Invest ideasNews
18 May 2026, 23:00
Bitcoin Bull Market Confirmation Will Be Completed Once This Level Is Reclaimed, Analyst
Bitcoin’s latest rebound has reached an important point on the 2-week chart, where analyst Crypflow says the next bull market confirmation will begin to take shape. His analysis focuses on the 21 WMA and 21 SMA ribbon, a moving-average structure that has repeatedly separated Bitcoin’s major bull and bear phases across past cycles. The Bitcoin price is slowly pushing back into this ribbon after the 2025 bear market confirmation, but the price is still being rejected at the 21 WMA around $81,974. Bitcoin Is Pushing Into The Bull-Bear Ribbon Again Timing the start of a Bitcoin bull market is never straightforward. Every cycle comes with failed breakouts, sudden selloffs, and bear traps. However, a single crossover has reliably separated Bitcoin’s bull markets from its bear markets for over 10 years. This crossover is known to occur on BTC’s 2-week candlestick chart, where the 21 WMA and 21 SMA have acted as a long-term divider between bull and bear market phases. Crypto analyst Crypflow described the signal as a simple crossover setup , where the 21 WMA moving above the 21 SMA confirms a bull market, and the 21 WMA moving below the 21 SMA confirms a bear market. The first bearish crossover came after the 2013 cycle top, before the long correction into the 2015 bottom. The bullish flip that followed in 2015 then confirmed the start of a new expansion. A similar structure played out after the 2017 top, where the bearish crossover preceded the decline into the 2018 cycle bottom, followed by a bullish confirmation in 2019. The same moving-average structure also gave a warning during the 2020 crash, before the bull market resumed when BTC reclaimed the ribbon. Again in the 2021 cycle, the bearish crossover came after the market top and remained part of the broader downtrend into the 2022 bottom. The next bullish flip in 2023 then marked the confirmation phase that supported Bitcoin’s climb into the 2025 cycle top. BTC Needs To Reclaim This Level Bitcoin’s most recent signal, which was the bear market confirmation in 2025, came as Bitcoin rolled over from its most recent peak price above $126,000. That confirmation was the start of the current corrective phase. Now, the important thing is that BTC is trying to push back above the bear market confirmation. The red band on the chart still shows bearish control, and the price action is currently sitting below the moving averages. The level to watch on the 2-week candlestick chart is the 21 WMA. The indicator is shown around $81,974, while the 21 SMA is higher at about $90,415. Bitcoin’s latest candle is still below both, with the chart showing BTC near $77,980 at the time of the analysis. BTC recently pushed above the 21 WMA by touching $82,000 last week , but is now back to trading at $76,914 at the time of writing. This gap explains why the analyst said Bitcoin is pushing into the ribbon again but still getting rejected at the 21 WMA.
18 May 2026, 23:00
Ethereum Whales Flood Binance With 225,000 ETH In Largest Inflow Since 2022
Ethereum has lost the $2,150 level as selling pressure and market uncertainty combine to erase the recovery that had been building since the February lows. The decline is not gradual — it has the character of a market meeting supply that was positioned and waiting. CryptoOnchain data has identified the origin of that supply, and the picture it reveals is more alarming than a routine price correction. Related Reading: XRP Leverage Expansion Raises Risks Near $1.50 Resistance – A Big Move May Follow In a single day, more than 225,000 ETH was deposited to Binance — the largest net inflow the exchange has recorded in the past six months. The 7-day moving average of exchange netflow has skyrocketed to levels not seen since late 2022, a period that most participants in the Ethereum market remember as one of its most difficult phases. When that specific indicator reaches these levels, it is not describing routine portfolio management. It describes large holders making deliberate, consequential decisions about where their assets should be positioned. The behavioral translation is direct. Investors who keep Ethereum in cold storage — offline, inaccessible, removed from trading — are moving coins onto the world’s largest exchange in volumes that exceed anything the market has absorbed in the past three years. Whether they arrived to sell, to rebalance, or to deploy as collateral for derivatives positions, the act of moving that magnitude of ETH onto Binance is itself a signal that the market cannot ignore. The question CryptoOnchain’s analysis attempts to answer is what those whales