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13 Apr 2026, 13:51

Bybit Private Wealth Management Reports Strong Fund Performance Amid Market Consolidation

Dubai, UAE, April 13th, 2026, Chainwire Bybit , the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, has released the latest Private Wealth Management (PWM) newsletter for March 2026 , highlighting steady performance and strategic positioning during a period of market consolidation. As March concluded, the cryptocurrency market entered what Bybit described as a phase of healthy consolidation following earlier gains. Persistent inflation and continued hawkish signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve have delayed expectations for interest rate cuts, placing short-term pressure on risk assets. At the same time, rising geopolitical tensions have underscored the role of digital assets as a borderless hedge, reinforcing their long-term relevance in diversified portfolios. Within this environment, Bybit PWM reported consistent performance across its investment strategies. The firm’s top-performing fund delivered an annual percentage rate of 25.41% during the period. USDT-based strategies achieved an average APR of 12.56%, while BTC-based strategies recorded an average APR of 6.80%. To ensure comparability across funds, Bybit aligned fund assets as of Feb. 26, 2026, and calculated net asset values using the Time-Weighted Return methodology. Performance results were benchmarked against funding arbitrage strategies to provide a standardized measure of returns. Strategy allocation data indicated a diversified approach across assets under management, with both short-term and long-term strategies contributing to overall performance. Over a 30-day period, BTC strategies generated a 6.80% APR, compared with 12.56% for USDT strategies. Over 60 days, BTC strategies returned 5.14% APR, while USDT strategies reached 14.02%. Overall APR figures stood at 5.93% for BTC strategies and 13.40% for USDT strategies. The newsletter also outlined several key market trends shaping the digital asset landscape. Inflationary pressures and a higher-for-longer interest rate environment have reduced risk appetite and limited leverage, although continued institutional inflows have provided structural support for bitcoin. The market remains bifurcated, with bitcoin maintaining approximately 60% market dominance, driven largely by institutional demand, while smaller altcoins face liquidity constraints and selling pressure. In parallel, capital rotation into real-world asset tokenization and treasury-backed products has accelerated as investors seek more stable yield opportunities. Elevated interest rates have increased the appeal of tokenized U.S. Treasury products, which are absorbing liquidity that might otherwise flow into higher-risk crypto assets. Additionally, ongoing token unlocks and venture capital distributions have contributed to downward pressure on altcoin prices, while tighter regulatory scrutiny around stablecoins has tempered broader market speculation. Bybit Private Wealth Management provides tailored wealth management services for high-net-worth clients, including customized asset allocation, risk management strategies and access to a curated selection of private funds supported by Bybit’s trading platform. Qualified investors interested in exploring Bybit Private Wealth Management services may visit: Bybit Private Wealth Management . For details of Bybit PWM’s March performance, users may visit: Bybit Private Wealth Management: March 2026 Newsletter. Disclaimer: This announcement is provided for informational purposes, and products and services referenced may be subject to regional availability and applicable terms and conditions. #Bybit / #NewFinancialPlatform About Bybit Bybit is the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, serving a global community of over 80 million users. Founded in 2018, Bybit is redefining openness in the decentralized world by creating a simpler, open, and equal ecosystem for everyone. With a strong focus on Web3, Bybit partners strategically with leading blockchain protocols to provide robust infrastructure and drive on-chain innovation. Renowned for its secure custody, diverse marketplaces, intuitive user experience, and advanced blockchain tools, Bybit bridges the gap between TradFi and DeFi, empowering builders, creators, and enthusiasts to unlock the full potential of Web3. Discover the future of decentralized finance at Bybit.com . For more details about Bybit, please visit Bybit Press For media inquiries, please contact: [email protected] For updates, please follow: Bybit's Communities and Social Media ContactTony AuHead of [email protected] Disclaimer: This is a sponsored press release and is for informational purposes only. It does not reflect the views of Crypto Daily, nor is it intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, or financial advice.

