Invest ideasNews
21 Feb 2026, 03:05
Lyn Alden: AI Summit Could Trigger BTC Rally
Lyn Alden predicts that BTC will rise with the AI stock peak. Price 68.028$, RSI 37.45 oversold. Institutional buying is increasing, quantum transition 7 years. Critical support 67.914$. Sideways g...
21 Feb 2026, 03:00
Why Bitcoin Could Be Headed For Another Drop: Research Firm Cites Three Key Risks
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently holding below the key $70,000 level. Still, a new report from data and research firm Ecoinometrics suggests that the market may not be building a base for recovery. Instead, the firm argues that the cryptocurrency remains vulnerable to another downward move, driven by three overlapping forces: weakening equity momentum, structural changes in Bitcoin’s volatility profile, and a Federal Reserve (Fed) that is steady but not supportive. Structural Headwinds For Bitcoin According to the report, Bitcoin no longer trades in isolation. It has become increasingly linked to equity markets, capital flows, and broader macroeconomic conditions. At the moment, that linkage is not working in its favor. Bitcoin is already showing signs of weakness, equity markets are losing steam, and the Federal Reserve is maintaining a neutral stance that offers little additional liquidity support. Together, those factors keep downside risks elevated. Related Reading: ‘Sell Bitcoin Now,’ Peter Schiff Warns, Predicts $20,000 Target On Breakdown While Bitcoin has attempted to stabilize in recent weeks, Ecoinometrics cautions that this does not resemble a clear bottoming pattern. Rather, it looks more like a pause within an ongoing bear phase. Structural headwinds are already in place, as highlighted by the firm, including continued outflows from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and a broader “risk-off” environment in financial markets. The report noted that Bitcoin is trading below its long-term trend, with its 200-day moving average (currently above $100,000) turning downward and rallies repeatedly failing beneath that level — a classic sign of a bearish structure. By contrast, the Nasdaq 100 has stalled for roughly three months, but its 200-day moving average is still rising. That suggests equities are slowing but have not yet entered a confirmed structural downturn. The distinction is important. When Bitcoin weakens on its own, declines can unfold gradually. However, history shows that when equities roll over decisively, Bitcoin tends to fall sharply alongside them. Lower Volatility, Higher Correlation Beyond price action, the firm highlights a deeper structural shift in Bitcoin’s behavior: a marked compression in volatility. In prior cycles, 12-month realized volatility surged dramatically during both bull markets and subsequent crashes. This time, even after a full bear-bull-bear sequence since 2022, volatility has not returned to those previous extremes. In fact, peak volatility in the current cycle has been materially lower. This change reflects who is driving demand. ETF flows now play a dominant role in shaping trends. These flows are typically larger, steadier, and more systematic than the retail-driven surges that characterized earlier cycles. Bitcoin, in other words, has become embedded within institutional portfolios, often sitting alongside technology and growth stocks. That shift brings advantages, including lower volatility and more predictable flow patterns. It may also strengthen Bitcoin’s long-term durability. However, it comes with a trade-off: deeper sensitivity to equity market drawdowns. Ecoinometrics asserts that as BTC becomes more integrated into the broader risk-on complex, it behaves more like a component of that system rather than a detached speculative asset. Downside Risks Grow On the policy front, Ecoinometrics suggests the Fed’s posture remains largely unchanged: inflation has improved but is not fully contained, and the labor market remains resilient. Related Reading: House Democrats Urge Treasury Probe Into Trump Family’s Crypto Venture As a result, rate cuts are not urgent, and rate hikes are not imminent. The communications index sits well below the tightening peak seen in 2022 and far above the crisis-level dovishness of 2020, placing current policy in the middle ground. For Bitcoin, that steady stance removes the risk of a sudden policy shock, but it does not provide a tailwind. The firm said in a fragile market, stability may be preferable to tightening, yet it offers little support if risk assets begin to slide. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
21 Feb 2026, 03:00
Dogecoin Price Eyes $0.74 After Signs of 500% Upside Potential
Dogecoin (DOGE) is currently changing hands at $0.09846, up 2.7% over the past 24 hours, indicating strengthening short-term bullish momentum across the market. Buyers have shown renewed confidence after recent weakness and are actively defending key price levels. Price has reclaimed the $0.0975 area, helping shift sentiment in a more positive direction. This recovery reflects increasing demand and improved participation from traders. If buying pressure remains steady, DOGE could attempt a move toward the $0.0995 to $0.100 resistance zone. Dogecoin Eyes $0.73905 as Key Upside Targets Remain in Play According to JAVON⚡️MARKS’ chart highlights Dogecoin’s repeating macro breakout structure. After each correction, DOGE forms a falling wedge before launching higher. Every breakout previously pushed the price to a new all-time high. The last major peak reached approximately $0.73905. Current price action is holding above a rising macro trendline. This support structure mirrors previous pre-expansion phases. The pattern suggests the broader bullish cycle remains intact. The analyst states there are no targets below $0.6533. A move toward $0.73905 would retest the prior all-time high. From the $0.10–$0.12 region, this implies massive upside potential. The projected move represents roughly 550% to 640% gains. Similar percentage rallies occurred in prior cycles. Holding higher lows keeps the bullish structure valid. A breakout could send DOGE toward $0.65–$0.74 and beyond. Dogecoin Shows Signs of Short-Term Bounce Amid Prolonged Downtrend Dogecoin remains in a clear downtrend on the daily chart, with price trading near $0.098. Lower highs are visible after repeated rejections below the $0.100–$0.102 resistance zone. Support has weakened around $0.095, with sellers defending rallies aggressively. Unless price reclaims above $0.10, the bearish structure stays intact. The MACD remains below the signal line, confirming bearish momentum, though histogram bars are shrinking, suggesting selling pressure is slowing. The relative strength index (RSI) is near 42, recovering from lower levels, which indicates reduced downside strength but not bullish momentum yet
