70,000 suggests the market is attempting to establish a new support base before determining whether the next move will be a deeper correction or a renewed attempt to reclaim higher levels. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
7 Mar 2026, 08:53
Pi Network’s PI Taps 3-Month High, Bitcoin (BTC) Fights for $68K: Weekend Watch
Bitcoin’s price failed to maintain the $70,000 level and has dropped by an additional two grand since then, currently fighting for the $68,000 support. The altcoins are bleeding out as well daily, with ETH going below $2,000, and BNB dipping beneath $630. PI is among the few exceptions today with a notable price surge. BTC Drops to $68K Last Saturday was quite eventful as the US and Israel initiated air strikes against Iran. The Middle Eastern country retaliated immediately against numerous nations in the region, even though its Supreme Leader was killed during the attacks. BTC reacted with an immediate price drop from $67,000 to $63,000 after the initial strikes, but rebounded to $68,000 on the same day. Its fluctuations continued as other financial markets opened on Monday morning, but the bulls seemed in control. By Wednesday, they had driven the cryptocurrency to its highest level in a month at $74,000. After gaining $11,000 since the Saturday low, BTC was due for a correction that began on the same day and culminated earlier on Saturday. As reported yesterday, bitcoin lost the $70,000 level following a weak US jobs report and Trump’s latest remarks on Iran and Cuba. It kept dropping to a multi-day low of $67,500 marked on Saturday morning. It has rebounded to roughy $68,000 since then, but it’s still 4% down daily. Its market cap has declined to $1.360 trillion, while its dominance over the alts is at 56.6%. BTCUSD Mar 7. Source: TradingView PI Defies the Market The graph below will clearly demonstrate that the bears continue to dominate the altcoin market. ETH is down by nearly 5% to under $2,000 now, SOL has lost a similar percentage to $84, while BNB, XRP, DOGE, BCH, and XMR are down by 2-3%. Even more painful losses are evident from SKY, ZEC, SUI, and AAVE. In fact, the only notable exception from the top 100 alts is Pi Network’s native token. PI has soared by another 13% daily and now trades close to $0.23 for the first time in three months. Perhaps the most probable reason behind this impressive performance is the ongoing protocol updates . Nevertheless, the total crypto market cap has shed over $50 billion in a day and is down to $2.4 trillion on CG. Cryptocurrency Market Overview Mar 7. Source: QuantifyCrypto The post Pi Network’s PI Taps 3-Month High, Bitcoin (BTC) Fights for $68K: Weekend Watch appeared first on CryptoPotato .