13 Apr 2026, 13:50

AUD/USD Forecast: Critical Jobs Data to Determine RBA’s Crucial Policy Path

BitcoinWorld AUD/USD Forecast: Critical Jobs Data to Determine RBA’s Crucial Policy Path SYDNEY, March 2025 – The Australian dollar faces a pivotal moment as currency traders and policymakers await crucial employment data that will directly influence the Reserve Bank of Australia’s monetary policy trajectory. According to analysis from Brown Brothers Harriman (BBH), upcoming jobs figures represent the most significant near-term catalyst for AUD/USD exchange rate movements, potentially determining whether the currency pair breaks key technical levels or consolidates within established ranges. AUD/USD Technical Analysis and Current Market Position Foreign exchange markets currently price the Australian dollar against the US dollar within a defined technical range between 0.6650 and 0.6850. This consolidation follows several months of volatility driven by shifting global risk sentiment and divergent central bank policies. The currency pair recently tested resistance at the upper boundary of this range, but failed to sustain momentum above the 0.6800 psychological level. Technical indicators present a mixed picture for AUD/USD. The 50-day moving average currently sits at 0.6720, providing immediate support, while the 200-day moving average at 0.6680 represents a more significant technical floor. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers near 55, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This technical neutrality means fundamental catalysts, particularly domestic economic data, will likely determine the next directional move. Market positioning data reveals that speculative accounts maintain a modest net long position in Australian dollar futures. However, this positioning remains well below historical extremes, indicating room for additional buying or selling pressure depending on data outcomes. Institutional investors generally express cautious optimism about Australia’s economic resilience but await confirmation through hard data before committing to more aggressive directional bets. The RBA’s Delicate Policy Balancing Act The Reserve Bank of Australia maintains one of the most challenging policy environments among developed market central banks. Governor Michele Bullock and the RBA Board must balance persistent inflation concerns against signs of economic softening in certain sectors. Their most recent policy statement emphasized data dependency, specifically highlighting labor market conditions as a critical input for future decisions. Current RBA projections anticipate gradual progress toward their 2-3% inflation target band, but acknowledge significant uncertainty around the timing of this convergence. The central bank’s latest forecasts suggest inflation may not return to the target range until late 2025 or early 2026, assuming current policy settings remain appropriate. This extended timeline increases the importance of each new data release for validating or challenging their economic assumptions. Monetary policy divergence represents another crucial factor for AUD/USD. While the Federal Reserve has signaled potential rate cuts in 2025, the RBA maintains a more hawkish stance relative to market expectations. This policy differential currently supports the Australian dollar, but could quickly reverse if domestic data suggests the RBA might need to adopt a more dovish posture than currently anticipated. Employment Data as the Primary Policy Signal Australian employment statistics serve as the most reliable leading indicator for RBA policy adjustments according to historical analysis. The central bank explicitly targets maximum sustainable employment alongside price stability, making labor market conditions a dual mandate consideration rather than merely an inflation input. Strong employment growth typically signals economic resilience that might require tighter policy, while weakening conditions could justify earlier or more aggressive easing. The upcoming jobs report will provide three critical data points: Employment Change: Market consensus expects approximately 25,000 new positions Unemployment Rate: Forecast to remain steady at 4.1% Participation Rate: Expected to hold near 66.8% Historical analysis reveals that deviations from consensus expectations of more than 10,000 jobs typically generate significant AUD/USD movements. A stronger-than-expected report could push the pair toward testing the 0.6850 resistance level, while weaker data might trigger a retest of support around 0.6650. The unemployment rate carries particular importance, as any move above 4.2% would likely increase pressure on the RBA to consider earlier rate cuts. Global Context and External Influences While domestic factors dominate near-term AUD/USD dynamics, global developments create important background conditions. China’s economic performance remains particularly relevant given Australia’s significant export exposure to its largest trading partner. Recent Chinese stimulus measures have provided some support for commodity prices and, by extension, the Australian dollar, but sustained improvement in Chinese demand data would be necessary for a more substantial boost. US dollar strength represents another external consideration. Federal Reserve policy decisions influence global capital flows and risk sentiment, creating indirect pressure on AUD/USD even when Australian-specific factors remain stable. The current environment of moderating US inflation and potential Fed easing has generally supported risk-sensitive currencies like the Australian dollar, but this dynamic could reverse if US economic data surprises to the