Invest ideasNews
7 Feb 2026, 09:54
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bear Zone Alert Near $74K Orders
Bitcoin slipped into a historically depressed Mayer Multiple Z Score band while liquidity data showed a large order cluster stacked at $71,500 to $74,000. Together, the charts point to a market grinding through pressure below while a clear overhead target zone forms above price. Mayer Multiple Z Score dips toward historic bear zone as Bitcoin slides Bitcoin moved back into a historically depressed valuation band on the Mayer Multiple Z Score chart, according to a graphic shared on X by Marcus Corvinus, who posts as @CryptoBull009. The chart tracks Bitcoin’s dollar price since 2012 and highlights periods when the Mayer Multiple Z Score falls below minus 0.9, a level that has appeared during several major drawdowns. Bitcoin USD Mayer Multiple Z Score. Source: Marcus Corvinus via X The blue price line shows Bitcoin pulling back from its recent range near the $70,000 area and sliding toward the mid $50,000s, while the green shading shows the indicator pressing into the “Z Score below minus 0.9” zone. Earlier stretches of that shaded band clustered around downturns in 2014 to 2015, late 2018, the March 2020 shock, and the 2022 bear market period. Corvinus framed the current reading as one of Bitcoin’s “deepest bear market zones,” and said such phases often bring extended, uneven trading that can wear on sentiment. He argued that turning points typically begin with stabilization rather than a fast rebound, and he described the period as one where stronger holders build positions while broader confidence stays weak. The Mayer Multiple measures Bitcoin’s price relative to its 200 day moving average, and the Z Score expresses how far that relationship sits from its longer term norm. As a result, a deeply negative Z Score signals that price has dropped far below its typical range versus the long term trend, even though it does not set a timetable for when volatility eases or when price changes direction. Liquidity heatmap shows heavy resting orders near $71,500 to $74,000 as Bitcoin rebounds A liquidity heatmap shared on X by trader Killa, who posts as @KillaXBT, showed a dense cluster of resting liquidity between roughly $71,500 and $74,000 across major venues including Binance, Bybit, and Bitmex. The visualization, based on recent five minute data over a three day window, places the brightest concentration of orders just above the current trading range, while thinner bands appear below price. Bitcoin Liquidity Heatmap 5 Minute. Source: Hyblock Capital via X The chart shows Bitcoin sliding from the high $70,000s toward the low $60,000s before rebounding into the upper $60,000s and near $70,000. As price moved lower, horizontal liquidity bands accumulated overhead in the low to mid $70,000s, indicating a large volume of pending orders sitting above spot. At the same time, thinner liquidity layers formed below, near the low $60,000s, following the sharp drawdown and partial recovery. Killa said the size of the liquidity stack in the $71,500 to $74,000 area stands out given current risk aversion across the market. He added that prior ranges formed after similar drawdowns, and the current structure shows price rotating between recent lows and the overhead liquidity pocket rather than moving in a straight line. The heatmap does not set direction, yet it highlights where large pools of orders sit, which can shape short term price movement as Bitcoin trades into those zones.
