hodler

18 May 2026, 17:58

Price predictions 5/18: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, HYPE, ADA

Bitcoin dropped to the crucial $76,000 support level while large-cap altcoins sold off sharply. Do technical charts suggest that traders will buy the dip?

18 May 2026, 17:38

Galaxy Wins NY BitLicense, Revolut Launches Dogecoin Card as Regulated Crypto Expands

Crypto News Galaxy Digital announced Monday that New York regulators approved its application for a BitLicense and money transmitter license, opening institutional digital asset trading and custody...

18 May 2026, 17:34

Goldman Sachs closes Solana position

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS ) fully exited its Solana ( SOL ) spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) holdings in the first quarter of 2026. According to the bank’s latest Form 13F filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), submitted on May 15, 2026, the bank reversed its Solana position of about $108 million. Over the first three months of 2026, Goldman Sachs exited its positions from Grayscale, Bitwise, Fidelity, VanEck, 21Shares, and Franklin Templeton, based on analysis done by Finbold on May 18. Goldman Sachs exited its Solana position alongside its XRP holdings, as Finbold reported . However, the bank retained its Bitcoin ( BTC ) and Ethereum ( ETH ) positions, suggesting a calculated move to reduce risk exposure to volatile altcoins. Furthermore, the bank’s Bitcoin ETF exposure was approximately $715 million, down around 10% from the prior quarter. On the other hand, Goldman Sachs’ Ethereum holdings decreased by nearly 70% from the previous quarter to about $114 million via the BlackRock iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA). Solana price falls as Goldman Sachs exits Solana price has signaled further bearish sentiment as Goldman Sachs liquidated its position. Over the past seven days, SOL price fell by over 13%, trading at about $84.31 at the time of publication. As such, the token’s market cap declined to roughly $48.8 billion. SOL/USD 7-day chart. Source: Finbold The sharp reversal from Goldman Sachs SOL’s position during the first quarter of 2026 could signal a reduced demand from institutional investors. Moreover, this altcoin has been trapped in a multi-month selling pressure despite its ecosystem growth in Q1, as Finbold previously explained . As such, if Goldman Sachs leads other institutional investors in accumulating SOL over the coming few months, a potential reversal from the macro bear market could be established. However, if selling pressure persists, the altcoin could see further bearish sentiment. The post Goldman Sachs closes Solana position appeared first on Finbold .

18 May 2026, 17:30

Australian Dollar Gains Ground as Easing Iran Tensions Weigh on USD; RBA Minutes in Focus

BitcoinWorld Australian Dollar Gains Ground as Easing Iran Tensions Weigh on USD; RBA Minutes in Focus The Australian Dollar (AUD) edged higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, capitalizing on a softer greenback as geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran showed signs of de-escalation. The move comes ahead of the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) meeting minutes, which traders will scrutinize for clues on the central bank’s policy outlook. Geopolitical Relief Fuels Risk Appetite Reports indicating a potential diplomatic resolution between Iran and key Western nations have dampened safe-haven demand for the US Dollar. This shift in sentiment has provided a tailwind for risk-sensitive currencies like the Australian Dollar, which has also found support from a modest uptick in iron ore prices. The AUD/USD pair recovered from early Asian session lows, trading near the 0.6600 handle. RBA Minutes in the Spotlight Market participants are now turning their attention to the RBA’s minutes from the June policy meeting, due for release on Tuesday. The central bank held rates steady at 4.35% last month, maintaining a cautious stance amid persistent inflation. Traders will be looking for any dovish or hawkish shifts in language that could signal the timing of a potential rate cut. What to Watch in the RBA Minutes Key areas of interest include the RBA’s updated inflation forecasts, commentary on the labor market, and any mention of the impact of geopolitical developments on the domestic economy. A more cautious tone could limit the AUD’s upside, while any indication of concern over sticky inflation might reinforce expectations of a prolonged hold, offering support to the currency. Conclusion The Australian Dollar’s recent advance is largely a function of a weaker USD driven by easing geopolitical fears. However, the sustainability of this move will depend heavily on the RBA minutes and broader risk sentiment. Any surprise dovish signal from the RBA could quickly reverse the AUD’s gains. FAQs Q1: Why did the Australian Dollar rise against the US Dollar? The Australian Dollar rose primarily because the US Dollar weakened as geopolitical tensions around Iran eased, reducing safe-haven demand for the greenback. Q2: What are the RBA minutes and why do they matter? The RBA minutes are a detailed record of the central bank’s latest monetary policy meeting. They matter because they provide insights into the board’s thinking on interest rates, inflation, and the economy, helping traders predict future policy moves. Q3: What could happen to the AUD/USD pair after the RBA minutes? If the minutes are hawkish (signaling a higher-for-longer rate stance), the AUD could strengthen further. If they are dovish (hinting at future rate cuts), the AUD may give back its recent gains. This post Australian Dollar Gains Ground as Easing Iran Tensions Weigh on USD; RBA Minutes in Focus first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