upside. Commodity price movements, particularly for iron ore and liquefied natural gas, continue to influence Australia’s terms of trade and currency valuation. While these factors typically operate on longer timeframes than employment data, sharp commodity price movements can amplify or dampen the AUD/USD response to domestic economic releases. BBH’s Analytical Framework and Historical Precedents Brown Brothers Harriman’s currency strategy team employs a multi-factor model for forecasting AUD/USD movements that weights employment data as the most significant near-term domestic variable. Their analysis of historical episodes reveals consistent patterns where Australian dollar volatility increases substantially in the 24 hours preceding major employment releases, then resolves directionally based on the data outcome relative to expectations. The table below illustrates recent AUD/USD reactions to employment data surprises: Date Employment Change vs. Forecast AUD/USD 24-Hour Move February 2025 +15,000 above +0.8% January 2025 -8,000 below -0.6% December 2024 +22,000 above +1.2% November 2024 -12,000 below -0.9% This historical relationship suggests that the upcoming release will likely generate meaningful currency movement regardless of direction. The magnitude of response typically correlates with the degree of data surprise, with particularly large deviations sometimes triggering extended trends rather than one-day adjustments. Market Implications and Trading Considerations Currency market participants face several strategic considerations ahead of the employment data release. Option market pricing indicates elevated implied volatility for AUD/USD around the announcement time, reflecting uncertainty about both the data outcome and the RBA’s potential policy response. This volatility environment creates both risk and opportunity for traders with well-defined views on the economic outlook. Several scenarios could emerge based on the employment data: Strong across all metrics: Likely AUD/USD bullish, testing 0.6850 resistance Mixed signals: Potential for choppy, range-bound trading Weak across all metrics: Probably AUD/USD bearish, testing 0.6650 support Beyond immediate currency movements, the employment data will influence broader financial market pricing of RBA policy expectations. Current interest rate futures imply approximately 40 basis points of easing through 2025, but this pricing remains highly sensitive to incoming data. A particularly strong employment report could reduce expected easing to 25 basis points or less, while weak data might increase expectations to 50 basis points or more. Longer-term investors should consider employment trends within the context of Australia’s structural economic adjustments. The transition toward services and technology-intensive industries continues reshaping labor market dynamics, potentially altering historical relationships between employment data and currency movements. However, for the immediate future, traditional correlations likely remain intact. Conclusion The AUD/USD exchange rate faces a definitive catalyst in upcoming Australian employment data that will significantly influence the Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy path. Market participants should prepare for elevated volatility as the release approaches, with directional outcomes heavily dependent on whether the data confirms or contradicts current RBA economic assessments. While global factors provide important background context, domestic labor market conditions represent the primary near-term driver for the Australian dollar’s trajectory against its US counterpart. The employment report will either validate the currency’s recent resilience or trigger a reassessment of Australia’s economic outlook and corresponding monetary policy expectations. FAQs Q1: Why is Australian employment data so important for AUD/USD? The Reserve Bank of Australia has a dual mandate targeting both price stability and maximum sustainable employment. Labor market conditions directly influence monetary policy decisions, which in turn affect currency valuation through interest rate differentials and capital flows. Q2: What specific employment metrics matter most for currency traders? Traders focus primarily on the employment change figure, unemployment rate, and participation rate. Significant deviations from consensus expectations in any of these metrics typically generate AUD/USD movements, with the unemployment rate carrying particular policy significance. Q3: How quickly does AUD/USD typically react to employment data? Most price adjustment occurs within the first hour after release, but the full market impact sometimes unfolds over several trading sessions as participants assess implications for future RBA policy meetings. Q4: Can strong employment data offset weak Chinese economic news for AUD/USD? While domestic factors typically dominate in the short term, sustained Chinese economic weakness eventually pressures the Australian dollar through commodity demand channels. Strong employment data might provide temporary insulation but cannot completely offset major deterioration in Australia’s largest export market. Q5: What other economic indicators should traders watch alongside employment data? Wage growth figures, inflation data, and retail sales provide important complementary information about Australia’s economic health. However, employment statistics generally serve as the most timely and policy-relevant indicator for near-term RBA decisions and corresponding AUD/USD movements. This post AUD/USD Forecast: Critical Jobs Data to Determine RBA’s Crucial Policy Path first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