7 Feb 2026, 09:53
Over 11 billion flows into XRP in a day after massive crash
XRP has staged a sharp rebound over the past 24 hours, with more than $11 billion flowing back into the token as investors moved in following a steep, market-wide sell-off. By press time, XRP’s market capitalization stood at $89.14 billion, up from $77.86 billion a day earlier, marking an increase of $11.28 billion in a single session. XRP market cap chart. Source: CoinMarketCap The recovery followed a violent downturn that pushed XRP to multi-month lows near the $1.15 level, briefly intensifying fears of a deeper breakdown. Instead, buyers stepped in aggressively, pushing prices higher. As of press time, XRP was trading around $1.46, reflecting a gain of roughly 13% over the same 24-hour period as broader cryptocurrency markets began to stabilize. Why XRP price is rebounding On-chain data from Santiment showed clear signs of accumulation during the dip. Whale activity surged, with 1,389 transactions worth more than $100,000 recorded on the XRP Ledger, the highest level seen in four months. At the same time, network participation spiked sharply, as the number of unique active addresses jumped to 78,727 within a single eight-hour window, marking a six-month high. 📈 Crypto markets are rebounding, but $XRP 's price has been on a particularly huge tear. Since bottoming out below $1.15 just under 18 hours ago, the #4 market cap has now recovered to back above $1.50. 😱 Panic sellers should have stopped to notice the massive activity on the… pic.twitter.com/3y0eyGxpo2 — Santiment (@santimentfeed) February 6, 2026 The Santiment data suggests that large holders and active traders moved decisively to accumulate XRP as prices collapsed, a pattern that often precedes short-term price reversals. It is worth noting that the rebound appears to have been driven less by a single XRP-specific catalyst and more by a combination of relief buying and improving sentiment across the digital asset market. As Bitcoin ( BTC ) and other major cryptocurrencies recovered from recent losses, XRP amplified the move, a pattern often seen during volatility-driven snapbacks. XRP price remains fragile While the rapid inflow and strong price reaction suggest confidence is returning after capitulation selling, market conditions remain fragile. In this case, XRP’s price action remains technically weak despite the rebound. The token is trading well below its key moving averages, with the 50-day simple moving average ( SMA ) near $1.92 and the 200-day SMA around $2.42, confirming that XRP remains in a broader bearish trend and has yet to reclaim important resistance levels that would signal a sustained reversal. Momentum indicators paint a more neutral picture in the very short term. The 14-day relative strength index ( RSI ) is around 37.9, placing XRP below the midpoint but not yet in deeply oversold territory. This suggests selling pressure has eased compared with the recent crash, though buying momentum remains cautious rather than decisive. Featured image via Shutterstock The post Over 11 billion flows into XRP in a day after massive crash appeared first on Finbold .
7 Feb 2026, 09:52
Until XRP Breaks $1.8 With Conviction, This Remains Murky Waters
Despite the recent recovery push, XRP still trades within "murky waters" until it rebounds above the pivotal $1.8 mark with conviction. The crypto market suffered a devastating blow on Thursday, Feb. Visit Website
7 Feb 2026, 09:50
Telegram Bitcoin scam targets Indian national
An Indian national has become the latest victim of Bitcoin scammers on Telegram, falling prey to a scam that resulted in a loss of around Rs. 70 lakh ($77,300). The victim, a 50-year-old who works for a private firm, claimed he was lured into a fake Bitcoin investment by a woman he had accidentally met on the messaging platform Telegram. According to the complaint filed by the victim, the first contact between him and the woman was on November 30, 2025. The resident of Kodihalli in east Bengaluru said the woman identified herself as Priya Agarwal and claimed she was attempting to contact a person named Rahul, but instead contacted him. Instead of ignoring the message, the victim pressed on with the conversation. However, unknown to him, he was the actual target, and the woman in question was a scammer who would steal his funds. Indian national loses $77K to Bitcoin scammer on Telegram According to the Indian national, the conversations started briefly, and they exchanged pleasantries at intervals. However, things moved fast, and they started exchanging chats regularly. They later shifted to WhatsApp, with the woman communicating from a +44 number. She told the Indian man that she was based in Liverpool, United Kingdom, and ran a family business. Over time, she started to gain his trust and used the opportunity to introduce him to Bitcoin trading. Priya claimed she has been earning huge profits from her investments in the past four to five years. She also told him to invest and assured him that she would guide his investments and ensure he sees substantial rewards from his investment. The Indian victim sensed no issues with the investment scheme and chose to trust her. She sent him a link, he clicked on it, and it led him to download a trading application that will be used to carry out all his activities. The Indian national said he created an account and made his first investment on December 5, 2025. He sent Rs. 50,000 to his account on the application, sending the funds through a physical account provided by someone who claimed to be a customer care support member of the platform. Encouraged by the profits that came from his first investment, he continued to make more investments. Between December 9, 2025, and January 14, 2026, the man made about eight transactions. Police warn residents about the climbing crime rate According to the victim, the funds were sourced from his personal savings and loans from a bank and finance firm, which he took at Priya’s insistence. On the investment app, his balance soon swelled to Rs. 2.6 crore, which strengthened his belief that the Bitcoin investment scheme was genuine. However, the scam unraveled after he tried to withdraw some of his earnings from the application. He was met with several restrictions and was soon told that his account was frozen. The man said he contacted the customer support and was told to deposit more funds into his account under the pretext of taxes and processing fees, to be able to enable withdrawal. It was then that the Indian national realized that he had fallen prey to an elaborate crypto investment scam. After realizing the scam, the man approached the police and lodged his complaint with the national cybercrime portal. The case was registered under the Information Technology Act and BNS Section 318 (cheating). In its statement, the Indian police said it had released numerous statements in the past to dissuade people from investing in crypto investment schemes that have not been verified. It said that contacting people under the guise of mistakes is one of the ways that these criminals forge relationships with their victims. The Indian police claimed they usually use attractive women and lead their victims on in hopes that they would enter a romantic relationship before they strike. If you're reading this, you’re already ahead. Stay there with our newsletter .
