Invest ideasNews
7 Feb 2026, 11:03
Crypto markets predict Bitcoin’s price for end of February 2026
Cryptocurrency prediction markets are suggesting that Bitcoin ( BTC ) is likely to trade in a narrow range by the end of February amid increased volatility for the asset. Indeed, the outlook suggests that Bitcoin could potentially end the month valued above $70,000, marking a notable recovery from the asset’s recent crash that saw prices plunge below $65,000. Now, data from Polymarket suggests that the $75,000 level currently carries the highest implied probability, at 54%, making it the most favored outcome among traders. The pricing points to expectations of consolidation rather than a sharp directional move before month-end. Downside scenarios remain actively priced in, with a move toward $60,000 assigned a 42% probability and $55,000 at 23%, reflecting ongoing caution amid macroeconomic uncertainty and uneven risk appetite across digital assets. Bitcoin price prediction. Source: Polymarket On the upside, expectations weaken above current ranges, with $80,000 carrying a 25% chance and $85,000 priced at 12%, while price targets above $100,000 all show single-digit probabilities. Overall, the distribution of probabilities points to a market leaning toward stability rather than extreme volatility, with $75,000 emerging as the most likely Bitcoin price by the end of February 2026 based on current odds. Bitcoin rebounds after massive sell-off The outlook comes as Bitcoin experienced a rollercoaster ride over the course of the week. In this line, the maiden cryptocurrency rebounded sharply on Friday, surging back above $70,000 after plunging to just over $60,000 a day earlier in one of its steepest single-day sell-offs in years. By press time, Bitcoin was trading at $68,314, having gained over 3% in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin seven-day price chart. Source: Finbold The rebound marked Bitcoin’s largest daily percentage gain since early 2023, with trading volume jumping to roughly $90 billion and market capitalization near $1.37 trillion. Notably, the recovery followed a brutal Thursday rout that briefly pushed prices below $60,000, Bitcoin’s lowest level since October 2024, and triggered more than $2.6 billion in liquidations across the crypto market. The sell-off erased much of Bitcoin’s late-2024 post-election rally, leaving it more than 45% below its October 2025 record high of around $126,000. Analysts pointed to risk-off sentiment, rising Treasury yields, macroeconomic uncertainty, and heavy outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs as key drivers. While Friday’s bounce, supported by oversold technical signals and stabilization in broader risk assets, has eased fears of a deeper downturn, sentiment remains fragile. Traders are closely watching support around $60,000–$65,000, with resistance near $75,000 if momentum holds, highlighting Bitcoin’s persistent volatility despite growing institutional adoption. Featured image via Shutterstock The post Crypto markets predict Bitcoin’s price for end of February 2026 appeared first on Finbold .
7 Feb 2026, 11:00
Strategy shrugs off Q4 loss: ‘Bitcoin must hit $8K to force a sale’
Strategy was still confident with its BTC bet despite massive paper loss
7 Feb 2026, 11:00
Two California high school students arrested for home invasion plot to steal crypto
Two California high school students have been arrested in a plot to steal a cryptocurrency stash. According to reports, the California high schoolers were arrested in Scottsdale, Arizona, after they allegedly posed as deliverymen to get into an apartment where they had been told $66 million in digital assets was stashed. According to court documents, the California duo claimed they had never seen each other before, and that unknown people on the Signal app extorted them into participating in the burglary plot. The police claimed that they were able to foil the home invasion after they received emergency reports around 10:45 AM Saturday, January 31. The responding officers claimed they heard a woman screaming and claimed they saw a man struggling with a youth when they got on site. The officers claimed the duo left the house when they realized the police had come in from the front door. California high schoolers arrested in home invasion plot The police said they were able to chase the suspects, who drove off in a blue Subaru after fleeing through the back door of the house. The pursuit ended when the boys were boxed in at a dead-end, the police statement said. The police were able to identify the first culprit as a 17-year-old from San Luis Obispo, who attended the San Luis Obispo High School, while the second was a 16-year-old from Morro Bay, who attended Pacific Beach High School in the same area. The California high schoolers claimed they were sent $1,000 to buy disguises and restraining devices. They were also given the address of the home in Scottsdale’s Sweetwater Ranch neighborhood, 600 miles from where they live. The California students claimed that their contact on the Signal encrypted messaging app, whom they only identified as 8 and Red, instructed them to get into the house and force the residents to hand over their digital assets to them, the duo said. The police said they found UPS-style clothing, zip ties, duct tape, and a 3D-printed gun left behind at the scene after the attackers fled. The mother of one of the teens also reportedly contacted police in California after accessing phone messages concerning the plot, but the Scottsdale police said they didn’t receive the information until after the break-in was carried out. The boys were booked into a Maricopa County juvenile detention facility on several charges. Police confirm charges as search continues for Nancy Guthrie According to the police, the duo will be charged with crimes including aggravated assault, kidnapping, and second-degree burglary. They have since been released on $50,000 bail with ankle monitors fitted to monitor their movements. The police didn’t report whether the homeowners suffered any injuries during the invasion. They claimed that their adult son had been in the home with them when the invasion occurred and was able to call 911 while hiding from the intruders. The home invasion took place in Scottsdale, about two hours north of Tucson, where investigators are still trying to piece together what happened to Nancy Guthrie , the mother of host Savannah Guthrie. Nancy Guthrie was last seen at home around 9:30 PM on January 31, according to the Pima County Sheriff’s Department. Investigators believe Nancy was abducted. Her blood was found on her porch during the investigation, authorities said on Thursday. In addition to her disappearance, TMZ reported receiving a possible ransom note that millions of dollars in digital assets be sent to a specific Bitcoin address. The wallet address was confirmed to be functional. According to authorities, the note also contained a deadline, with TMZ also reportedly receiving an element of or else. The note lists two deadlines, with TMZ noting that the latter is more serious. The FBI confirmed that the first deadline was 5 PM on Thursday, while the second deadline is on Monday. Don’t just read crypto news. Understand it. Subscribe to our newsletter. It's free .