are actually planning to do next. 225,000 ETH on an Exchange. Three Possible Reasons. None of Them Are Neutral The CryptoOnchain analysis names the three motivations that could explain a deposit of this scale — and examines what each one means for the market that has to absorb it. The first possibility is profit realization. Large holders who accumulated Ethereum at lower levels and have been sitting on gains may have chosen the current price environment to convert those gains into realized returns. At scale, that behavior creates direct selling pressure that the market must absorb before the price can stabilize. Ethereum Exchange Netflow | Source: CryptoQuant. The second spike is defensive repositioning. Holders concerned about further downside moving coins onto exchanges to enable faster exits are not selling yet — but they are reducing the friction between their position and the sell button. The increasing possibility of selling ETH is on the rise. The third is collateral deployment. Institutional participants moving ETH onto exchanges to back aggressive derivatives positions are not necessarily bearish on the asset — but the leverage they build on top of that collateral creates the fragility that amplifies any adverse move. All three explanations converge on the same market consequence. 225,000 ETH arriving on Binance from cold storage represents supply that was previously unavailable to the market and is now immediately accessible. The CryptoOnchain assessment is direct: major holders are positioning defensively, and the market is entering a period of severe turbulence and highly unpredictable price action as that supply meets whatever demand exists to absorb it. Ethereum losing $2,150 is the early expression of that meeting. Whether it is the full expression depends on which of the three motivations is driving the largest share of the inflow. And that question the coming sessions will begin to answer. Related Reading: Bitcoin Cannot Clear $82K – Analyst Explains How Traders Are Using Every Rally to Exit Ethereum Loses Momentum As Sellers Push Price Back Below Key Averages Ethereum is trading near $2,110 after losing the short-term recovery structure that had supported price throughout most of April and early May. The daily chart shows ETH breaking back below the 100-day moving average while continuing to trade far beneath the 200-day moving average, a signal that the broader trend remains under pressure despite previous rebound attempts. Ethereum consolidates below key Moving Averages | Source: ETHUSD chart on Tradingview After recovering strongly from the February capitulation event near $1,800, Ethereum managed to establish a local range between $2,200 and $2,400. However, repeated failures to reclaim higher resistance levels gradually weakened bullish momentum. The latest rejection near the $2,350 region triggered a new wave of selling pressure that has now pushed ETH back toward the lower end of its multi-week consolidation zone. Related Reading: The 2022 Playbook Says Bitcoin Fails Here. On-Chain Data Says This Cycle Is Different Volume has also started increasing during the recent decline, suggesting that the move lower is being driven by active selling rather than passive lack of demand. This aligns with the recent surge in Binance ETH inflows, which raised concerns about growing exchange-side supply pressure from larger holders. The $2,050-$2,100 region now becomes a critical short-term support area. If Ethereum loses this zone decisively, the market could revisit the broader demand region between $1,900 and $2,000, where buyers previously stepped in aggressively after February’s crash. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
18 May 2026, 23:00
SBI, Rakuten eye Bitcoin and Ethereum trusts – What it means for Japan
Japan’s crypto reforms and brokerage expansion accelerated mainstream retail and institutional adoption.
18 May 2026, 22:59
Sui token supply capped at 10 billion as storage fund shifts SUI dynamics
🚨 Sui’s storage fund reduces active supply and impacts $SUI price. Users’ storage fees are pooled and staked instead of paid to validators directly. Continue Reading: Sui token supply capped at 10 billion as storage fund shifts SUI dynamics The post Sui token supply capped at 10 billion as storage fund shifts SUI dynamics appeared first on COINTURK NEWS .
18 May 2026, 22:44
XRP network activity drops 20 percent as liquidations crash
🚨 XRP network activity has plunged 20 percent in three months. Liquidation volumes in $XRP have collapsed by 99 percent. Continue Reading: XRP network activity drops 20 percent as liquidations crash The post XRP network activity drops 20 percent as liquidations crash appeared first on COINTURK NEWS .