7 Feb 2026, 09:48
Soluna Holdings: Pricing In An Absolute Zero
Summary Soluna Holdings is deeply undervalued, trading near net cash levels despite significant infrastructure and a 2.8 GW development pipeline. The market misprices SLNH as a speculative Bitcoin miner, ignoring its transition to hosting, AI, and high-performance computing infrastructure. Project-level margins are strong, with Project Sophie at 68.4% and Dorothy 1A at 43.6%, supporting positive adjusted EBITDA despite GAAP noise. Key catalysts include Dorothy 2 ramp, Project Kati energization, and AI/HPC contracts; dilution risk remains the primary concern. It is one thing to price a company for a struggle, as the market was doing when Soluna Holdings ( SLNH ) traded around $2 back in December . It is another thing entirely to price it for an immediate, total wipeout. At ~$0.76, we have officially entered the latter phase. The thesis is simple: the market is pricing the company as a distressed, speculative microcap crypto miner and ignoring its successful transition into a cash-rich renewable computing infrastructure platform. With the stock trading not far off its net cash value, I believe the downside is capped, offering a risk-reward profile skewed heavily toward a potential 4x upside as the market wakes up. When I look at the screen today, I see a market cap of roughly $75m . Yet the company’s last balance sheet showed over $51m in cash . Even after subtracting the $23.3m in total debt, you are left with a net cash position of roughly $28m . In my view, the market is saying that the 123 MW of managed data centres, the proprietary Maestro OS software, and the 2.8 GW development pipeline are not only worthless but also a liability . To me, this is like a panicked exit from a messy small-cap ticker as opposed to the efficient market at work. Project Pipeline (Soluna Investor Presentation Jan-26) Infrastructure, Not Just Crypto For those unfamiliar with the name, it is important to understand that Soluna has evolved beyond the typical Bitcoin miner business model. It is now essentially a power-arbitrage infrastructure company. They build modular data centres co-located with renewable energy power plants (mostly wind in Texas) that face the problem of wasted energy that cannot be sold to the grid (curtailment). Soluna buys this stranded power at low costs to run high-density computing tasks. While they started with proprietary Bitcoin mining, they have aggressively pivoted toward a hosting model, i.e. providing the infrastructure for other customers. This derisks their revenue stream from the volatility of Bitcoin prices. This shift is visible in the numbers. In the Q3-25 data, hosting revenue increased to $5.2m, significantly outpacing the $2.7m brought in from proprietary mining. Soluna is now effectively a landlord for high-performance compute, competing less with speculative miners and more with junior data centre infrastructure firms. They are currently managing 123 MW, with the 166 MW Project Kati already through its groundbreaking and under construction . The transition to AI and High Performance Computing [HPC] is the real catalyst. They have already secured an MOU with an HPC partner and have land ready for Kati 2, which is designed specifically for high-density workloads . If they land a firm AI hosting contract, the Bitcoin discount currently suppressing the stock could evaporate overnight. Squinting Through the GAAP Noise Looking only at the $24m net loss reported in Q3, you might want to run for the hills . But that number is a typical example of why GAAP can be misleading for growing companies with complex capital structures. Nearly $22m of that loss was a non-cash fair value adjustment related to warrants . When you strip out one-time professional fees, the compensation catch-ups, and the Preferred B consent fees, the adj. EBITDA (ex. special charges) was actually a positive $58k . However, the project-level performance is where the value is hiding. Project Sophie delivered a 68.4% gross margin in Q3 . Dorothy 1A was at 43.6% . These are the cash-generating engines of the company, but the overall numbers were dragged down by Dorothy 2, which was still in its ramp-up phase. That site is now transitioning to steady-state operations . Paying For The Cash And Getting The Business For Free The math at $0.76 has crossed the line from cheap into absurd. With the stock at this level, we are looking at a market cap of about $75m, with ~$51.3m in cash and equivalents. That's nearly 70% of the company’s entire market valuation backed by