13 Apr 2026, 13:46

Bernstein says Bitcoin market already priced in quantum risk

Bernstein says Bitcoin’s selloff already reflects quantum risk and that developers still have time to agree on a post-quantum upgrade path.

13 Apr 2026, 13:45

Dogecoin Price Holds Range as Breakout Pressure Builds

Dogecoin remains under pressure after failing to hold recent highs, with price action showing signs of tightening consolidation. The memecoin continues to trade within a narrow range as traders assess short-term weakness. Key resistance and support levels now guide market expectations. At the same time, technical patterns and derivatives data point to a potential breakout. At the time of reporting, Dogecoin was trading at $0.09108, up by 0.09% for the past 24 hours. Descending Triangle Tightens as Breakout Probability Rises Dogecoin slipped after losing support above $0.0930, dropping to a session low of $0.0903 before a modest rebound. However, the price continues to trade below $0.0920 and remains under the 100-hour simple moving average, reflecting sustained weakness. The hourly chart confirmed a break below a bullish trend line at $0.0925, which increased near-term bearish pressure. The recovery attempt also failed to reclaim the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level between $0.0948 and $0.0903, signaling limited upside momentum. Immediate resistance now sits at $0.0925, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. Additional barriers stand at $0.0930 and $0.0938. A sustained move above these levels could open the path toward $0.0950 and $0.0980. On the downside, support begins at $0.0905, followed by the psychological $0.0900 level. Stronger support rests at $0.0880. A breakdown below this level could trigger a deeper decline toward $0.0820 or even $0.0800. Meanwhile, a descending triangle formation on the 4-hour chart continues to draw attention as price approaches the apex. Market commentary Ali Martinez shared on April 12 indicated that such compression increases the likelihood of a 30% move. The direction remains uncertain, but an upward breakout could push DOGE toward $0.11, a level last seen in early February. Rising Open Interest Signals Consolidation Before Next Move CoinGlass data showed that Dogecoin futures open interest increased by 1.61% over the past 24 hours. This rise occurred while price action remained relatively stable, reinforcing the view that the market is consolidating. Such conditions often precede a significant directional move, as positions build ahead of volatility expansion. Large traders maintained bullish positioning in derivatives markets during this period, indicating underlying confidence. In contrast, retail trader sentiment shifted toward a neutral stance, reflecting uncertainty in the near term. At the same time, TradingView indicators presented mixed signals across key metrics. The MACD indicator generated a buy signal, suggesting early bullish momentum. However, both the Relative Strength Index and Bull Bear Power remained neutral, showing a lack of strong directional conviction. Throughout April, Dogecoin has traded sideways within a defined range, constrained by broader cryptocurrency market pressure. As a result, traders continue to watch for a decisive breakout as technical compression intensifies.

13 Apr 2026, 13:45

EUR/USD Analysis: Resilient Dollar Maintains Safe-Haven Dominance Amid Market Uncertainty