7 Feb 2026, 11:00
Coinbase Premium Turns Positive Since Mid-January As Bitcoin Sees Price Relief
Amid a recent Bitcoin price rebound, Coinbase Premium data shows that American investors are renewing their bullish interest. Notably, the latest price relief only closes a negatively volatile trading week in which Bitcoin experienced a free price fall, as 30% loss pushed prices to around $60,000. This market plunge by the premier cryptocurrency has been attributed to many factors, including collapsing leverages, high levels of ETF outflows, metals market volatility, and also investors’ expectations in line with the typical boom and bust market cycle. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Off May Be Done, Analyst Flags Recovery Signs Coinbase Premium Turns Positive After Successful $60K Retest The Coinbase Premium, one of the most important Bitcoin market indicators, shows the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and its price on other major exchanges. It is largely used to measure how much more or less US investors are paying to acquire Bitcoin compared to international traders. According to Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, the Coinbase premium has maintained a negative value since mid-January, suggesting that US traders valued the asset lower compared to their global counterparts, leading to a weak market demand. However, since Bitcoin bounced off the $60,000 support following the recent bloodbath, the American market participants have rediscovered their market confidence as indicated by a rising demand and corresponding movement of the Coinbase Premium into a positive zone. During this time, the flagship cryptocurrency has shown moderate resilience, climbing by over 16% to presently trade around $70,000. However, it is worth noting that the positive Coinbase Premium reading does not singularly confirm an impending full-scale recovery. Other factors need to be considered, including macroeconomic developments such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and liquidity tightening policies, overall global market sentiment, and geopolitical stability. Related Reading: Dogecoin Drops Below $0.09 as Market Weakness Outweighs Musk Hype Bitcoin Market Overview At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $68,892, representing a 6.44% gain in the past day. However, significant losses of 17.34% and 23.38% on the weekly and monthly charts, respectively, show the asset is still deep in bearish territory. According to a recent post from CryptoQuant, Bitcoin has been about 50% away from its all-time high (ATH). Notably, recent bear markets recorded price slumps as low as 70%-80% indicating, indicating that there is a high possibility of a deeper price correction. However, CryptoQuant analysts warn that the bigger concern is time capitulation, i.e., how long this market winter will stay compared to how low prices may fall. With a market cap of $1.4 trillion, Bitcoin continues to account for over 55% of the total crypto market cap and is the largest digital asset in the world. Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview
7 Feb 2026, 10:50
21Shares seeks approval for ONDO ETF
21Shares has revised details of its US exchange-traded fund filing tracking ONDO, the native token of the real-world asset tokenization platform. The crypto ETP company filed the amended S-1 document with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Thursday. In a reaction post on social platform X, Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas mentioned the development late Friday, joking that the product’s name sounded “like a planet in Star Wars.” 21Shares filing for an Ondo ETF. Never heard of this one, sounds like the name of a planet in Star Wars. pic.twitter.com/qtXql94nfO — Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) February 6, 2026 The S-1/A submission is a follow-up on 21Shares’ first filing for a “21Shares Ondo Trust,” which the SEC posted on its website on July 22, 2025. The issuer has now rebranded the so-called trust as the “21Shares Ondo ETF” and specified Nasdaq as the intended listing destination, pending regulatory approval. 21Shares is the first asset management firm to seek to wrap ONDO exposure into a traditional brokerage product. 21Shares revises ONDO ETF proposal According to the original S-1 document, 21Shares had indicated in their note that the trust would be a passive fund. It would hold ONDO and use a third-party benchmark to track the dollar price of ONDO. The first submission outlined shares would be created and redeemed through large blocks called “Baskets,” handled by broker-dealers. But the revised proposal designates basket size to blocks of 10,000 shares per basket. The basket size affects how market makers arbitrage premiums and discounts in the secondary market. The amendment also says brokers can create shares by depositing cash with the fund’s cash custodian. The sponsor then automatically instructs a third party to buy the ONDO needed for that order and deliver the tokens into the fund’s custody accounts. When an authorized participant redeems for cash, the sponsor directs a custodian to transfer ONDO to a designated counterparty, which sells the tokens and deposits cash proceeds back into the fund’s cash account for settlement. The prospectus states that any slippage or trading costs associated with cash creations or redemptions are borne by the Authorized Participant, not the trust or the sponsor. While last July’s filing said the trust would custody ONDO at a single regulated third-party custodian, Coinbase, the amendment changes that to a dual-custodian model by adding BitGo Bank & Trust, N.A. BitGo is a federally chartered national trust bank and received a national bank charter from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency in December last year. The S-1/A prospectus also introduces “Vault Balance” and distinguishes “Cold Vault Balance” from “Hot Vault Balance.” It says the sponsor expects assets and keys to be held in cold storage on an ongoing basis, with hot wallets used at times for settlement. There are three review paths after the amendment, owing to the SEC’s new formal process for approving exchange-traded funds. The best-case scenario will see ONDO ETF’s registration go live 20 to 75 days after the amendment, putting the earliest window between late February and mid-April 2026. Ondo Finance RWA footprint and WLF ties ONDO has appeared in political headlines through World Liberty Financial, the DeFi project affiliated with President Donald Trump’s family. Last year, WLF bought $500,000 worth of the token for a multi-asset treasury. In other related news, Consensys’ MetaMask has tapped Ondo Finance to offer tokenized securities. Per a press statement released by the wallet service provider on Tuesday, eligible MetaMask users in non-US countries now have access to 200 tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities, including gold and silver, on Ethereum. Users acquire the tokenized exposure through MetaMask Swaps by swapping Circle’s USDC stablecoin into Ondo Global Markets tokens. However, the product is not available for users in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and several jurisdictions in the European Economic Area. If you're reading this, you’re already ahead. Stay there with our newsletter .
7 Feb 2026, 10:30
Erebor Bank secures first new US bank charter under Trump
The government of President Donald Trump has officially authorized a technology company that supports the crypto industry to operate as a national bank. Even while there is still discussion in Washington about integrating digital assets into the federal system, the decision comes as the OCC suggests a move towards more “innovation-friendly” banking laws. Erebor Bank was authorized by federal banking officials on Friday to start operations nationwide. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency approved the application less than eight months after it was first filed, demonstrating a relatively quick reaction by federal regulators, according to analysts. Some senators, notably Senator Elizabeth Warren, have expressed concerns about the risks of expediting charters for corporations with a cryptocurrency concentration. The OCC has refrained from commenting on the situation immediately. Venture capital backing Palmer Luckey, who helped create the Oculus virtual reality headset and also started the defense technology company Anduril, launched the banking venture. He borrowed the institution’s name from J.R.R. Tolkien’s fantasy novels, where Erebor refers to the “Lonely Mountain.” The naming approach mirrors Luckey’s other business ventures, Anduril and Palantir , which also draw from themes of protection and complex technology. The project is receiving funding from a number of well-known technology investment firms. Andreessen Horowitz, Founders Fund, Lux Capital, 8VC, and Elad Gil are all backing the bank. Joe Lonsdale, co-founder of Palantir, has confirmed his investment. Peter Thiel is reportedly behind the initiative as well. With an initial financing of about $635 million, the bank will have a lot of resources to work with right now. Last year, the company was worth about $2 billion during one funding round. That figure jumped to $4 billion after the bank secured another $350 million, with Lux Capital leading that round late last year. The new bank aims to fill a gap in the market that emerged after Silicon Valley Bank failed in 2023. That institution had been crucial for young technology companies and venture capital firms that traditional banks often viewed as too high-risk to work with. When Silicon Valley Bank went under, technology startups across the industry found themselves scrambling to access money and handle basic needs such as paying employees. “You can think of us like a farmers’ bank for tech,” Luckey explained. He noted that regular banks frequently lack the specialized knowledge to properly evaluate startups that own unusual types of assets. Erebor plans to concentrate on new industries involving complex hardware and advanced technical research. Palmer Luckey touts Erebor Bank’s “cutting-edge” approach Source: @PalmerLuckey . The bank wants to work with businesses building factories run by artificial intelligence, companies making robots, and firms focused on cutting-edge manufacturing. Organizations engaged in space exploration and businesses producing medications in gravity-free environments are other possible clients. Digital asset integration The bank plans to use blockchain systems for payments that settle transactions around the clock. This differs significantly from how American banks typically function, where money transfers follow regular business hours and stop on weekends and holidays. According to Luckey, Erebor plans to provide loans that use cryptocurrency or privately held securities as collateral. They will finance purchases of expensive artificial intelligence computer chips that modern technology companies need. According to its application documents, the bank will serve both technology businesses and the people who work at or invest money in those companies. In October, the OCC gave Erebor preliminary conditional permission to move forward. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation approved the bank’s deposit insurance application in November. The bank cleared several regulatory checkpoints before receiving final approval. Now that both authorities are involved, the organization may start functioning as a full-fledged national bank, bridging the gap between traditional financial services and the rapidly expanding technology industry. Claim your free seat in an exclusive crypto trading community - limited to 1,000 members.