18 May 2026, 17:27

BitGo: Institutional Crypto Infrastructure At A Discount

Summary BitGo Holdings is rated a Buy with a 12-month price target of $15, reflecting misunderstood post-IPO weakness rather than deteriorating fundamentals. BTGO's core business is accelerating: clients grew 42% YoY, normalized assets rose 29%, and stablecoin-as-a-service revenue surged 44% sequentially with expanding take rates. Stablecoin infrastructure and the OCC national bank charter position BTGO as a critical institutional control layer for digital assets, creating a durable competitive moat. Valuation appears attractive at 1.5–1.9x recurring platform revenue, with risk cushioned by recurring revenue streams and strong institutional adoption trends. Investment Thesis BitGo Holdings ( BTGO ) may appear messy at first glance, however, a deeper look unveils a company with sound operations. Shares have fallen significantly from all-time highs of $24.50 down to ~$9, a 63% drop. Q1 topline results also indicated a widening net loss and sequentially lower revenues, which may help explain the current share price. In my view, this selloff has been extreme. The headline figures ultimately hide two positive trends: a rapidly growing stablecoin business and a developing institutional custody platform. Although the company is currently burning cash and faces crypto volatility, investors appear to be pricing in potential failure of the underlying business model. I see this as unlikely with positive underlying characteristics, which is why I am rating BitGo a buy with a 12-month target price of $13.31. BitGo's business After its IPO in January 2026, BitGo stock saw a 25% increase shortly after, but this turned out to be temporary, with the stock falling sharply in the following months. The company provides digital asset custody services to over 5,500 institutional clients, including exchanges, asset management firms, hedge fund groups, and corporate entities that are located in over 100 different countries. This includes custody coverage for 186 of the top 250 digital assets globally by market cap. Although BitGo's primary service remains regulated cold storage custody, the firm has also expanded into staking, trading, financing, and Stablecoin-as-a-Service. At the end of Q1, Assets on Platform (AoP) were valued at $63 billion, representing a decline of 30% YoY from a value of $90.5 billion, something that can largely be attributed to crypto price fluctuations. On a price-normalized basis, which adjusts prior-period balances using current-quarter average digital asset prices, Assets on Platform increased ~29% YoY. As far as client growth goes, there were 42% more institutional clients using BitGo’s platform compared to one year ago. This shows operational improvement YoY, even with a digital asset downturn, making today's levels appear discounted. Author The Hidden Growth Engine: Stablecoin-as-a-Service Stablecoins are starting to gain traction among institutions, largely due to recent regulatory advancements in the US. This puts BitGo in a strong position as the institutional-grade infrastructure for the creation and redemption of stablecoins. The company has also made recent launches such as the BitGo Mint platform, which supports custody and redemption for USD1 and SoFiUSD through its Stablecoin-as-a-Service segment. These are recurring revenue streams that generate income based on the volume of stablecoin transactions rather than the value or price of Bitcoin. This reduces overall dependence on digital asset values and also provides BitGo with a strong source of growth. This is evidenced by Q1 results , where stablecoin-related revenues were $38.2 million, up 43.6% QoQ. Author The company also reported that its take rate increased to 7.4%, showing pricing power improvements. This recurring fee-based revenue is also backed up by Subscription and services, which had revenue of $25.6 million, up 11.3% YoY. Although BitGo does suffer from a weak crypto market, it still has stable inflows from high-growth segments, which is something the market seems to be overlooking. Custody Is Infrastructure Now BitGo was already viewed as one of the leading players in U.S. crypto custody before going public, which seems to be a bigger deal than many investors may think. The importance of that position has grown as crypto custody has evolved from a service for speculators into an institutional requirement. Institutions can’t access a Bitcoin ETF without a qualified custodian, create tokenized assets unless they are stored in cold storage, or stake crypto without regulated infrastructure. BitGo sits at the intersection of all three, giving the company a fundamental position in digital asset infrastructure rather than just benefiting from rising asset prices. Coinbase ( COIN ) built a $50+ billion company based on this same premise, with exchanges first, then building out custody and institutional offerings over time. BitGo does not have the same size or the same scale of exchange revenue, but it does have a focused custody business catering to some of the largest institutions in the digital asset space. With the current market cap of ~$1 billion, it appears the market is underestimating that value. Q1 Numbers Total revenue was $3.77 billion, down 38.7% QoQ, but most of this decrease is simply due to how BitGo reports its derivatives trading as opposed to spot trading. Derivatives were launched early in the quarter, and this caused a shift in accounting due to the net basis they are reported on versus the gross basis used for spot trading. The net loss of $60.7 million looks more damaging than it actually is. Included within the net loss is $53.7 million worth of non-cash expenses on the company's Bitcoin treasury, plus IPO-related expenses and elevated stock-based compensation. A better operational metric to judge BitGo on, adjusted EBITDA, was only slightly negative, which isn't great but should improve as the broader crypto environment normalizes. Overall, the operational picture appears to be very different from a structurally declining company, with client growth increasing 42% YoY, compounding stablecoin revenue, and increasing take rates. Author Valuation At ~$9, BitGo is priced at ~3.9x annualized fee revenue (Stablecoin-as-a-Service + Subscriptions and Services), which looks relatively low given the stablecoin industry's growth rates. The overall revenue includes digital asset sales as well, but this is very low margin, making the annualized fee revenue the main valuation metric. The annualized fee revenue metric doesn't account for expected sequential growth, which BitGo expects sequentially for both segments. Due to this and the momentum in the overall digital asset industry, I believe current levels fail to reflect the full growth potential of BitGo as more institutions look to enter the ecosystem. Applying a 6x annualized fee revenue multiple results in an equity value of $1.5 billion, implying a price per share of ~$13.31 when dividing by shares outstanding of ~115 million. This represents my 12-month price target as investors begin to see normalized operations and the underlying strength in the fee-related growth drivers. Risks The biggest risk is exposure to the cryptocurrency markets. If investors lose confidence in cryptocurrencies and a selloff occurs, AoP will fall, staking rewards will decline, and investor sentiment may worsen. This could cause further declines in stock price, with much of the company's value tied to the digital asset environment. Another risk is execution with segments such as its Stablecoin-as-a-Service segment, which has potential but is also an emerging industry. If there is a slowdown in stablecoin usage, due to either competitive challenges or new regulations, it could hurt BitGo's growth story. Conclusion BitGo is still a pre-profitability company with potential for volatility related to crypto; however, at current levels, this risk appears overly priced in. Although the stock is pricing in substantial risk, the company remains a solidly positioned institutional custody platform with a rapidly expanding stablecoin infrastructure business and strong client growth. With shares now appearing de-risked, I believe the stock represents a buying opportunity for long-term investors who believe in the outlook of digital assets, beyond just crypto. In my view, the stablecoin portion of the business is likely to compound, and IPO-related expenses should fade, making way for the stock to reach $13.31 within the next 12 months, which is why I'm rating the stock a Buy.