BitcoinWorld EUR/USD Analysis: Resilient Dollar Maintains Safe-Haven Dominance Amid Market Uncertainty LONDON, March 2025 – The EUR/USD currency pair continues to demonstrate the US Dollar’s persistent safe-haven appeal, with technical analysis from Rabobank revealing sustained pressure on the Euro. Consequently, traders monitor key support levels as global economic uncertainty drives capital toward dollar-denominated assets. This development follows recent geopolitical tensions and divergent monetary policy expectations between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank. EUR/USD Technical Analysis and Current Market Position Rabobank’s latest technical charts indicate the EUR/USD pair remains below critical resistance levels. Specifically, the 1.0850 level has consistently acted as a barrier for Euro bulls. Meanwhile, the pair tests support around 1.0720, a zone that has provided temporary stability on multiple occasions. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages currently show bearish alignment, reinforcing the downward pressure. Furthermore, trading volumes have increased during sell-offs, suggesting institutional participation in dollar accumulation. Market participants observe several technical patterns. First, a descending triangle formation suggests potential for continued Euro weakness. Second, momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hover near oversold territory but show no decisive reversal signals. Third, Fibonacci retracement levels from the November 2024 high highlight key areas of potential consolidation or breakdown. Comparative Central Bank Policy Divergence The Federal Reserve maintains a cautious approach toward interest rate cuts despite cooling inflation. Conversely, the European Central Bank faces greater pressure to stimulate economic growth across Eurozone nations. This policy divergence creates fundamental support for dollar strength. Additionally, the ECB’s balance sheet remains larger relative to economic output, potentially weighing on longer-term Euro valuation. Historical Context of Dollar Safe-Haven Flows The US Dollar has served as a primary safe-haven currency during global crises for decades. For instance, during the 2008 financial crisis, the Dollar Index surged approximately 25% within six months. Similarly, the COVID-19 pandemic triggered massive dollar demand in March 2020. Currently, renewed Middle East tensions and trade disruptions reinforce this historical pattern. Moreover, the dollar benefits from its status as the world’s primary reserve currency, comprising nearly 60% of global foreign exchange reserves. Several factors typically drive safe-haven flows toward the dollar: Global Risk Aversion: Investors seek stability during market turbulence Liquidity Preference: US Treasury markets offer unparalleled depth Interest Rate Differentials: Higher US yields attract capital Geopolitical Uncertainty: Dollar assets perceived as politically secure Eurozone Economic Vulnerabilities The Euro faces structural challenges beyond immediate market sentiment. Germany’s manufacturing sector, the Eurozone’s economic engine, shows persistent weakness in export orders. Meanwhile, France’s budget deficit exceeds EU limits, creating political friction. Furthermore, energy dependency remains a concern despite diversification efforts since 2022. These factors collectively undermine Euro strength against a resilient US economy. Impact on Global Trade and Corporate Earnings A stronger dollar creates complex effects across global markets. US multinational corporations often report currency translation headwinds on overseas earnings. Conversely, European exporters benefit competitively from a weaker Euro, though import costs rise. Emerging market economies with dollar-denominated debt face increased servicing burdens. Additionally, commodity prices typically exhibit inverse correlation with dollar strength, affecting energy and materials sectors. The table below illustrates recent EUR/USD movements alongside key drivers: Period EUR/USD Range Primary Driver Rabobank Assessment Q4 2024 1.0650-1.0950 ECB Policy Expectations Range-Bound with Downward Bias Jan 2025 1.0700-1.0850 US Employment Data Support Testing Feb 2025 1.0720-1.0800 Geopolitical Tensions Safe-Haven Flows Intensifying Mar 2025 1.0700-1.0750 Fed Communication Critical Support Zone Institutional Positioning and Sentiment Indicators Commitment of Traders (COT) reports reveal net short positions on the Euro among speculative accounts. Meanwhile, asset managers increase dollar exposure in multi-currency portfolios. Additionally, options markets show higher demand for dollar call options, indicating expectations for continued appreciation. Risk reversal metrics further confirm this bias, with implied volatility skewed toward dollar strength scenarios. Technical Outlook and Key Levels to Monitor Rabobank analysts identify several critical technical levels for the EUR/USD pair. Immediate resistance clusters around 1.0780-1.0800, where previous support now converts to resistance. A sustained break above 1.0850 would challenge the current bearish thesis. Conversely, breakdown below 1.0700 could trigger accelerated selling toward 1.0650, then 1.0520. Moreover, weekly chart patterns suggest the broader trend remains dollar-favorable since the 2023 highs. Several technical factors warrant close observation: Moving Average Convergence: Watch for potential bullish crossovers Volume Analysis: Declining volume on rallies suggests weak conviction Seasonal Patterns: Historical dollar strength often persists through Q2 Correlation Breakdowns: Monitor relationships with other risk assets Alternative Scenarios and Risk Factors While the dominant narrative favors dollar strength, several developments could alter this trajectory. Unexpected ECB hawkishness following inflation surprises represents one potential catalyst. Similarly, rapid de-escalation of geopolitical conflicts might reduce safe-haven demand. Furthermore, weaker-than-anticipated US economic data could shift Fed expectations. However, current probabilities, according to options pricing, favor continued dollar resilience through mid-2025. Conclusion The EUR/USD pair reflects broader market dynamics favoring the US Dollar as a safe-haven asset. Rabobank’s technical analysis confirms this trend through chart patterns and key level breaches. Consequently, traders should monitor support zones around 1.0700 for potential breakdowns. Ultimately, the dollar’s dominance persists amid global uncertainty, though shifting central bank policies or geopolitical developments could alter this trajectory. The EUR/USD outlook therefore remains cautiously bearish within defined technical parameters. FAQs Q1: What does ‘safe-haven currency’ mean in forex markets? A safe-haven currency is one that investors flock to during periods of global economic or political uncertainty. The US Dollar traditionally serves this role due to the size and stability of the US economy, deep financial markets, and the dollar’s status as the world’s primary reserve currency. Q2: How do Rabobank’s charts specifically show dollar strength against the Euro? Rabobank’s technical analysis typically examines price patterns, moving averages, and support/resistance levels. Charts showing EUR/USD trading below key moving averages (like the 50-day and 200-day), breaking below established support levels, and forming bearish patterns like descending triangles all indicate sustained dollar strength relative to the Euro. Q3: What economic factors could weaken the US Dollar’s safe-haven status? Factors that could undermine dollar strength include a significant deterioration in US fiscal health, loss of the dollar’s reserve currency dominance, sustained higher inflation in the US relative to other economies, or the emergence of credible alternative safe-haven assets or currencies that offer comparable liquidity and stability. Q4: How does a stronger dollar affect European consumers and businesses? A stronger dollar (weaker Euro) makes European exports more competitive internationally, potentially boosting manufacturing sectors. However, it increases costs for European imports, particularly dollar-denominated commodities like oil, which can contribute to higher consumer prices and inflation within the Eurozone. Q5: What time horizon do Rabobank’s technical analyses typically consider for EUR/USD forecasts? While specific timeframes vary with each report, major bank technical analyses like Rabobank’s often focus on short to medium-term horizons ranging from several weeks to a few quarters. They typically identify key levels that could dictate price action over the coming months, while acknowledging that unexpected fundamental developments can override technical patterns. This post EUR/USD Analysis: Resilient Dollar Maintains Safe-Haven Dominance Amid Market Uncertainty first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

13 Apr 2026, 13:43

Cardano Sets Stage for Two Key Upgrades in H1 2026, What to Expect?

Cardano gears up for double upgrade push in H1, 2026.