cash. If you back out the cash and add in the net debt, you get a total EV of only about $110 million. For that you are getting: 123 MW of active, high-margin hosting and mining operations. A 166 MW project (Kati) that is already under construction. A 2.8 GW development pipeline. Proprietary software (Maestro) that the company claims can optimize power costs in real time. My take is that the market is completely ignoring the forward-looking earnings power here. Management’s own illustrative guide points toward $28m in adj. EBITDA for 2026. Even if you think they are being too optimistic and you cut that number in half to $14m, the stock is trading at a forward EV/EBITDA of just 7.9x. Management Forecast (Investor Presentation Jan-26) If they actually hit those targets? An $110m EV against $28m in EBITDA is a 3.9x multiple. This is a significant valuation gap for a sector where pure-play data centres and AI infrastructure firms often command >18x (see below). Peer Comparison (Seeking Alpha/Finbox) If we assume the company can successfully bring Phase 1 of Kati online and move toward a $40m EBITDA run-rate by 2027 (achievable if they land an HPC partner) and we apply a conservative 10x multiple, we get an EV of $400m. After accounting for the debt and allowing for some further dilution to, say, 140m shares, you get a price target of roughly $2.70 per share. From where I am sitting at $0.76, that is nearly a 4x upside. The risk-reward here is completely skewed in favour of the bulls. You would essentially be buying the operating assets for pennies on the dollar and getting the entire AI/HPC growth story as a free call option. Funding Growth, Not Survival A key concern for Soluna is the dilution trap. Management has been aggressive with their At-The-Market program, raising $20.8m in Q3 alone . However, a closer look at the cash flow statement reveals that the dilution is funding asset growth, not operating losses. In the first 9 months of 2025, the cash flow from operations was just -$3.5m, while $18m was spent on capex to build out Project Dorothy 2 and Kati . With ~$51m in cash on hand and a quarterly operating burn that is flirting with breakeven (adj. EBITDA of $58k in Q3), Soluna has a significant cash runway for its operations. While the dilution effectively caps the per-share upside in the short term, the risk of bankruptcy appears negligible. In my view, the balance sheet is robust enough to weather a crypto winter, meaning that $0.76 is a distressed price for a company that is simply in a heavy build phase. What Moves The Stock The most immediate catalyst is the ramp of Dorothy 2, as Q3 only saw a partial contribution. A clean Q4-25 or Q1-26 print showing Dorothy at full capacity would prove the earnings power of the Texas sites . The second is Project Kati Phase 1 (48 MW) energisation slated for 2026 . If they hit their construction milestones there, it becomes very hard for the market to keep valuing the pipeline at zero. Finally, any firm news on the AI/HPC front at Project Kati 2 or Grace may shift the narrative . The market is currently giving them zero credit for their 2.8 GW pipeline. An AI partnership could put a floor on those megawatts that is significantly higher than the current stock price . As for negative drivers, in addition to the dilution trap noted, there is also the Bitcoin hashprice risk. If mining difficulty continues to skyrocket while Bitcoin stays flat, their hosting customers might struggle to pay the bills . However, this is mitigated by Soluna moving to more stable volumetric (fixed-fee) hosting contracts, which I think is the right move for an infrastructure-first model . The Risk-Reward Is Skewed My belief is that at $0.76, the market is selling off Soluna with the wider market at exactly the time when the operational milestones are actually being hit. You are getting a business that is cash-flow positive at the project level and sitting on a pile of cash for not much more than the value of that cash . This stock is going to continue to be volatile, b ut from what I can tell, the downside is being protected by the balance sheet, while the upside, if they execute on even a fraction of their 2.8 GW pipeline, is massive . I think the market is missing the forest for the trees here.
7 Feb 2026, 09:31
CME Group will launch tokenized cash product with Google Cloud later in 2026 for crypto collateral use
CME Group will launch a tokenized cash product with Google Cloud later in 2026. The product uses Google Cloud Universal Ledger for crypto collateral at CME clearing operations.