21 Feb 2026, 03:00
Bitcoin Losses Now Equal 19% Of Market Cap, Echoing May 2022
Analytics firm Glassnode has highlighted how the current Bitcoin market pain echoes May 2022 based on the trend in the Relative Unrealized Loss. Bitcoin Relative Unrealized Loss Has Shot Up Recently As explained by Glassnode in a new post on X, the current structure of the Bitcoin Relative Unrealized Loss could mirror May 2022. The “ Relative Unrealized Loss ” is an on-chain indicator that measures the amount of unrealized loss being held by BTC investors as a whole as a percentage of the asset’s market cap. The metric works by going through the transaction history of each coin on the blockchain to determine the last price it was moved at. If this last selling price was less than the current spot price for any token, then the indicator considers that particular coin to be underwater right now. The exact degree of loss carried by the token is equal to the difference between the two prices. The Relative Unrealized Loss sums up this value for all underwater coins and calculates what part of the market cap that it makes up for. Another indicator called the Relative Unrealized Profit tracks the tokens of the opposite type. Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Relative Unrealized Loss over the last several years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Relative Unrealized Loss has witnessed a rise as the cryptocurrency’s price has gone through a bearish shift in recent months. The latest crash to $60,000, in particular, induced a sharp surge in the indicator. Currently, the Relative Unrealized Loss is sitting at a value of about 19% as the asset trades near $67,000. From the chart, it’s apparent that this is the highest level that the indicator has hit since 2023. But more importantly, the recent trajectory in the metric has looked reminiscent to that witnessed during the bear-market transition from the last cycle. “Current market pain echoes a similar structure seen in May 2022,” noted Glassnode. The bear market of 2022 didn’t reach its bottom until the FTX crash put investors in an unrealized loss exceeding 60% of the market cap. It now remains to be seen when Bitcoin will reach a low this time around. In some other news, the market downturn that has followed since the October all-time high (ATH) has resulted in the largest drawdown in history for the US spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), as the analytics firm has pointed out in another X post . At the moment, Bitcoin spot ETFs are down 100,300 BTC. “Institutional de-risking has added structural weight to the ongoing weakness, reinforcing the broader risk-off environment,” explained Glassnode. BTC Price Bitcoin has been stuck in consolidation recently as its price is floating around $66,700.
21 Feb 2026, 03:00
+152 Billion Shiba Inu (SHIB) In Mere 24 Hours: Exchange Inflows Prompt More Selling
Shiba Inu is close to a proper recovery, but on the short-term time frame, it is not getting better.
21 Feb 2026, 02:35
OpenAI resets spending plan, cuts its 2030 compute spending target to $600 billion
OpenAI has told investors it now plans to spend about $600 billion on total compute by 2030. That replaces the earlier $1.4 trillion infrastructure figure that CEO Sam Altman had discussed months ago. The new number comes with a clearer timeline. US media alleges that the lower target follows concern that expansion plans were too aggressive compared with expected revenue. OpenAI is now projecting more than $280 billion in total revenue by 2030, with consumer and enterprise segments contributing almost equally. Reportedly , the revised spending plan ties directly to that revenue outlook. OpenAI resets spending plan As Cryptopolitan reported during the second half of last year, OpenAI announced many multibillion-dollar infrastructure agreements after partnering with major chipmakers and cloud providers to expand supercomputing capacity. Meanwhile, Nvidia has confirmed that it is in talks to invest up to $30 billion in OpenAI as part of a funding round. That round could value OpenAI at a $730 billion pre-money valuation. The potential $30 billion investment is separate from the $100 billion infrastructure agreement announced in September between Nvidia and OpenAI. A person familiar with the matter said the $30 billion is not tied to deployment milestones. The September framework was different. It outlined Nvidia investing over several years as new supercomputing facilities came online. At the time, it was said that Nvidia’s first $10 billion would be deployed once the first gigawatt facility was completed. The possible $30 billion investment does not follow that same structure. However, the person said Nvidia could still participate in future rounds that align with the September framework. OpenAI reported $13.1 billion in revenue for 2025. That exceeded its $10 billion target. The company burned $8 billion during the year, below its earlier $9 billion spending target. These numbers were shared by sources familiar with internal figures. Nvidia faces earnings spotlight OpenAI started in 2015 as a nonprofit research lab. It became mainstream after launching ChatGPT in 2022. ChatGPT now serves more than 900 million weekly active users, up from 800 million in October, according to people with knowledge of the data. The coding tool Codex has passed 1.5 million weekly active users. Codex competes with Anthropic’s Claude Code, which has gained adoption over the past year. Nvidia is set to release quarterly earnings on Wednesday. Investors are watching closely as concerns grow about returns on artificial intelligence spending. Nvidia is currently the largest company in the world by market capitalization. Its stock surged after ChatGPT launched in late 2022. So far in 2026, shares of Nvidia and other Magnificent Seven companies have stalled. Markets are also watching upcoming earnings from Salesforce and Intuit. Software stocks have fallen this year. Investors worry that artificial intelligence will disrupt traditional business models. In November, Nvidia stated in its quarterly report that there was “no assurance that we will enter into definitive agreements with respect to the OpenAI opportunity or other potential investments.” Sam Altman responded to speculation on X, writing that OpenAI loves working with Nvidia and that he does not “get where all this insanity is coming from.” Earlier this month, Jensen Huang told Jim Cramer there was “no question” Nvidia would invest in OpenAI’s next funding round. Claim your free seat in an exclusive crypto trading community - limited to 1,000 members.