18 May 2026, 22:40
Japanese Yen Slips to Two-Week Low as Iran Tensions Fuel Dollar Demand; USD/JPY Tests 159.00
BitcoinWorld Japanese Yen Slips to Two-Week Low as Iran Tensions Fuel Dollar Demand; USD/JPY Tests 159.00 The Japanese yen weakened to its lowest level in over two weeks against the U.S. dollar on Monday, with the USD/JPY pair reclaiming the 159.00 mark as escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East drove safe-haven flows into the greenback. The move reflects a broader shift in investor sentiment, with traders favoring the dollar amid heightened uncertainty surrounding Iran’s military posture and potential retaliatory actions. Geopolitical Catalyst Behind the Yen’s Decline The latest leg of yen weakness is directly linked to rising fears of a broader conflict in the Middle East. Reports of increased military mobilization by Iran and its proxies, coupled with a lack of clear diplomatic off-ramps, have pushed investors toward assets perceived as safer. The U.S. dollar, buoyed by its status as the world’s primary reserve currency and a relatively hawkish Federal Reserve stance, has absorbed much of this demand, while the yen—despite its own safe-haven credentials—has struggled to compete. Analysts point out that the yen’s decline is not solely a function of geopolitical risk but also reflects persistent interest rate differentials. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping Japanese government bond yields near zero, while the Fed’s benchmark rate remains above 5%. This gap continues to incentivize carry trades, where investors borrow yen at low rates to invest in higher-yielding dollar-denominated assets. USD/JPY Technical and Market Implications The USD/JPY pair’s move above 159.00 brings it closer to the 160.00 psychological resistance level, a threshold that previously prompted suspected intervention by Japanese authorities in late 2024. Traders are now watching for any verbal or direct action from the Ministry of Finance (MOF) or the BOJ. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated on Friday that authorities are watching currency moves with a “high sense of urgency,” though no specific intervention has been confirmed. From a technical perspective, the pair is trading above its 50-day moving average, signaling short-term bullish momentum. However, the 160.00 level remains a critical inflection point. A sustained break above it could open the door to further gains, while a rejection may lead to a sharp pullback, especially if geopolitical tensions de-escalate or if the BOJ signals a policy shift. What This Means for Traders and Importers For forex traders, the current environment demands caution. The yen’s vulnerability to geopolitical shocks and intervention risk creates a volatile trading landscape. Japanese importers, particularly energy and raw material buyers, face rising costs as a weaker yen inflates their dollar-denominated bills. Conversely, exporters like automakers and electronics firms may see a temporary boost in repatriated profits. For retail investors and businesses with exposure to yen-denominated assets, the key takeaway is that the currency’s trajectory remains heavily dependent on external factors—namely, the evolution of Middle East tensions and the BOJ’s policy response. Until either factor provides clearer direction, the yen is likely to remain under pressure. Conclusion The yen’s slide to a two-week low against the dollar underscores how geopolitical risk continues to reshape currency markets. While the dollar benefits from its safe-haven status and yield advantage, the yen’s weakness highlights the limits of its own haven appeal when interest rate differentials are so pronounced. Investors should monitor both diplomatic developments in the Middle East and any intervention signals from Tokyo, as either could trigger sharp reversals in the USD/JPY pair. FAQs Q1: Why is the yen weakening if it is also considered a safe-haven currency? The yen’s safe-haven status is being overshadowed by the dollar’s stronger yield appeal and the BOJ’s continued ultra-loose policy. During geopolitical crises, investors often prefer the dollar due to its liquidity and higher interest rates, reducing demand for the yen. Q2: Could the Bank of Japan intervene to support the yen? Yes. Japanese authorities have a history of intervening when the yen weakens rapidly or approaches key levels like 160.00. The MOF and BOJ have issued warnings, and direct intervention remains a possibility if speculative moves become excessive. Q3: How do Iran tensions specifically affect the yen? Rising Iran tensions increase global risk aversion, pushing capital into the U.S. dollar as a primary safe haven. This strengthens the dollar against most currencies, including the yen, especially when Japan’s interest rates remain low and its economy is heavily reliant on energy imports. This post Japanese Yen Slips to Two-Week Low as Iran Tensions Fuel Dollar Demand; USD/JPY Tests 159.00 first appeared on BitcoinWorld .