18 May 2026, 17:15

Bitcoin Liquidation Alert: Coinglass Data Shows $1.77 Billion at Risk Above $80,600

BitcoinWorld Bitcoin Liquidation Alert: Coinglass Data Shows $1.77 Billion at Risk Above $80,600 New data from Coinglass reveals that a Bitcoin price move above $80,634 could trigger approximately $1.771 billion in cumulative short liquidations across major centralized exchanges. The analysis, based on aggregated open interest and leverage data, highlights a critical resistance level that traders are watching closely. Key Liquidation Levels for Bitcoin According to Coinglass’s liquidation heatmap, a break above the $80,634 threshold would liquidate short positions totaling $1.771 billion. Conversely, a drop below $73,578 could result in the liquidation of around $1.635 billion in long positions. These figures represent the total value of positions that would be forcibly closed if the price reaches those levels, potentially amplifying market volatility. Market Context and Implications The data reflects the current state of leveraged trading in the Bitcoin market. Large liquidation clusters often act as price magnets, as market makers and algorithms anticipate and react to these levels. A move above $80,600 could trigger a short squeeze, rapidly pushing prices higher as short sellers are forced to buy back Bitcoin to cover their positions. Similarly, a decline below $73,500 could accelerate selling pressure from long liquidations. What This Means for Traders For traders, these levels represent both opportunity and risk. The concentration of liquidations suggests that the market is poised for a significant move, but the direction remains uncertain. The data from Coinglass is based on real-time open interest and is updated as market conditions change. Traders should monitor these levels closely, as they can shift with new positions entering the market. Conclusion The Coinglass data provides a clear snapshot of the current leverage landscape in Bitcoin trading. The $80,634 and $73,578 levels are critical thresholds that could define the next major price movement. As always, leveraged trading carries substantial risk, and these figures underscore the potential for sharp, rapid price changes in the cryptocurrency market. FAQs Q1: What is a liquidation in cryptocurrency trading? A liquidation occurs when a trader’s leveraged position is forcibly closed by the exchange because the margin balance has fallen below the required maintenance level. This happens when the price moves against the trader’s position. Q2: How does Coinglass calculate these liquidation figures? Coinglass aggregates open interest and leverage data from major centralized exchanges. The liquidation estimates are based on the total value of positions that would be liquidated if the price reaches a specific level, assuming current market conditions remain unchanged. Q3: Why are these specific price levels important? These levels represent concentrations of leveraged positions. Large liquidation clusters can act as support or resistance, and when triggered, they can amplify price movements, leading to increased volatility. This post Bitcoin Liquidation Alert: Coinglass Data Shows $1.77 Billion at Risk Above $80,600 first appeared on BitcoinWorld .